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SCP-3093 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3093
Expected annual
$2.5M
One-time setup
$5.6M
Annual recurring
$2.5M
Personnel
13
One-time capital for containment suites and specialized optical/research equipment is moderate (~$190k–$570k excluding tail risk); main recurring drivers are staff wages, MTF readiness, research, and cover operations. Catastrophic mass-perception tail risk could impose multimillion-dollar one-time costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.6M
Worst Case Mass Perception Event One Time $5.0M
[#25] Upper-tail worst-case mass-perception event contingency (lower-bound scenario used: $5,000,000 one-time emergency/response/reconstruction fund).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $193K
[#2, #3, #18] Hyperspectral cameras/spectroradiometers (~$150k), tunable full-spectrum illumination/optical bench (~$25k), printer/calibration lab hardware (~$18k).
Facilities $190K
[#1, #13] Containment/safe-hold room retrofit/new build and short-term witness holding facility buildout (estimates combined: containment room ~$70,000; witness-holding buildout ~$120,000).
Equipment $181K
[#4, #6, #11, #14] CCTV and secure-recording hardware (~$36k), specialized protective eyewear sets for staff (~$20k), one rapid-response vehicle purchase (~$85k), secure data hardware baseline (~$40k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.5M/yr
Staff Wages $950K/yr
[#5, #7, #4] Live human monitoring guards and surveillance technicians (~$350k); research personnel including 2 PIs, postdocs/techs, and ophthalmology consults (~$600k). Monitoring personnel costs partially included here.
Mtf Readiness $400K/yr
[#12] MTF-Mu-13 standing readiness, training, equipment caches and exercises (chosen mid-range estimate $400k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $210K/yr
[#15, #16] Social suppression/public cover baseline monitoring team and ad buys (~$120k/yr), legal/diplomatic retainer and incident support (~$80k/yr), minor per-incident PR buys (~$10k/yr).
Incident Contingency Reserve $200K/yr
[#20, #25] Annual reserve contribution toward incident contingencies, evacuation, emergency housing and large-scale amnestic operations (also ties to #25 readiness).
Research And Monitoring $159K/yr
[#2, #3, #23] Calibration and maintenance for optical instruments (~$6k/yr), consumables/repairs for tunable lighting (~$3k/yr), longitudinal/epidemiological study budget (~$150k/yr).
Overhead And Administration $150K/yr
[#21] Facility lease/apportionment, security clearance processing, insurance, internal auditing and administrative overhead (~$150k/yr).
Mass Perception Readiness Annual $100K/yr
[#25] Annual readiness/monitoring budget specifically allocated to maintain preparedness for potential mass-perception events (small recurring readiness spend).
Training And Simulation $75K/yr
[#22] Exercises and simulation for ambiguous/perception-based threat response (~$75k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $72K/yr
[#1, #13, #19] Containment room maintenance/utilities (~$12k/yr), witness-holding running costs (~$36.5k/yr assumed at ~$100/day), continuous monitoring power & environmental controls (~$24k/yr).
Witness Medical And Stipend $40K/yr
[#8] Ongoing medical care, psychotherapy, stipends, dental/vision and periodic eyewear replacement (~$40k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#10, #11] Expected annual rapid-response deployment costs (routine responses baseline ~$20k/yr) plus vehicle insurance/fuel/maintenance (~$10k/yr).
Amnestic Program $30K/yr
[#9] Amnestic production/administration and associated medical overhead (budgeted $30k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $18K/yr
[#6, #17] Replacement/cleaning of protective eyewear and filters (~$3k/yr) and field consumables (batteries, PPE, bulbs) (~$15k/yr).
Data Storage And It Maintenance $15K/yr
[#4, #14] Secure redundant data storage, encrypted archives, bandwidth and maintenance (~$15k/yr).
Replacement Spare Parts $15K/yr
[#24] Spare camera sensors, LED arrays, filters, and replacement guardian equipment (~$15k/yr).
Printer Lab Consumables $3K/yr
[#18] Spectrally-accurate inks and printer consumables for color reproduction (~$3k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.5M/yr
84.9% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, research, staffing, and readiness maintained.
no reported EE-3093 events routine research activity standard staffing and training
🚨 Minor Incident $2.5M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
One or several small local EE-3093 reports requiring rapid-response dispatches and limited witness care/amnestic use.
routine local sighting reports single-site rapid-response deployments
🚨 Major Deployment $2.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Major multi-location deployment (MTF and equipment) responding to clustered EE-3093 events or an SCP-3093-A sighting requiring substantial on-site operations.
clustered EE-3093 events SCP-3093-A reported by multiple witnesses multi-location containment operations
🚨 Catastrophic Mass Perception $8.5M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$6.0M vs baseline
Upper-tail event: a mass-perception/large-scale EE-3093 occurrence causing public exposure, evacuations, mass amnestic operations and reconstruction.
environmental change enabling widespread perception simultaneous multi-site EE-3093 public exposure and mass panic
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#5] 3–4 armed guards FTE to meet 20 hrs/day live monitoring requirement; chosen midpoint 4.
Surveillance Technician 1 [#5, #4] Full-time surveillance technician responsible for live-monitoring feeds and CCTV.
Research Scientist (PI) 2 [#7] Principal investigators (Drs. Vaughn & Laika) dedicated to SCP-3093 research.
Research Technician / Postdoc 2 [#7] Postdocs/technicians supporting experiments, data collection and equipment calibration.
Ophthalmologist / Medical Consultant 1 [#7] Ophthalmology consultant for vision-related testing and medical oversight (contracted but budgeted as ongoing support).
Medical Officer / Care Staff 1 [#8] Medical/psych staff providing ongoing care and checkups for contained witness(es).
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#3, #24] Technical maintenance for optical benches, tunable lights, cameras and spare-parts management.
Administrative Staff 1 [#21] Admin support for clearance processing, scheduling, and liaison tasks.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item ranges and staffing estimates are well-described in analyst notes (medium confidence). Major uncertainty remains in event frequency, per-incident tempo, MTF deployment cadence, and the extreme upper-tail (mass-perception) magnitude, which drives low-frequency/high-impact variance.
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