SCP-2987 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2987
Expected annual
$3.5M
One-time setup
$984K
Annual recurring
$3.4M
Personnel
15
Initial one-time setup is approximately $984,000 driven by R&D, facility retrofits, secure hardware, and legal setup; recurring annual costs are approximately $3.35M driven primarily by staff wages, a maintained contingency reserve, legal/PR retainer, and ongoing specialist/security/cyber requirements.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $984K
Facilities $303K
[#1, #4, #13, #26] Facility retrofits and site integration: vault mounting/integration, small site work for GPU/storage rack, ritual/quarantine suite retrofits and related structural work.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $280K
[#22, #23] Initial firmware reverse-engineering project setup and SOP/training development (testbeds, tools, initial contractor recruiting and setup).
Equipment $201K
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #19, #21] Physical containment locker, Faraday shielding, air-gapped workstation(s), initial GPU node, base storage array, duplication devices/HSM initial purchase, forensic imaging setup, initial off-site vaulting hardware, secure destruction equipment.
Legal Setup Retainer $200K
[#12] One-time legal/cover-up retainer and initial legal/setup costs associated with containment-related counsel and cover-story preparation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #27] Salaries for dedicated guards, project director, AI lead, research staff, senior sysadmin, ethics liaison, and a specialist (thaumaturgist/occult-safety officer).
Emergency Contingency Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#14, #30] Maintained contingency/emergency reserve for incident response, large-scale mitigation, external contracting, evacuations and extraordinary remediation.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#12, #25] Ongoing legal retainer, counsel, cover-story maintenance and regular disinformation/PR retainer costs.
Insurance Internal $200K/yr
[#24] Internal liability accounting / insurance-equivalent budgeting for infrastructure damage and legal exposure.
Firmware Rd Ongoing $100K/yr
[#22] Ongoing reverse-engineering, contractor specialists, embedded systems analysis and mitigation research.
Pr And Disinformation $100K/yr
[#25] Ongoing PR/disinformation retainers and readiness budgets for potential exposures.
Cybersecurity And Redteam $60K/yr
[#15] Regular red-team testing, external audits, and penetration testing against air-gap and exfiltration vectors.
Specialist Contracts $50K/yr
[#27] Contractor engagements (occultists, linguists, consultants) and occasional specialist retainers.
Power And Cooling $40K/yr
[#16] Incremental electricity and HVAC costs for workstations and GPU compute nodes (PUE overhead).
Software Licenses $40K/yr
[#17] Licensed OSes, toolchains, model runtimes, sandboxing and logging software subscriptions/renewals.
Quarantine And Per Test $40K/yr
[#26] Per-test personnel/contractor costs and operational expenses for quarantine/ritual testing (assumes occasional tests annually).
Data Governance $30K/yr
[#18] Logging, CI/CD, audit-trail retention and governance systems recurring costs.
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#1, #13, #26] Ongoing maintenance for vault integration, ritual/quarantine suite upkeep, and minor site repairs related to containment hardware.
Annual Audit $25K/yr
[#29] Annual compliance, ethics and containment audits.
Hsm Key Management $20K/yr
[#6] HSM rental/persistent key management, rotation, and operational costs.
Secure Destruction Annual $20K/yr
[#21] Annual budget for secure destruction/decommissioning operations and chain-of-custody verification.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#20] Replacement drives, cables, UPS batteries, cleaning supplies, tape cartridges, and routine spares.
Storage Maintenance And Expansion $10K/yr
[#5] SAN/NAS maintenance, expansion planning and initial recurring storage support.
Secure Transport Per Move $10K/yr
[#8] Average annual secure courier/transport costs for authorized movements (assumes occasional moves per year).
Training And Exercises $10K/yr
[#23] SOP refresher training, tabletop exercises and staff training updates.
Long Term Archival $10K/yr
[#28] Archival storage, indexing and legal retention fees for copies and logs.
Secure Offsite Backup Fees $5K/yr
[#19] Off-site vault storage fees, access and transfer charges.
Forensic Procedures $4K/yr
[#7] Recurring forensic imaging/verification costs per major procedure and small recurring tooling/verification spends.
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.4M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, occasional small maintenance and scheduled tests; no major incidents.
routine operations scheduled tests no breaches or major incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $3.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Small containment incident or limited runaway AI behavior requiring targeted incident response, legal engagement, forensics, and PR mitigation.
limited breach runaway process needing isolation minor public-facing leak
🚨 Major Breach $8.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach, mass influence/event or large-scale occult manifestation requiring major mitigation, negotiation, evacuation and large contingency spending.
catastrophic containment failure mass influence event extensive structural or societal remediation
🚨 Research Scaleup $4.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Planned decision to scale research significantly (large GPU cluster, petabyte storage, increased specialists and program-level contracting).
program decision to scale experiments sustained high-volume AI training/inference extended occult research program
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Project Director / Executive Staff 1 [#10] Oversees SCP-2987 program and approvals.
Research Scientist (AI Lead) 1 [#10] Senior AI researcher leading experiments.
Research Scientist (AI Researchers) 3 [#10] Junior/senior researchers performing experiments and analysis.
Engineer / Maintenance (Senior Sysadmin) 1 [#10] Maintains air-gapped systems, storage, and compute infrastructure.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#9] Dedicated guards to cover 24/7 rotations and test escorts (incremental to site baseline).
Ethics Liaison / Review 1 [#11] Ethics board liaison and ongoing oversight for AI experiments.
Specialist (Thaumaturgist / Occult-safety officer) 1 [#13, #27] Specialist for occult consultation, translations and ritual safety.
Administrative Staff 1 [#10, #12] Project admin and coordination, partially covering legal/contract liaison and documentation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes give detailed line-item ranges, but many items (occult consultancy, contingency needs, scale of compute/storage and legal/PR exposure) have wide ranges and policy-dependent decisions; estimates are midpoint-informed rather than measured procurement quotes.
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