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SCP-294 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-294
Expected annual
$1.8M
One-time setup
$2.0M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
12
One-time capital and contingency expenses are estimated at approximately $1,952,000, primarily driven by containment fit-out, research instrumentation, and contingency reserves. Recurring annual costs are about $1,742,250 per year, dominated by security and research staff wages and per-test analysis costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.0M
Worst Case Containment Reserve $1.0M
[#26] Contingency reserve for worst-case misuse / national-level response / emergency upgrade.
Emergency Incident Reserve $250K
[#24] Reserve for single severe exposure / emergency medical/legal response.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $210K
[#10] Major analytical instrumentation purchase (GC-MS/HPLC/spectrometers) and small analyzers for on-site identification.
Facilities $141K
[#4, #5, #6, #19] Retrofit of containment room, HVAC/exhaust installation, chemical-resistant work surfaces, and secure sample storage/refrigeration.
Contingency Fund Insurance Reserve $100K
[#17] Up-front contingency / reserve related to insurance/liability (recommended minimum).
Policy Scaling Program $100K
[#25] One-time costs related to policy-driven scaling, permitting, or compliance programs.
Equipment $68K
[#2, #3, #7, #8, #18, #22] Initial guard equipment, CCTV/hardware installation, Level A suit stock, initial spill kits, major spare/repair fund, and UPS purchase.
Background Checks Initial $30K
[#15] Initial background checks/psych screening for up to ~50 authorized users.
It And Sop System Dev $25K
[#14] Initial SOP drafting and secure logging/audit system development (one-time buildout).
Initial Cover Story And Legal $20K
[#16] Initial cover-story/PR/legal program setup.
Transport And Relocation $8K
[#20] Cost to move the machine to a secure facility (specialty rigging/crew).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $845K/yr
[#1, #11] Security roster (8 guards to provide 2-on-site coverage across shifts) and dedicated research personnel (2 chemists + 2 lab techs), salaries + benefits.
Sampling And Per Test Analysis $500K/yr
[#23, #10] Marginal per-test costs (technician time, consumables, sample shipment/outsourced analysis). Assumes ~1,000 tests/year at ~$500 average per test (mix of in-house and outsourced analyses).
Administrative Overhead $227K/yr
[#27] Miscellaneous administrative overhead (10-20% of direct recurring operating costs; model uses ~15%).
Cover Story And Legal $40K/yr
[#16, #21] Ongoing legal retainer, PR, embargo/communications operations and takedown activity budget.
Research And Monitoring $31K/yr
[#10, #14] Instrument calibration/maintenance, certified reference materials, and IT/SOP maintenance for research logging.
Supplies And Consumables $27K/yr
[#2, #7, #8, #9] Guard consumables/equipment replacement, PPE consumables, spill kit replenishment, and hazardous-waste handling/disposal (low-to-moderate volume).
Insurance Premiums $25K/yr
[#17] Specialized liability insurance premiums (estimated mid-range).
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#3, #5, #22] CCTV/cloud recording fees, HVAC filter replacements/energy increase, and backup power/UPS maintenance.
Health Monitoring And Medical Readiness $12K/yr
[#12] Baseline/periodic medical surveillance, exposure testing, and medevac/ambulance contracts.
Incident Response And Training $10K/yr
[#13] Annual tabletop and live drills, instructor fees, and productivity loss for spill/ingestion/containment training.
Background Checks And Monitoring $5K/yr
[#15] Renewals and periodic monitoring for authorized users.
Machine Maintenance And Spares $5K/yr
[#18] Routine servicing, calibration, and spare parts for the machine itself.
Secure Sample Storage $3K/yr
[#19] Ongoing monitoring/security for refrigerated/locked sample storage and archival.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
84.9% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with standard testing cadence, regular maintenance, and no significant incidents.
routine_testing no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Single small spill, isolated exposure, or limited contamination requiring cleanup, medical treatment, and minor legal/PR work.
small_spill single_staff_exposure limited_cleanup
🚨 Major Breach $2.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Multiple exposures, larger contamination event, partial containment failure requiring extended cleanup, incident investigation, and settlements.
multiple_exposures containment_failure legal_settlements
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $3.2M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
High-impact misuse or large-scale contamination requiring national-level response, mass medical care, secure relocation or major facility hardening.
malicious_misuse large_scale_release national_response
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Decision to exploit SCP-294 for production/research at scale, requiring hiring, compliance, capital upgrades, and increased operational throughput.
policy_decision_to_scale production_or_exploitation
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#1] Eight hires to provide 2-on-site guards across three shifts with PTO/sick coverage.
Research Scientist 2 [#11] Two chemists/toxicologists for controlled testing and analysis.
Lab Technician 2 [#11] Two lab technicians to support sample prep, instrumentation, and routine testing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are drawn from analyst-provided ranges; staffing costs are well-estimated but per-test volumes, instrument choices, and worst-case contingencies are uncertain, producing moderate confidence.
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