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SCP-2856 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2856
Expected annual
$5.0M
One-time setup
$4.7M
Annual recurring
$4.9M
Personnel
27
First-year capital expenditure is in the low millions driven by facility acquisition, renovations, robotics R&D, and equipment; ongoing annual operating costs are roughly $4.94M driven by staffing, legal/cover operations, security, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.7M
Facilities $1.9M
[#1, #2, #3] Purchase of Leipzig-area warehouse (~$1.4M) plus structural renovations (~$375k) and one-time portion of on-site housing conversion (~$75k).
Robotic Development $900K
[#13] One-time development and procurement budget for autonomous probes, borescopes, GPR, remote sampling hardware (~$900k).
Equipment $885K
[#10, #11, #17, #21, #14, #15] Security/CCTV/access control (~$175k), emergency medical equipment (~$200k), IT/data-security hardware (~$125k), transport vehicle purchase (~$140k), redundant power hardware (~$125k), HVAC/hardware (~$120k).
Hangar Conversion $750K
[#29] Optional/approval-dependent conversion to rapid-response vehicle hangar (heavy doors, fuel storage, vehicle lifts, foam suppression, and vehicle acquisition) (~$750k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $275K
[#7] On-site BSL-2/partial BSL-3 lab setup: fume hoods, autoclave, -80C freezers, lab buildout (~$275k).
Front Company Setup $25K
[#18] Legal incorporation, initial showroom/setup, deceptive paperwork and front-company startup costs (~$25k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.9M/yr
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#4, #5, #6] Operational roster (~18 personnel) plus medical staff & supervisors and research-team salary portion; salaries + benefits estimated at ~$1.81M/yr.
Contingency Fund $823K/yr
[#27] 20% contingency reserve of annual operating costs for unknown anomalous behaviors, scale-up, emergency R&D (~20% = ~$823,400/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $440K/yr
[#18, #19, #20, #23] Front-company operating overhead, legal counsel, expected settlements/aftercare contingencies, PR/communications and cover maintenance (~$440k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $420K/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #26] Forensic testing/sequencing (~$125k), research consumables split from team budget (~$105k), autopsy/pathology/specimen storage (~$60k), lab maintenance/calibration (~$55k), ongoing monitoring & logging manpower (~$75k).
Security Operations $400K/yr
[#12] Additional training, equipment, certification, and operational costs for on-site guard force and armed response beyond base wages (~$400k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $160K/yr
[#16, #10] PPE, disposable medical supplies, disinfectants, specimen kits, medical consumables and routine consumables (~$160k/yr).
Capital Replacement $150K/yr
[#28] Depreciation/replacement reserve for critical equipment (freezers, generators, vehicles, servers) (~$150k/yr).
Hangar Operations $150K/yr
[#29] If rapid-response hangar plan proceeds: fuel/maintenance and vehicle upkeep (~$150k/yr).
On Site Housing Maintenance $120K/yr
[#3] Ongoing utilities, maintenance and minor repairs for permanently-housed staff quarters (~$10k/mo => ~$120k/yr).
Robotic Ops $100K/yr
[#13] Annual operations, maintenance, and software support for robotic/remote entry systems (~$100k/yr).
Data Security Operations $65K/yr
[#17] Secure IT support, off-site backups, air-gapped media rotation and classified records operations (~$65k/yr).
Training And Psych Support $60K/yr
[#24] Regular drills, trauma counseling, attrition-mitigation training (~$60k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $40K/yr
[#2, #15] Ongoing building and structural maintenance and small recurring facility upkeep (~$40k/yr).
Redundant Power Maintenance $40K/yr
[#14] Fuel, maintenance and testing for backup generators and UPS systems (~$40k/yr).
Annual Audit $40K/yr
[#30] Internal audits, oversight travel/per-diem and interdepartmental coordination (~$40k/yr).
Waste Handling $35K/yr
[#22] Contracted biohazard disposal, incineration/deep-burial under cover (~$35k/yr).
Hvac Operation $32K/yr
[#15] HEPA filter replacement, energy and maintenance for HVAC and environmental control (~$32k/yr).
Funeral And Storage $30K/yr
[#25] Cremation/storage/discreet disposal for deceased instances and related handling (~$30k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#21] Vehicle operation, fuel, drivers and secure specimen/personnel transport (~$25k/yr).
Facility Lease Option $0/yr
[#1] Alternative to purchase: long-term secret lease (~$60k–$180k/yr). Purchase path used for baseline; lease option documented but not included in baseline recurring estimate.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.9M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; ongoing operations, maintenance, staffing, research, and contingency funding only.
routine_operations no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $5.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Localized medical/manifestation event producing living or deceased SCP-2856-1 requiring additional medical care, forensic tests, limited PR/settlement.
living_instance_recovery extra_forensic_tests small_settlement_or_PR
🚨 Major Breach $6.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant containment event or discovery requiring emergency R&D, major replacements/repairs, large settlements, and extended external coordination.
large_scale_manifestation public_exposure major_equipment_replacement
👥 Personnel 27 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#4, #12] Operational roster to guarantee six personnel present at all times (3 shifts, backups).
Medical Officer 3 [#5, #10] One full-time medic plus two advanced medical staff (on-call/advanced trauma capability).
Security Supervisor 2 [#5, #12] Senior security supervisors for oversight and responses.
Research Scientist / Lab Tech 4 [#6, #7] PI plus 2-3 lab technicians for anomalous research, forensics and sequencing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and realistic ranges; however many items (lease vs purchase, extent of robotics R&D, frequency/severity of incidents, contingency sizing) remain uncertain, so totals are mid-range estimates.
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