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SCP-302 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-302
Expected annual
$638K
One-time setup
$828K
Annual recurring
$627K
Personnel
4
Initial one-time containment, specialized equipment and an emergency contingency fund drive upfront costs (~$0.83M); ongoing annual costs (~$0.63M/year) are dominated by research staff, medical readiness, legal/cover reserves and monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $828K
Incident Contingency Fund $600K
[#18] One-off emergency remediation bank for large-scale infestations, fumigation and site remediation.
Equipment $126K
[#1, #3, #5, #14, #19] Purpose-built sealed glovebox, dedicated micro-environment HVAC & sensors, specialized ant-capture equipment, tamper-resistant cameras, and sealed transfer container purchase.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $62K
[#17] Lab equipment and insectary setup for live ant handling (containment tanks, chillers, microscopes, specimen storage).
Facilities $30K
[#2] Safe-3 room modifications, secondary vault upgrades and sealing work.
Initial Training $10K
[#21] Initial formal training, SOP development and initial drills.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $627K/yr
Research And Monitoring $275K/yr
[#12, #15, #16] D-class test program operational costs, data storage/logging and the laboratory research program (staff + consumables) to study mechanism and mitigations.
Staff Wages $180K/yr
[#9, #10, #13] Entomology/pest-control staffing (consultant/part-time entomologist + technician time), medical staffing & emergency response allocation, and marginal security/guard allocation.
Cover Story And Legal $125K/yr
[#20] Annual legal/cover-up and public-relations reserve for civilian exposure, misinformation, and clandestine administrative actions.
Facilities Maintenance $14K/yr
[#4, #25] Incremental energy/utilities for HVAC, alarms and sensors plus routine maintenance, resealing, HVAC servicing and sensor calibration.
Supplies And Consumables $14K/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Consumable ant-removal supplies/insecticides, PPE replacement stock, and PPE laundering/disposal costs.
Monitoring And Followup Annual $6K/yr
[#23] Annualized monitoring, capture and follow-up for unauthorized contacts (per-incident budget annualized).
Psychological Support $6K/yr
[#24] Psychological support and staff care (EAP, counseling) for exposed or traumatized personnel.
Annual Refresher Trainings $5K/yr
[#22] Annual refresher trainings, onboarding and quarterly drills.
Logistics And Transport $1K/yr
[#19] Per-transfer operational costs for emergency transport/secure transfers (annualized transfers).
Euthanasia And Processing Estimated Annual $600/yr
[#11] Annualized budget for euthanasia/termination and human-remains processing (per-incident budget annualized at low expected incident frequency).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $627K/yr
92.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: ongoing monitoring, research and routine operations only.
routine operations scheduled research no containment breach
🚨 Minor Incident $677K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized mishandling or small containment breach requiring targeted remediation, extra medical care and cleanup.
unauthorized handling glovebox breach small-scale infestation
🚨 Major Breach $1.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Significant mishandling causing facility-level infestation and prolonged remediation, fumigation and downtime.
large-scale mishandling equipment failure delayed detection
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $827K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Discovery necessitates expanded research capacity and containment upgrades for higher-risk experiments.
breakthrough requiring scale-up planned containment upgrade increased experiment cadence
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Entomologist / Pest-control Technician 1 [#9] Part-time entomologist consultant and pest-control technician time accounted in staff wages.
Medical Officer / Med Tech (on-call) 1 [#10] On-call medical staffing and emergency response allocation included in staff wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#13] Increased guard checks and restricted-access allocation included as marginal security staffing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and ranges are well-documented in analyst notes, but many estimates are wide ranges and incident frequencies (per-incident annualization) required judgment; major-event probabilities are especially uncertain.
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