SCP-3012 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3012
Expected annual
$22.1M
One-time setup
$63.8M
Annual recurring
$21.4M
Personnel
57
One-time capital costs (~$63.8M) are dominated by SRA procurement, city-scale camera ingestion and compute infrastructure, and a contingency reserve; recurring annual costs (~$21.45M/yr) are driven by staff wages, continuous AI/monitoring and compute, MTF readiness, and per-event response costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $63.8M
Equipment $27.0M
[#3, #6, #9, #2, #10, #19, #23] Compute/storage ($1,000,000), SRA procurement for MTF (~20 units, $15,000,000), field vehicles/fleet ($1,500,000), live-camera ingestion initial setup for 20 cities ($5,000,000), rapid-deploy anchor kits ($1,000,000), sensor network expansion ($3,000,000), communications hardware ($500,000).
Contingency Reserve $20.0M
[#21] Insurance-style catastrophic response reserve (capital set-aside, mid-range selection).
Facilities $10.3M
[#20, #8] Containment facility upgrade baseline ($10,000,000 mid-range) plus training program setup/facility buildout ($300,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.4M
[#11, #18] Amnestic R&D & lab setup ($2,750,000) and research program initial setup ($600,000).
Ai Development And Deployment $2.5M
[#1] One-time AI/ML model development, training pipelines, annotation tooling and hardened productionization (mid-range assumption).
Mass Amnestic Stockpile Setup $500K
[#13] Initial regional stockpile establishment (mid-range).
Background Checks Setup $125K
[#22] Initial personnel screening program setup (mid-range).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $21.4M/yr
Staff Wages $6.3M/yr
[#4, #5, #18, #1] Monitoring/operators, MTF roster readiness, research staff, and core AI/engineering personnel salaries (aggregated headcount wages).
Research And Monitoring $4.8M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #18, #19, #23] Ongoing AI model updates and retraining, live camera/data access licensing and bandwidth, cloud GPU & storage, recurring research program funding, sensor maintenance, and recurring comms subscriptions.
Cover Story And Legal $2.0M/yr
[#16, #17, #27] Ongoing media-control, PR/cover-story budgets, legal/diplomatic expenditures, and archival/falsified-record maintenance.
Per Event Response $2.0M/yr
[#26, #12] Expected annual budget for responding to Dybbuk events (amnestics administration, short-term deployment, event logistics) assuming multiple events per year (modelled as ~4 events/year * ~$500k average/event).
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#9, #28] Vehicle maintenance, fuel, and logistics; annual reserve for cross-jurisdictional transport/rapid international moves.
Facilities Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#20, #10, #3] Ongoing site operations, anchor-room upkeep, readiness for rapid-deploy kits and facility power/HVAC/EMP maintenance.
Cross Jurisdictional Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#28] Annual reserved funds for international deployments/diplomatic contingencies.
Sra Maintenance And Research $600K/yr
[#6] Ongoing R&D, spare parts, certification and testing for SRAs and related anomalous device upkeep.
Cleanup And Forensic Operations $600K/yr
[#14] Annual budget for forensic removal teams, hazardous-material procedures, site decontamination and contracted disposal for recurring incidents.
Sra Consumables $400K/yr
[#7] Batteries, seals, recalibration, consumables and certified technician workloads for ~20 handheld SRAs (mid-range).
Background Checks Recurring $300K/yr
[#22] Ongoing vetting, polygraphing, and insider-threat monitoring for staff.
Quarantine And Housing $200K/yr
[#15] Temporary housing, feeding, monitoring and restitution for displaced civilians averaged across incidents.
Personnel Medical And Psych $200K/yr
[#24] Long-term monitoring and psychological care budgets for exposed staff and trauma cases.
Training Program Recurring $200K/yr
[#8] Recertification courses, simulation drills, and recurring training exercise costs.
Rapid Deploy Upkeep $200K/yr
[#10] Readiness upkeep for rapid-deploy anchor kits, crane/rigging contracts and periodic rental/testing.
Amnestic Manufacturing $200K/yr
[#11, #12] Ongoing manufacturing run costs and per-dose production overhead (covers routine demand and replacement stock).
Waste Disposal Retainer $150K/yr
[#25] Annual retainer and per-incident waste disposal/ incineration contracts.
Mass Amnestic Rotation $150K/yr
[#13] Rotation, storage and expiry management for pre-positioned amnestic stockpiles.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $21.4M/yr
72.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, training, and a small number of local incidents handled within planned per-event budgets.
routine_monitoring small_local_incidents no_major_breach
🚨 Minor Incident $22.2M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Single medium-scale Dybbuk event requiring a full MTF deployment, increased amnestic administration, cleanup and targeted media/legal actions.
single_dybbuk_event localized_cleanup heightened_media_attention
🚨 Major Breach $36.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Multi-site or large urban Dybbuk event (or containment failure) requiring mass amnestic campaigns, international deployments, emergency containment upgrades and large-scale remediation.
multi-site_dybbuk failed_containment mass_casualties
👥 Personnel 57 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 MTF roster maintained for rapid deployment; fully loaded cost basis ~ $120k each (maps to staff_wages #5).
Monitoring Operator / Watch Officer 15 24/7 NOC-style operators validating AI flags and coordinating responses (maps to staff_wages #4).
Research Scientist 8 Multi-disciplinary research staff for predictive modeling and amnestic/field studies (maps to staff_wages #18).
ML Engineer / Software Engineer 6 AI/ML and deployment engineers for model development and hardened production (maps to staff_wages #1).
Administrative Staff / Site Support 5 Logistics, records, procurement and admin to support operations (maps to staff_wages).
Medical Officer 3 Medics for field administration of amnestics, monitoring and post-exposure care (maps to #12 and #24).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide broad ranges and detailed line items but many costs (SRA unit price, event frequency, containment requirements) are highly uncertain; mid-range estimates used produce medium confidence.
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