SCP-2889 — SCP-2889 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-2889 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-2889

Expected annual

$47.2M

One-time setup

$104.4M

Annual recurring

$45.7M

Personnel

120

First-year capital and setup costs are dominated by facility construction, neutralization/relocation contingencies, and initial research (~$104.4M one-time). Ongoing annual operations are driven by security payroll, rotation premiums, medical monitoring, MTF readiness, and contingency reserves (~$45.7M/yr).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $104.4M

Neutralization Disposition $55.0M

[#25] One-time civil-engineering neutralization/eradication/entombment costs (very high uncertainty; mid-range of $10M–$100M+).

Relocation Compensation $26.0M

[#14] Lump-sum buyout/compensation estimate for Freshwater inhabitants (mid-range estimate of the $2M–$50M range).

Facilities $8.6M

[#1, #5, #7, #20, #23] Includes perimeter fencing and gates, guard towers and hardened posts, fixed decontamination facility, construction/retrofit of static onsite compound (ops center/barracks/lab), and initial firebreak/earthwork.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $8.1M

[#11, #12, #13] Initial forensic/toxicology R&D and lab instrumentation, biocontainment program startup and lab fit-out (BSL-2/3), and initial population genetic sequencing/fieldwork costs.

Equipment $4.7M

[#4, #6, #21, #7] Includes surveillance hardware and installation (cameras, sensors, drone fleet), initial vehicle fleet, solar + battery install, and portable decon trailers.

Consumer Recall Initial $875K

[#16] One-time field recall operations, initial hazardous-materials disposal startup and related logistics for seized consumer products.

One Time Legal Pr $550K

[#15] One-off crisis PR/legal response and immediate liaison costs.

Field Stockpile $500K

[#18] Initial stockpile of disposable PPE, decon chemicals, amnestic doses, spare parts and consumables.

Ppe Initial Stock $200K

[#7] Initial reusable and single-use PPE stock (Level A/B suits, SCBAs) capital purchase.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $45.7M/yr

Staff Wages $11.7M/yr

[#2] Fully-burdened security payroll for required roster (~120 personnel) including base salary, benefits and standard overtime (pre-rotation premium).

Rotation Premium $5.5M/yr

[#9] Additional hiring/roster overhead and redundancy premium required by forced-weekly rotations (extra personnel, travel, temporary housing, handovers).

Contingency Reserve $5.0M/yr

[#26] Reserve fund for unexpected anomalous behaviors, urgent research and emergent deployments (10–30% of budget estimated).

Administrative Overhead $4.0M/yr

[#27] Program management, secure procurement, contracting, warehousing and accounting overhead.

Mtf Response $3.5M/yr

[#3] Costs to maintain and rotate two rapid-response MTF teams (equipment, training, deployments, travel, consumables).

Medical Monitoring $2.9M/yr

[#8] Baseline and frequent biological monitoring (bloodwork, imaging, toxicology), post-exposure treatment, counseling and acute-care contingency reserve.

Consumer Disposal Reimbursements $2.8M/yr

[#16] Ongoing reimbursements, business/customer claims, and continued disposal costs tied to consumer-product tracing across the market.

Detention And Amnestics $2.2M/yr

[#10] Costs for short-term detention, amnestic drugs/administration, post-treatment medical observation and legal/ethical oversight for trespassers.

Research And Monitoring $2.0M/yr

[#11, #12] Ongoing forensic/toxicology testing, repeat studies, and recurring biocontainment R&D operations (med-chem, preclinical work) maintenance.

Logistics And Transport $1.3M/yr

[#6, #22] Vehicles fuel/maintenance and contracted medevac/air ambulance readiness.

Intelligence Ops $1.1M/yr

[#24] Covert HUMINT, infiltration and behavioral operations to detect and disrupt local resistance or organized threats.

Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr

[#15] Ongoing legal teams, governmental liaison, lobbying/covert cover-story operations and PR work.

Facilities Maintenance $900K/yr

[#4, #5, #20] Ongoing maintenance and operations for surveillance comms/power, guard towers, and on-site compound lease/ops.

Supplies And Consumables $550K/yr

[#7, #18] Annual replenishment of PPE consumables, decon chemicals, amnestic doses, medical disposables, sensor spares and general field consumables.

Market Surveillance $375K/yr

[#17] Ongoing undercover buys, marketplace monitoring and interdiction operations to prevent resale of SCP oil.

Energy And Fuel $275K/yr

[#21] Diesel generator fuel and maintenance backup costs (recurring).

Training And Psych Screening $250K/yr

[#19] Ongoing specialized training, simulators, psychological screening and resilience programs for personnel.

Environmental Monitoring $250K/yr

[#23] Yearly ecological monitoring, fire-suppression readiness, brush-clearing and firebreak maintenance.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $45.7M/yr

86.5% probability / year

Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents or large one-time actions.

routine_operations no_major_breaches

🚨 Minor Incident $48.2M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline

Localized breach or surge in trespassers requiring extra deployments, medical responses, and legal actions.

trespasser_influx localized_breach product_recall_detection

🚨 Forced Relocation $76.7M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$31.0M vs baseline

Decision to buy out or permanently relocate Freshwater residents; major one-time compensation and relocation operations occur this year.

political_decision_to_buyout failed_quarantine escalating_resistance

🚨 Neutralization Event $110.7M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$65.0M vs baseline

Large-scale neutralization/eradication or entombment operation for SCP-2889 requiring industrial-scale engineering and remediation.

policy_to_neutralize environmental_engineering_operation

👥 Personnel 120 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer	90	[#2] Active posts staffing estimate (approx. 10 posts staffed continuously with 3 guards/post/shift).
Command/Relief/Admin	30	[#2] Command, relief, rotations and administrative rostering included in the overall 120-person security roster.

📋 Confidence Notes

Many line items have well-defined ranges (security payroll, surveillance, vehicles), but key drivers (town buyout, neutralization cost, long-term research timeline) possess high uncertainty; mid-range estimates used where ranges were wide.

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