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SCP-2912 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2912
Expected annual
$789K
One-time setup
$304K
Annual recurring
$773K
Personnel
8
One-time setup for cryogenic containment and monitoring is moderate (~$300k) while recurring annual costs are dominated by security staffing and site overhead (~$773k/yr). Major cost drivers are 24/7 security wages, site allocation/overhead, and ongoing research/monitoring; optional reactivation of live Humanoid Containment Units would greatly increase costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $304K
Equipment $114K
[#1, #5, #15, #20] Purchase & installation of 3 cryogenic freezers (~$75k), initial environmental monitoring hardware/integration (~$11.5k), security/electronic access control initial install (~$17.5k), initial secure DB/setup (~$10k).
Incident Investigation One Time $60K
[#16] Historic/one-off incident investigation, reporting, and archival ($20k–$100k).
Facilities $35K
[#6] Dedicated small generator / transfer-switch and installation (~$20k–$50k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#13, #14] Initial deep sequencing/pathology and analysis (~$27.5k) and sample kit-up/cryovials/archival kits (~$3k).
Emergency Contingency Fund One Time $30K
[#19] Recommended one-time emergency contingency/reserve set-aside ($10k–$50k).
Legal One Time $10K
[#17] Potential one-off legal/cover-story payments or settlements ($10k–$100k if needed).
End Of Life Disposal One Time $10K
[#25] Controlled disposal/administrative closure costs (~$2k–$15k disposal + ~$5k–$25k admin).
Initial Staff Training $6K
[#18] Initial training package / SOP creation (~$2k–$10k).
Secure Transport One Time $6K
[#7] One-off secure temperature-controlled transport event (regional midpoint ~$6k).
Archive Preservation One Time $3K
[#21] High-quality physical documentation/archival setup (~$1k–$5k).
Freezer Replacement One Time $0
[#2] Replacement cycle cost $45k–$90k when it occurs; covered by recurring capital reserve (no immediate one-time budget assumed).
Hcu Buildout One Time $0
[#24] Optional HCU build-out estimated $200k–$1,000k if reactivation required — set to $0 here (not baseline).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $773K/yr
Staff Wages $485K/yr
[#8, #10] On-site security staffing (6 guards, wages + benefits ~ $312k–$468k) and medical/pathology pro-rated FTEs (~$40k–$100k + ~$15k–$35k).
Facilities Maintenance $168K/yr
[#3, #5, #6, #9, #15, #16, #20, #21] Electrical consumption for freezers and HVAC (~$300–$900 total), monitoring/license maintenance (~$1k–$3k/yr), generator maintenance (~$5k–$15k/yr), site allocation/overhead (~$75k–$210k aggregate), security systems maintenance (~$1k–$4k/yr), recurring compliance audits (~$2k–$10k/yr), IT hosting/maintenance (~$1k–$5k/yr), archival maintenance (~$500–$2k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $55K/yr
[#13] Ongoing research, sequencing follow-ups, histology and assays (~$10k–$100k/yr depending on scope).
Cover Story And Legal $15K/yr
[#17] Legal retainer / cover-story maintenance and PRA (~$5k–$25k/yr).
Insurance Reserve $15K/yr
[#23] Insurance / self-insurance allocations (~$5k–$25k/yr; commercial insurance could be higher).
Freezer Replacement Reserve $9K/yr
[#2] Amortized reserve for replacing 3 ULT freezers every 8–12 years (~$5k–$12.5k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#7] Recurring per-move secure cryo transport (assume ~1 regional/specialized move per year; $2k–$50k per event range).
Emergency Contingency Reserve Testing $6K/yr
[#19] Annual funding for readiness testing / small top-ups (~$2k–$10k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#11, #12, #14] Consumables: Circus Peanuts/sugar water/dye (~$200–$2k), PPE/decontamination/waste disposal (~$1k–$5k), annual sample kit resupply (~$500–$3k).
Training And Drills $3K/yr
[#18] Annual refreshers and drills (~$1k–$5k/yr).
Psychological Support $3K/yr
[#22] Counseling and workplace psychological support (~$1k–$5k/yr).
Cryogen Supply Ln2 $2K/yr
[#4] LN2 supply, dewars and rentals (~$500–$2,000/unit; assume $1k–$4k total).
Hcu Operations $0/yr
[#24] Optional ongoing HCU operations/life-support staffing ~$150k–$500k/yr if reactivation occurs — set to $0 in baseline recurring.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $773K/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with preserved remains in cryo, routine monitoring, and no major incidents.
no incidents routine maintenance standard research cadence
🚨 Minor Incident $813K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Single-year minor containment incident (partial freezer failure or urgent LN2 refill) requiring emergency remediation and temporary rentals.
freezer failure emergency LN2/top-up short-term rented freezer/expedited transport
🚨 Major Breach $1.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Security breach or catastrophic containment incident requiring investigation, legal work, equipment replacement and significant remediation.
security breach loss or contamination of specimens major investigation/legal actions
🚨 Reactivated Hcu $1.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$925K vs baseline
Decision to reactivate live Humanoid Containment Units (HCUs) to hold living SCP-2912 instances, incurring build-out and elevated operations.
research decision to house living instances policy change requiring active life-support repurchase/rehabilitation of live containment
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#8] Two-person rule across three shifts (6 guards total) covering 24/7 physical security.
Medical Officer 1 [#10] Foundation physician(s) on-call / pro-rated FTE for specimen health oversight and emergencies.
Pathology Technician 1 [#10] Pathology tech support for sampling and histology (pro-rated FTE).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for equipment, staffing and recurring expenses, enabling a reasonable mid-range estimate. Uncertainty remains around rare events (breaches, legal settlements) and optional HCU activation, so confidence is not high.
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