SCP-2962 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-2962
Expected annual
$15.2M
One-time setup
$22.3M
Annual recurring
$14.9M
Personnel
54
Estimated one-time setup costs of approximately $22.3M to acquire/secure a site and install containment infrastructure, with recurring annual operations driven mainly by staff wages, long-term research, and contingency reserves (~$14.9M/yr). Main cost drivers are property acquisition, permanent containment and incineration hardware, continuous HVAC/scrubbing operation, and multi-year research programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $22.3M
Facilities $12.2M
[#1, #2, #5, #12, #34] Property acquisition (compulsory purchase), interim boarding/sealing, permanent containment construction/retrofit, off-site neutralised-particulate storage facility capital and a planning-level allocation for potential demolition/remediation in worst-case decommissioning.
Equipment $7.5M
[#6, #8, #10, #17, #26, #30, #31] Capital installation of HVAC/negative-pressure systems, automated particulate scrubbers, high-temperature waste treatment (incinerator/plasma unit), robotic/remote-handling systems, certified transport vehicles & containers, one-time IT/hardened systems, and power redundancy (generators/UPS).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.1M
[#14, #15, #20, #21, #29] Initial PPE stock and decon infrastructure, R&D/detection project capital, environmental & bio-monitoring equipment, and initial specialized training program costs (initial course runs, simulants).
Legal And Acquisition $500K
[#24] Upfront legal/compliance and compulsory-acquisition fees, title transfers and immediate litigation/insurance costs associated with forced purchase and urgent relocations.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $14.9M/yr
Staff Wages $5.0M/yr
[#3, #4, #11, #13, #18, #19] Ongoing salaries and benefits for MTF/security detachments and civilian security augmentation, portions of incinerator/ops staffing, off-site storage staffing and robotics technicians, and the salary component of research staff.
Long Term Research Program $4.0M/yr
[#33] Multi-year translational research budget allocated annually toward treatment/neutralization R&D, animal models, omics and containment-safe trials (large-scale Keter-class program).
Emergency Contingency Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#28] Annual allocation to maintain a rapid-response contingency fund for breach response, large-scale decontamination, evacuations, and emergency incineration/demolition actions.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#19, #20, #22] Ongoing lab consumables, sequencing/PCR consumables and reference testing, monitoring maintenance and the recurring calibration/validation budget for detection system development.
Facilities Maintenance $1.2M/yr
[#7, #9, #11, #13, #31] HVAC/negative-pressure operating costs (energy, filter replacement, maintenance), scrubber operation & consumables, non-salary incinerator operating costs (fuel, maintenance, emissions monitoring) and facility/backup power testing and upkeep.
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#24, #25] Retained counsel, compliance reporting, cover-story maintenance, public affairs and compensation/mitigation budget for displaced residents and routine secrecy upkeep.
Supplies And Consumables $330K/yr
[#14, #16, #18, #35] Recurring PPE replacements and hazardous disposal of contaminated PPE, robotic spare parts/consumables, and miscellaneous operational consumables and small equipment replacements.
Medical Surveillance $150K/yr
[#23] Recurring medical screening, occupational health exams, cancer screening and exposure testing for staff (program costs).
Hazardous Waste Disposal $150K/yr
[#27] Fees for specialized hazardous-waste treatment and disposal (HEPA filters, ash, scrubber sludge) charged per weight/hazard class.
Logistics And Transport $100K/yr
[#26] Recurring per-move hazardous transport convoy costs (routine transfers between site, off-site storage and incineration) averaged over expected throughput.
It Operations $100K/yr
[#30] Recurring IT, communications, secure telemetry, backups, and cybersecurity for monitoring and control systems.
Psychological Support $80K/yr
[#32] Ongoing counselling, long-term disability provisions and mental-health support for staff working in high-stress anomalous containment roles.
Training Programs $60K/yr
[#29] Ongoing specialized training, drills, contracted instructors and simulated breach exercises.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $14.9M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents: routine containment, monitoring, research and scheduled maintenance only.
steady_operations routine_research
🚨 Minor Incident $15.9M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized containment breach or equipment failure requiring targeted response, extra incineration runs, emergency hires/OT and PR mitigation.
localized_release equipment_failure single_instance_transmission
🚨 Major Breach $24.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure necessitating mass evacuation, large-scale remediation, long emergency operations and heavy legal/PR costs.
multi-unit_release public_exposure facility_compromise
👥 Personnel 54 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 14 Site 24/7 security detachment, multiple shifts (maps to #3).
Security Supervisor 2 Shift supervisors and quick-reaction leaders (maps to #3).
Research Scientist 13 Virology/pathology/bioinformatics staff involved in research and detection R&D (maps to #19, #20).
Lab Technician / Containment Tech 12 Containment technicians, sample handlers and routine monitoring staff (maps to #19, #22).
Engineer / Maintenance 5 HVAC, scrubber, incinerator and robotics maintenance technicians (maps to #6, #7, #10, #17, #31).
Incinerator Operator / Waste Handling 2 Certified operators for high-temperature waste treatment (maps to #11, #26).
Administrative Staff 2 Site administration, logistics coordination and records (maps to #24, #30).
CCTV Operator / Perimeter Monitoring 4 Electronic monitoring, CCTV operators and perimeter response coordination (maps to #4, #26).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and a high degree of location- and throughput-dependence; SCP-2962's anomalous behaviour and Keter status create substantial uncertainty in required scale and frequency of expensive responses.
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