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SCP-2899 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2899
Expected annual
$61.4M
One-time setup
$243.2M
Annual recurring
$56.0M
Personnel
104
Initial one-time establishment is large (~$243.2M) driven primarily by purchase/retrofit of dedicated motherships and shipboard systems; recurring annual costs are substantial (~$56.0M/yr) driven by personnel, a standing contingency reserve, ship operations, and continuous research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $243.2M
Equipment $235.5M
[#1, #5, #7, #12, #23] Purchase/retrofit of 3 dedicated motherships (baseline 3-ship purchase), ROV/AUV/submersible package, initial buoy network hardware, RHIBs/boarding gear, and initial ship/buoy communications hardware.
Facilities $4.0M
[#9, #15] Shore research facility setup ($1M–$5M) and covert port/base fitout ($200k–$2M) combined into facilities construction/fitout estimate.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.2M
[#8, #11, #14, #21] Shipboard and shore lab instrumentation (FTIR, GC-MS, SEM, cold storage), initial data/compute hardware, amnestic R&D/production setup, and initial sample contamination-control infrastructure.
Security Initial Training $250K
[#13] Initial interdiction/security team training and certification costs (one-time startup training).
Cover Story Setup $200K
[#16] One-time setup costs for front organizations, fake publications, and initial PR/legal shell setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $56.0M/yr
Contingency Reserve $20.0M/yr
[#25] Standing contingency/reserve for major-event rapid mobilization (additional ships, aircraft, salvage, legal emergency teams).
Staff Wages $14.5M/yr
[#3, #13, #11, #20] Crew salaries (captain, officers, engineers, deckhands), standing interdiction/security cadre salaries, and partial staffing for data-science/ocean modelers and research personnel.
Facilities Maintenance $4.8M/yr
[#4, #9, #15] Dry-dock/heavy maintenance reserve (5–10% vessel value averaged), shore facility operations, and recurring fitout/port lease maintenance.
Research And Monitoring $4.2M/yr
[#7, #10, #11, #20, #23] Buoy network comms/maintenance, satellite imagery/AIS subscriptions and tasking, cloud compute/licenses and model operations, ongoing funded research programs, and ship/vessel comms service fees.
Logistics And Transport $4.0M/yr
[#2, #3] Vessel charter/lease alternatives, fuel bunkering, port fees and at-sea logistics beyond crew wages.
Witness Management $2.0M/yr
[#19] Investigation, amnestic follow-up, relocation, identity replacement, and long-term monitoring for expected witness incidents.
Global Survey Program $2.0M/yr
[#26] Deployments/expeditions to other gyres, one-off surveys, and collaborative global missions.
Cyber Ops $1.5M/yr
[#18] Real-time takedown, information suppression, comms protection, and red-team contractor networks.
Cover Story And Legal $1.3M/yr
[#16, #17] Ongoing cover-story management, PR/legal retainer, covert lobbying/diplomatic retainers and routine legal budgets.
Supplies And Consumables $850K/yr
[#6, #8, #14, #21] ROV/AUV ops & maintenance consumables, lab consumables/calibrations, per-dose amnestic consumables, and sample decontamination consumables.
Administrative Overhead $600K/yr
[#27] HR, clearance processing, recruitment, background checks, and administrative support.
Training Exercises $300K/yr
[#24] Regular interdiction, amnestic, sensor calibration and interagency drills and exercises.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $56.0M/yr
60.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady operations: ship patrols, routine research, monitoring, and maintenance with no major incidents.
routine_patrols_and_research no_media_exposure no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $58.5M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Small-scale exposure or multiple witness incidents requiring elevated witness management, legal actions, and emergency suppression.
limited_media_exposure 5-20_witness_incidents targeted_cyber_emergency
🚨 Major Breach $131.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$75.0M vs baseline
Large-scale exposure or emergent anomalous behavior requiring mass mobilization, emergency salvage, broad suppression, and large legal/mitigation payouts.
mass_media_exposure mass_vessel_entrapment ecological_catastrophe
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $66.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant scientific breakthrough or credible sentience evidence necessitating rapid expansion of research, personnel hiring, and larger field campaigns.
evidence_of_sentience successful_communication_attempt need_for_large_scale_field_campaign
👥 Personnel 104 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#12, #13] Boarding teams and interdiction personnel assigned to ships and boarding operations.
Ship Crew (captain/officers/deckhands/engineers) 45 [#3] Seagoing vessel crew across baseline 3-ship fleet (rotation included).
Research Scientist 12 [#8, #20] Marine biologists, chemists, behavioral scientists and postdocs for shipboard and shore programs.
Data Scientist / Ocean Modeler 6 [#11, #10] Personnel for data processing, ML models, and predictive drift modeling.
ROV/AUV Operators & Technicians 9 [#5, #6] Skilled operators and vehicle maintenance technicians for ROV/AUV systems.
Medical Officer / Medic 3 [#13, #14] Shipboard medics for interdiction teams and medical/amnestic administration oversight.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#4, #12] Engineers for maintenance, dry-dock coordination, and mechanical systems.
Administrative Staff 4 [#27, #16] HR, finance, and cover-story administrative support.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#11, #20] Program leadership and classified operations oversight.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provided explicit ranges for nearly every line item enabling mid-range point estimates; however uncertainty remains due to operational variability (number of ships, frequency/severity of incidents, and discretionary contingency sizing) so confidence is medium.
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