SCP-2936 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2936
Expected annual
$7.4M
One-time setup
$11.7M
Annual recurring
$7.1M
Personnel
18
Initial one-time setup and contingency reserves are estimated at about $11.67M, driven by site stabilization, transport mobilization, and multiple contingency reserves; ongoing annual operating costs are roughly $6.84M/yr, driven mainly by staffing, transport/logistics, security, and sustained research programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.7M
Facilities $2.0M
[#1] Site stabilization, insulated living/lab modules, foundations, storm anchoring and weatherproofing.
Equipment $1.7M
[#2, #6, #9, #10, #22, #26] Power generation setup, specialized remote-handling hardware initial purchases, initial environmental/CCTV hardware, containment hardware for SCP-2936-1, artifact vault hardware, and initial IT/security hardware.
Transport Logistics Initial $1.2M
[#5] Initial mobilization: heavy airlifts/heavy-lift charter costs and initial transport of heavy repair gear.
Insurance Reserve Initial $1.2M
[#16] Initial insurance/liability reserve and contingency pool for catastrophic incidents and medevac readiness.
Decommissioning Reserve $1.2M
[#29] Long-term decommissioning/demolition fund for eventual site dismantling and environmental restoration.
Anomalous Contingency Reserve $1.1M
[#30] Contingency reserve for rapid anomalous-escalation procurement and emergency containment hardware.
Public Relations Reserve $1.1M
[#24] One-time PR/damage-control reserve for major diplomatic/reputational crises.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $963K
[#7, #8, #11] Laboratory instrumentation initial purchases, archival conservation/data-recovery one-time work, and tank-seal/glass conservation one-time interventions.
Legal And Cover Setup Initial $350K
[#14] Initial legal/diplomatic work, permits, and cover-story setup to justify Antarctic presence.
Secrecy And Cover Initial $275K
[#15] Initial paid takedowns, mapping removals, and one-time information-purging operations.
Energy Efficiency Initial $175K
[#19] Supplemental heaters, heat-recovery systems and initial efficiency upgrades.
Hiring And Training Initial $115K
[#13] One-time premium hiring fees and initial language-training/onboarding for German-fluent technical staff.
Emergency Medical Initial $90K
[#17] On-site emergency clinic set-up and initial medical supplies/training.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.1M/yr
Staff Wages $2.1M/yr
[#3] On-site staffing rotations (scientists, technicians, med tech, on-site security, cooks/logistics, lead researcher) estimated 12–20 FTE; fully-loaded salaries and hazard premiums.
Logistics And Transport $1.4M/yr
[#5, #22, #25, #18] Annual resupply/rotation transport costs, artifact transport/guarding, personnel rotation and respite travel, and regulated waste removal costs.
Research And Monitoring $835K/yr
[#20, #23, #9, #21] Long-term research program budget, forensic/conservation subcontractors, environmental monitoring data costs, and ethics-board related monitoring/oversight.
Security Contracts $800K/yr
[#4] Armed/adjacent security contractors, perimeter watches, rapid-reponse team standby and related training/licensing.
Cover Story And Legal $435K/yr
[#14, #15, #27] Ongoing legal/diplomatic counsel and cover-story maintenance, secrecy monitoring and cultural/ethical indemnification costs.
Emergency Medical Recurring $300K/yr
[#17] Medevac contracts, standby air-ambulance arrangements and medical readiness recurring costs.
Insurance And Contingency Premiums $175K/yr
[#16] Annual insurance premiums and contingency replenishment for the incident reserve.
Conservation Subcontractors $150K/yr
[#23] Annual retainer / project fees for glass/tissue/textile conservators and historic specialists.
Power And Fuel $130K/yr
[#2] Fuel/resupply and ongoing power/fuel consumption costs for generator bank and heating support.
Psychological Support $125K/yr
[#12] On-site/remote psychologists, debriefing rotations, and trauma mitigation due to isolation and Nazi-content stressors.
Supplies And Consumables $120K/yr
[#7, #8] Laboratory consumables and ongoing archival/digitization supplies.
Robotics Rentals $100K/yr
[#6] Annual rentals/rotating equipment for portable CT/industrial imaging and specialized toolkits.
Energy Efficiency Recurring $90K/yr
[#19] Incremental fuel/electric costs associated with supplemental heating and microclimate maintenance beyond primary power budget.
Specialized Training And Drills $90K/yr
[#28] Cold-weather, anomaly-interaction, and rupture-response training exercises and drills.
Artifact Transport Guarding Recurring $85K/yr
[#22] Recurring transport, guarding and cold-storage logistics for removed items.
Hiring And Training Recurring $60K/yr
[#13] Ongoing language training and recruitment incentives for German-fluent staff.
It And Cybersecurity Recurring $60K/yr
[#26] Ongoing IT security, off-site backups, and secure communications maintenance.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.1M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal operating year with no major incidents; routine research, maintenance, rotations and monitoring only.
routine_operations scheduled_research normal_resupply
🚨 Minor Incident $7.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$565K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure, one or a few tank-seal repairs, emergency medevac or limited data-recovery operation requiring short-term surge spending.
tank_leak_or_seal_failure single medevac_or_emergency_repair limited forensic recovery
🚨 Major Breach $11.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$4.3M vs baseline
Significant containment escalation: SCP-2936-1 active escalation or large-scale equipment failure plus political/diplomatic exposure requiring large emergency response, PR campaign, and partial site rebuild.
SCP-2936-1 escalatory_behavior catastrophic_tank_or_system_failure public_exposure/diplomatic_crisis
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 6 [#3] Robotics/AI, conservator, chemist and historical researchers; part of the on-site rotation.
Engineer / Maintenance / Technician 3 [#3] Electrical, generator and mechanical support staff for continuous operations and repairs.
Security Officer / Perimeter Guards 4 [#3,#4] On-site perimeter coverage (contracted) counted among station headcount; additional off-site rapid-response teams budgeted separately.
Administrative Staff / Logistics & Cooks 2 [#3,#5] Logistics, resupply coordination, and food services for rotations.
Medical Officer / Med Tech 1 [#3,#17] On-site med tech and emergency clinic support; medevac contracts handled separately.
Site Director / Lead Researcher (German-fluent) 1 [#3,#13] German-fluent lead researcher required by containment procedures.
Conservator / Archivist 1 [#8,#23] On-site or short-term-retainer conservator for fragile logs, disks and artifacts.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges where provided and sum discrete line items. Reasonable detail exists for logistics and staffing, but anomalous-behavior risk, Antarctic logistics variability, and political/diplomatic exposure create material uncertainty.
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