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SCP-3018 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3018
Expected annual
$416K
One-time setup
$546K
Annual recurring
$410K
Personnel
3
One-time startup costs are approximately $546,500 driven mainly by land acquisition, perimeter fencing, emitter hardware/network and spare inventory; recurring annual operations are about $409,500 driven by staff wages, contracted security, research monitoring, and contingency replenishment.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $546K
Equipment $147K
[#5, #6, #12] Ultrasound emitter hardware baseline (100 units × $1,200 = $120,000), installation & integration (~$12,000), remote monitoring camera/NVR hardware (~$15,000).
Facilities $136K
[#1, #3, #4] Land purchase for a 10 ha parcel (~$25,000 chosen), perimeter fencing for ~1.3 km (midrange ~$104,000), gates/locks/signage (~$7,500).
Power Infrastructure $50K
[#7] Chosen solar-per-unit approach for emitters (100 units × ~$500 hardware = $50,000 one-time).
Contingency Seed Fund $50K
[#20] Seed emergency reserve to cover fast repairs or replacement after storms/vandalism (~$50,000 recommended).
Vehicle Purchase $40K
[#11] Dedicated 4x4/utility vehicle purchase (midrange ~$40,000 one-time).
Spare Inventory $35K
[#9] Spare parts inventory for emitters and mounts (15–25% stock; midrange ~$35,000 one-time).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#13, #14] One-time lab setup and basic scientific instrument purchases (~$15k–$50k) plus PPE/decon station setup (~$3k–$8k) combined (midrange ~$30,000).
Eia And Permitting $23K
[#2] Professional environmental impact assessment and permit application fees plus legal paperwork (midrange ~$23,000).
Backup Generator $15K
[#8] Modest onsite generator / ATS for reliability (midrange ~$15,000).
Data Logging And It Setup $15K
[#19] Onsite server, initial dashboard setup and cybersecurity baseline (midrange ~$15,000 one-time).
Regulatory One Time $5K
[#22] One-time regulatory application fees and initial noise/ultrasound authorization work (~$1k–$10k, mid ~$5,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $410K/yr
Staff Wages $190K/yr
[#10, #13] Salaries and benefits for containment/research staff: 1research scientist, 1 research technician, 1 maintenance technician (combined midrange ~$190,000/yr). Includes labor for emitter checks every four days.
Security Contract $80K/yr
[#16] Contracted rapid response/security team to respond to breaches and train staff (midrange contract ~$80,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $40K/yr
[#13, #21, #24] Field consumables, sequencing/lab fees, biodiversity monitoring, and extra staffing/equipment during Alban Events (combined ~$40,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#17, #18] Insurance, legal retainer, community relations and public-facing conservatory costs (combined midrange ~$30,000/yr).
Contingency Replenishment $15K/yr
[#20] Annual replenishment transfers to emergency reserve (~$5k–$25k/yr; mid ~$15,000).
Logistics And Transport $12K/yr
[#11, #15] Vehicle fuel, servicing, insurance and travel for staff and visitors (~$9k for vehicle + ~$3k travel/admin = $12,000/yr).
Power Battery Replacement $10K/yr
[#7] Annual battery replacement cycle for distributed solar units (midrange ~$10,000/yr).
Spare Replacement Budget $10K/yr
[#9] Annual budget to replace weathered/vandalized emitter units (~$5k–$20k/yr; mid ~$10,000).
Supplies And Consumables $7K/yr
[#14, #25, #23] PPE consumables, decon consumables and annual electronics/battery disposal costs (combined midrange ~$7,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#3, #4, #8, #23] Annual fence/gate upkeep, signage replacement and minor facility repairs (~$4,000/yr).
It And Cloud Storage $4K/yr
[#12, #19] Cloud storage, NVR offsite retention and IT support (~$2k–$8k/yr; mid ~$4,000).
Backup Power Fuel Maintenance $3K/yr
[#8] Fuel and maintenance for onsite backup generator (~$1,500–$5,000/yr; mid ~$3,000).
Visitor Program Processing $3K/yr
[#15] Administrative processing, background checks and occasional medic standby related to approved overnight visitor program (~$1k–$5k/yr; mid ~$3,000).
Regulatory Compliance Checks $2K/yr
[#22] Ongoing noise/ultrasound compliance monitoring and reporting (~$500–$3,000/yr; mid ~$1,500).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $410K/yr
92.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine maintenance, research, and no major incidents.
routine_operations no_major_weather_or_vandalism
🚨 Minor Incident $434K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Localized emitter failures or vandalism requiring expedited repairs and temporary contracted labor.
localized_emitter_failure minor_vandalism storm_damage_zone
🚨 Major Breach $810K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Widespread emitter/network failure or large-scale breach requiring mass replacement, emergency containment, and legal/cleanup costs.
systemic_emitter_failure major_storm_or_mass_vandalism extended_power_outage
🚨 Regulatory Action $560K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Regulatory or public-pressure action requiring redesign of emitter system or mitigation for non-target species (e.g., bats), leading to capital redesign and mitigation costs.
regulatory_investigation documented_harm_to_non-target_species
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#13] Senior entomologist/ecologist responsible for research design and oversight; salary included in staff_wages.
Research Technician 1 [#13] Field/lab technician supporting sampling, sequencing and event monitoring; salary included in staff_wages.
Maintenance Technician 1 [#10] Technician performing emitter checks every four days and routine site maintenance; salary included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates for most categories (land, fencing, emitters, maintenance, research), allowing a reasoned midrange budget; remaining uncertainty stems from outdoor equipment lifespan, choice of grid vs. solar, and regulatory/ecological outcomes which can materially shift recurring vs. capital balances.
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