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SCP-3035 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3035
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$1.9M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
8
Initial capital upgrades and containment lab outfitting total roughly $1.91M one-time; recurring annual costs are approximately $1.70M/yr driven primarily by MTF staffing, vacuum-tube maintenance, quarantine processing, ongoing research, and a contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.9M
Facilities $1.1M
[#2, #5, #9, #26] Entry A permanent sealing, Entry B vacuum-tube upgrade/refurbishment, provisional base infrastructure (one-time buildout), and permanent vacuum-line removal/civil works; includes reinforcing, engineering, shelter foundations and major civil projects.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $400K
[#11, #16] Quarantine & examination room outfitting (BSL-2 style build-out, cold storage) and the initial analytical biology/sequencing campaign (instruments/reagents/start-up).
Equipment $325K
[#7, #13, #21, #22, #29] MTF initial equipment/weapon issue, incinerator purchase & installation, surveillance hardware install, secure records/IT hardware (one-time portion), and vehicle purchase(s).
Cover Operations Setup $100K
[#27] One-time establishment of cover/administrative operations, permits setup and initial cover-company establishment.
Training And Sop Development $25K
[#18] Initial SOP development and training rollout costs for "termination on sight" procedures and specialized handling.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $800K/yr
[#6] On-site MTF Nu-13 staffing (assumed 8 personnel at ~$100k loaded cost each per year: salaries, hazard pay, benefits and payroll overhead).
Supplies And Consumables $282K/yr
[#3, #8, #9, #10, #12, #14, #15, #17, #19, #23, #24] Entry A monitoring sensors & inspections, MTF consumables, base generator consumables, base consumables (food/water/fuel), quarantine PPE/cleaning, incinerator operation (fuel portion), per-package handling costs (~52/yr), laboratory consumables & cold-chain, PPE replacement program, hazardous ash disposal (routine), and environmental pest control.
Contingency Reserve $200K/yr
[#25] Annual allocation to a rapid-response contingency fund for outbreak/tube-breach mobilization and emergency operations (reserve contribution to maintain minimum available funds).
Research And Monitoring $165K/yr
[#16, #21, #30] Ongoing follow-up research and assays, surveillance monitoring (CCTV/logging storage recurring costs), and routine sample documentation/archiving/curation staff time.
Cover Story And Legal $110K/yr
[#27, #28, #22] Ongoing cover/administrative costs, legal & compliance retainer/annual counsel, and secure records/IT maintenance/backup (recurring portion).
Facilities Maintenance $105K/yr
[#1, #4] Ongoing site structural maintenance (inspections, crack repair, leak remediation) and Entry B vacuum-tube transit maintenance/servicing.
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#29] Vehicle fuel/maintenance and courier logistics for site access and specimen transfer (recurring portion for purchased vehicles).
Medical Surveillance $15K/yr
[#20] Personnel medical surveillance, post-exposure screening and occupational health costs.
Training And Sop Refresher $10K/yr
[#18] Recurring refresher training and periodic drills for MTF and quarantine staff.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with weekly package processing, routine maintenance, ongoing research, and no major incidents.
weekly package processing routine maintenance ongoing research
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Localized containment or vacuum-tube issue requiring overtime, short-term repairs, additional incineration and limited legal/admin work.
small tube breach localized contamination increased package throughput
🚨 Major Breach $2.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant breach or outbreak requiring large-scale mobilization, extended MTF deployment, public-facing remediation, and intensive legal/compliance response.
vacuum-tube catastrophic failure widespread escape/outbreak public exposure
🚨 Permanent Decommission $2.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Decision and execution to permanently remove, fill or segment the vacuum-tube conduit as a mitigation, incurring major one-time civil works in that year.
risk escalation regulatory pressure repeated incidents
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Team Leader 1 [#6] Lead for on-site MTF Nu-13 operations (included in staff wages).
MTF Operator / Agent 6 [#6] Operators and security personnel stationed at Entry B (majority of the 8-person team; included in staff wages).
Medical Officer 1 [#6] On-call medic/medical specialist for the stationed team (included in staff wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide reasonable ranges and clear cost drivers, but many items are range estimates and policy decisions (e.g., permanent decommission) are binary; equipment lifetimes, incident frequencies, and exact staffing/loading could vary, so confidence is medium.
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