SCP-2915 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-2915
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$3.6M
Annual recurring
$2.7M
Personnel
16
Initial capital outlay is estimated in the low millions (purchase + containment/equipment), with major recurring drivers being specialized staffing (MTF and cover payroll), research and probe operations, and equipment replacement/consumables.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.6M
Facilities $1.4M
[#1, #3, #14, #26] Purchase of property and structural build-out/renovation (reinforced freezer framing, secure access), decontamination station build, and decommissioning/remediation reserve estimates.
Equipment $1.0M
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #11, #18, #20] Initial purchase/installation of PPE kits, broad-spectrum UV arrays, CCTV/tamper sensors, winch upgrade/inspection, probe/ROV development program initial outlay, emergency response hardware, and IT/hardened hardware setup.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $600K
[#12, #16] On-site analytical instrumentation (GC‑MS) and construction of a small BSL-2/3 suite for secure sample work (alternative to fully contracted lab access).
Incident Response Reserve Initial $500K
[#27] Initial one-time reserve set aside for large-scale incident response / mass exposure contingencies.
Franchise Buyout $50K
[#2] One-time cost to transfer/buy out Wendy's franchise agreement to maintain cover.
Backup Power Installation $25K
[#19] Generator + ATS + UPS installation and initial commissioning.
Personnel Vetting Setup $10K
[#22] Initial background checking and cover identity setup costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.7M/yr
Staff Wages $885K/yr
[#4, #5, #6] Cover staff payroll (front-of-house), dedicated night-shift guards (2 positions, hazard pay/benefits), and MTF Psi-25 rotation / hazard pay / travel.
Research And Monitoring $800K/yr
[#11, #12, #16, #17] Ongoing probe/ROV operations and maintenance, contracted/confirmatory lab services, BSL lab access/consumables, and the core research program (biochemistry, toxicology, anomalous effects).
Supplies And Consumables $309K/yr
[#4, #7, #8, #10, #12, #14, #15, #18, #25] Day-to-day cover supplies, PPE replacement/filters, UV bulbs/maintenance, winch spare parts, GC-MS consumables, decon laundry/consumables, hazardous waste pickups, emergency drills consumables, and averaged equipment-replacement reserve for probes.
Cover Story And Legal $280K/yr
[#2, #21, #22, #28] Annual franchise royalties/advertising/compliance, legal and municipal liaison fees, ongoing vetting/payroll administration related to cover story, and subsidy for lost franchise revenue/limited-menu shortfall.
Administrative Overhead $120K/yr
[#23] Site management, accounting, and administrative overhead (estimated at ~10–15% of operations).
Property Lease $66K/yr
[#1] Alternative recurring lease option (if site is leased instead of purchased) included for completeness.
Containment Audit And Insurance $50K/yr
[#24] Internal containment audits, insurance/indemnity reserves and regular risk assessments.
Incident Response Reserve Annual $50K/yr
[#27] Annual replenishment / maintenance of an incident-response reserve fund.
Medical Surveillance And Healthcare $40K/yr
[#13] Baseline and periodic pulmonary/renal testing, routine occupational health surveillance and minor treatment costs for exposed staff (does not include catastrophic chronic-care costs which are scenario-based).
It Security $25K/yr
[#20] Ongoing IT security, encrypted communications, patching, and storage costs.
Facilities Maintenance $20K/yr
[#10, #19] Routine building/winch maintenance and backup power fuel/maintenance testing.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#15, #11] Transport/logistics for hazardous waste pickups and probe deployment/transport.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.7M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; recurring containment, research, monitoring and cover costs only.
routine operations scheduled maintenance no breaches or public exposures
🚨 Minor Incident $3.0M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Localized incident such as probe loss requiring accelerated replacements, limited staff exposures requiring treatment, and short-term PR/legal costs.
probe failure/loss small-scale exposure among staff temporary PR/legal engagement
🚨 Major Breach $4.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.8M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure requiring large-scale emergency response, remediation, and long-term medical/legal actions.
uncontrolled gas dispersal public exposure / mass casualties major contamination requiring remediation
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $3.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Discovery prompts immediate scale-up of research and containment capabilities (new probes, expanded lab capacity, hiring).
significant scientific breakthrough need for expanded probe fleet and lab capacity
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Front-of-house / Cover Staff 8 [#4] Cover operation payroll estimated and reflected in staff_wages.
Security Officer / Night-shift Guards 2 [#5] Two minimum night-shift guards with PPE and hazard pay.
MTF Agent / Security (Psi-25 rotation) 6 [#6] Core MTF rotation/supervisory team (6 personnel) included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges but many items (probe lifespan, research scope, frequency of losses/breaches) are uncertain, producing medium confidence in numeric choices and scenario probabilities.
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