SCP-2886 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-2886
Expected annual
$50.6M
One-time setup
$4.3B
Annual recurring
$34.1M
Personnel
30
One-time capital and contingency reserves dominate the budget (several billion USD) for rapid-response, sample-return, and catastrophic contingencies; ongoing yearly operations (observations, staff, secrecy/legal operations) are estimated in the mid tens of millions (~$34.1M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.3B
Emergency Response Fund $2.0B
[#19] Multi-billion contingency reserved for large-scale emergency response if SCP relocates to an inhabited world (pre-funded operations/compensation).
Sample Return Fund $1.0B
[#16] Reserve to finance a sample-return mission or partner contributions (major contingency).
Rapid Response Fund $500.0M
[#14] Capital reserve for rapid-response missions, contingency launches, or major contracted mission costs.
Catastrophic Reserve $500.0M
[#30] Catastrophic-response reserve for worst-case planetary-scale liabilities and political cover.
Probe Development Fund $200.0M
[#15] One-time/initial funding for a covert small-probe/lander/rover development program (design and initial builds).
Insurance Reserve $50.0M
[#18] Reserve for indemnity, satellite/probe replacement, and third-party claims.
Facilities $20.0M
[#7, #13, #17] Construction of secure archival vaults, containment coordination center (HQ) buildout, and planetary-protection/quarantine infrastructure.
Equipment $10.5M
[#3, #4, #26, #27] Radio-monitoring station buildout, high-performance compute cluster and software, specialized spectrometers/wide-field imagers, and secure comms hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10.5M
[#16, #29] Secure sample-analysis laboratory buildout and seed funding for long-term R&D programs.
Agency Arrangement Payout $10.0M
[#8] One-time covert payouts or classified contracts to secure privileged observation time/agreements with major agencies.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $34.1M/yr
Research And Monitoring $10.0M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #26, #29] Continuous observation program (optical + radio), occasional DSN/HST/JWST-class observation blocks budgeting, radio monitoring operations, HPC operations/licenses, instrument maintenance, and recurring R&D grants.
Staff Wages $8.0M/yr
[#5, #6] Salaries and benefits for scientific staff, data scientists, radio astronomers, lab technicians, and core program personnel (baseline team).
Launch Retainer $5.0M/yr
[#14] Annual retainer/reserved-launch-window costs to accelerate response capability (small baseline retainer rather than full reserved fleets).
Cover Story And Legal $4.0M/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #11, #20, #24] Ongoing censorship, public-information control, legal/FOIA handling, disinformation funding, media suppression, and outreach cover programs.
Agency Liaison $2.0M/yr
[#8] Annual covert/contractual liaison and influence budgets to maintain privileged scheduling and data control with national/international space agencies and observatories.
Black Ops Funding $1.5M/yr
[#22] Covert field teams, off-books procurement, and small paramilitary/intelligence operational funds.
Emergency Planning $1.0M/yr
[#19] Planning, tabletop exercises, and contingency coordination for potential terrestrial/inhabited-world incidents.
Facilities Maintenance $800K/yr
[#7, #13, #17, #27] Annual operations, utilities, security, and upkeep for HQ, archival vaults, quarantine infrastructure, and comms hardware.
Cybersecurity $500K/yr
[#12] Automated crawlers, online monitoring, forensics tooling, secure communications, and cyber-analyst staffing.
Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr
[#16, #26] Laboratory consumables, sample handling supplies, and instrument consumables/maintenance.
Training And Drills $300K/yr
[#23] Regular exercises, simulation software, and personnel training/rotations for rapid-response readiness.
Personnel Security $300K/yr
[#21] Continuous vetting, background checks, clearance upkeep, and insider-risk mitigation programs.
Logistics And Transport $250K/yr
[#25] Travel, secure transport, and rapid deployment costs for experts to observatories, mission centers, and coordination sites.
Psychological Support $150K/yr
[#28] Counseling, resilience training, and mental-health programs for staff exposed to anomalous material.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $34.1M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Routine year with continuous observation, modeling, maintenance, and secrecy operations; no major relocations or high-cost missions.
no_relocation routine_observation routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $39.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Transient event such as a faint broadcast, modest public leak, or short-notice relocation requiring premium observation blocks, extra PR/legal actions, and travel.
faint_broadcast public_leak temporary_relocation
🚨 Rapid Response Mission $349.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$315.0M vs baseline
SCP relocates to an accessible body or debris threat requires an expedited flyby/observer mission or contracted partner launch.
relocation_to_accessible_body immediate_sample_or_observer_mission debris_threat
🚨 Political Exposure Major $1.0B/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0B vs baseline
Large-scale public disclosure or litigation political crisis requiring massive legal defense, compensation, and emergency response.
public_disclosure governmental_inquiry large-scale_litigation
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 12 [#5] Planetary scientists and astrophysicists responsible for observation analysis and modeling.
Data Scientist / Analyst 4 [#5, #4] Modelers and data engineers supporting path-projection, HPC workloads, and archival processing.
Radio Astronomer / Observer 4 [#1, #3] Operators for radio monitoring stations and coordinated telescope observations.
Analytical Specialist (linguist / audio / crypto) 5 [#6] Specialists for decoding and analyzing intercepted broadcasts and encoded signals.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#21, #22] Personnel responsible for physical security, covert field operations, and insider-risk mitigation.
Administrative Staff 2 [#8, #13] Program administration, contracts, and liaison support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and plausible ranges, enabling a mid-confidence estimate for recurring operations; the largest one-time contingencies (missions, catastrophic reserves) are highly uncertain and scenario-dependent, reducing overall confidence.
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