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SCP-2997 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-2997
Expected annual
$3.3M
One-time setup
$1.9M
Annual recurring
$3.3M
Personnel
7
One-time capital expenditures are expected in the low millions (primarily facility retrofit, shielding and remote-handling robotics), while recurring annual operations and risk reserves drive ongoing costs into multiple millions per year; main drivers are staff wages, MTF readiness and contingency/reserve funding.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.9M
Facilities $950K
[#1, #10] Retrofit of an observation chamber including shielding/thickening, penetration sealing, access control and HVAC/negative-pressure installation (structural/installation work).
Equipment $744K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #11, #12, #13, #22] Pedestal/mount, multi-angle camera array and cabling, server/storage setup, radiation area monitors and high-res gamma spectrometer, UPS/generator hardware, remote handling robotics, tracker hardware, and initial cybersecurity/hardened servers.
Legal And Licensing Initial $100K
[#19] Initial licensing, permits, legal consultations and international liaison costs to permit possession and transport of radiological material.
Initial Recovery And Transport $95K
[#25] One-time cost to recover the urn from Japan (MTF travel, secure crate, diplomatic cover, shipping/customs).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $40K
[#17, #29] Initial conservation plan and supports for the urn and initial archival/conservation/translation setup.
Immediate Witness Handling $15K
[#20] Immediate amnestic/witness handling and one-time cover actions after recovery/incident.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.3M/yr
Incident Response Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#24] Annual reserve to cover emergency cleanup, off-site medical costs, legal claims, temporary relocation and high-cost remediation.
Staff Wages $582K/yr
[#7, #15] Full-time Radiation Safety Officer (estimated $150,000/yr) plus six dedicated guards (6 x $60,000 + ~20% benefits → $432,000/yr).
Decommissioning Contingency Reserve $500K/yr
[#30] Ongoing contingency funding set aside toward potential large-scale decommissioning/remediation scenarios.
Research And Monitoring $460K/yr
[#4, #6, #8, #16, #17, #26, #27] Continuous video storage/ops, personal dosimetry program, medical/occupational health monitoring, periodic radiochemistry/material analyses, conservation maintenance, long-term archival handling, and discretionary contingency research fund.
Logistics And Transport $375K/yr
[#13, #14] Secure transport/tracker replacement subscriptions and a pooled Lambda-37 rapid-response readiness fund for deployments (annual readiness/reserve).
Radioactive Waste Disposal $100K/yr
[#18] Annual contingency/reserve for packaged radioactive waste handling and as-needed licensed disposal contracts.
Facilities Maintenance $81K/yr
[#10, #23] HVAC/negative-pressure and HEPA filter maintenance, duct/sensor upkeep and annual maintenance reserve (estimated ~5–10% of capital equipment).
Cover Story And Legal $80K/yr
[#19, #20] Ongoing legal/liaison retainer and cover-story/public-affairs/amnestic administration costs.
Supplies And Consumables $55K/yr
[#9, #11, #13, #28, #29] PPE and decontamination consumables, backup power fuel/testing, secure-comm subscription, perimeter environmental surveys, and archival consumables.
Training Drills $30K/yr
[#21] Regular emergency drills, robotics/operator training, RSO and MTF coordination exercises.
Cybersecurity And Ops $30K/yr
[#22] Ongoing penetration testing, secure network operations, and monitoring to protect camera/sensor feeds and research data.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.3M/yr
90.8% probability / year
Normal year without major incidents; routine operations, monitoring, staff wages and scheduled maintenance only.
no breach regular monitoring scheduled maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.5M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Limited incident (e.g., small external movement of tracker or minor contamination) requiring one MTF deployment, waste handling and limited medical checks.
tracker exit/site alarm small containment breach localized contamination
🚨 Major Breach $4.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant radiological incident requiring large-scale cleanup, extended MTF operations, medical treatment and contractor disposal.
urn damage/rupture major contamination event public exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $13.3M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Worst-case uncontrolled escalation requiring site evacuation, international nuclear remediation and full decommissioning.
uncontrolled high gamma output site evacuation international remediation
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Radiation Safety Officer (RSO) 1 [#7] Full-time RSO salary and benefits included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / Guard 6 [#15] Six dedicated guards for 24/7 coverage; salary+benefits included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items have wide ranges (notably shielding, robotics, waste disposal and remediation), but containment requirements, necessary equipment and major recurring categories are described in the notes allowing a medium-confidence estimate; contingency/reserve items introduce significant variance.
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