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SCP-3117 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3117
Expected annual
$14.1M
One-time setup
$6.7M
Annual recurring
$13.7M
Personnel
32
Initial capital costs are dominated by a $5.0M worst-case contingency plus facility/equipment buildouts (~$1.65M); annual operations (monitoring, staffing, MTF operations, legal/mitigation) are approximately $13.7M/yr, driven by personnel, MTF operations, subject care, and mitigation budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.7M
Worst Case Public Mitigation Reserve $5.0M
[#30] One-time reserve fund for worst-case mass exposure public mitigation and contingency; recommended minimal fund $5,000,000.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $750K
[#1, #10] I/O‑SPIRAL development and ML prototype dev cycle (software engineering, initial model training) (#1 ~$550k) plus polysomnography/sleep lab kit for study rooms (#10 $200k).
Facilities $625K
[#9, #14] Physical construction/modification of secure clinical/quarantine rooms (#9 assumed $500k) and vault/setup portion of the secure evidence/media archive (#14 split).
Equipment $275K
[#13, #14] Digital forensics hardware and workstation setup (#13 one-time $150k) and air-gapped server / tape backup hardware portion of archive (#14 split).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.7M/yr
Staff Wages $3.8M/yr
[#2, #5, #7, #12] Ongoing personnel costs: I/O‑SPIRAL maintenance staff and ML ops (#2 ~$250k), human analyst/moderation team and supervision (#5 ~$900k), dedicated standing MTF salaries (#7 ~$1.8M), research staff salaries portion (#12 ~$880k).
Subject Care And Clinical Operations $2.7M/yr
[#11] Ongoing subject care (nursing, psychiatric staff, medications, food, monitoring, lab tests) estimated ~5 subjects × $1,500/day ≈ $2.7M/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $2.5M/yr
[#16, #17, #18, #27, #29] Takedown/legal liaison staffing & budgets (#16 ~$500k/yr), covert content mitigation & counter-narrative campaigns (#17 ~$500k/yr), legal/ethical contingency reserve (#18 ~$1,000,000/yr allocation), PR / government liaison retainer (#27 ~$300k/yr), insurance & indemnity premiums (#29 ~$150k/yr).
Mtf Iota10 Investigation $2.0M/yr
[#8] Ongoing MTF Iota‑10 field operations, surveillance and recon related to the physical location; planning/conservative estimate ~$2M/yr.
Logistics And Transport $1.4M/yr
[#6, #19, #20, #21, #28] Field deployment packages for Phi‑11 (#6 ~$300k/yr), routine travel & logistics (#19 ~$300k/yr), safe-house / witness protection ongoing budget (#20 ~$300k/yr), incident response readiness reserve (#21 ~$300k/yr), backup containment/destruction reserve (#28 ~$250k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $945K/yr
[#3, #4, #12, #15, #25, #26] Cloud/compute & storage (#3 ~$150k/yr), paid platform/API access (#4 ~$75k/yr), research lab publication/ancillary costs (#12 ~$120k/yr), media acquisition/licenses (#15 ~$100k/yr), longitudinal study allocation (#25 ~$200k/yr), external contracting & specialist consults (#26 ~$300k/yr).
Sleep Lab Maintenance And Consumables $100K/yr
[#10] Annual maintenance, disposables and technician support for sleep lab rigs (~$100k/yr).
Training And Drills $100K/yr
[#22] Public safety/containment drills and staff training budget (~$100k/yr midrange).
Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr
[#23] Energy, utilities and baseline maintenance for secure sites, compute, CCTV, HVAC, climate control (~$60k/yr).
Digital Forensics License Maintenance $40K/yr
[#13] Annual license and maintenance fees for forensic suites (EnCase/Cellebrite/FTK) estimated ~$40k/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $30K/yr
[#24] Consumables and PPE (swabs, storage media, tape cartridges, gloves, disinfectants) estimated midrange.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.7M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, investigations, and mitigation activities only.
no major breach routine deployments and research regular takedown activity
🚨 Minor Incident $14.5M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Localized containment/takedown response or a small breach requiring additional field operations, legal actions, and contracting.
localized online spread one or more complex takedown operations targeted field recovery
🚨 Major Breach $23.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure / mass‑exposure event requiring large-scale public mitigation, mass medical response, and extensive legal/PR campaigns.
widespread dissemination across media mass exposure multi-jurisdictional legal and public-health emergency
👥 Personnel 32 total
Role Count Notes
Human Analyst / Moderator 10 [#5] Ten analysts for 24/7 coverage per analyst team assumption; matches analyst budget.
Engineer / ML Engineer 2 [#2] Ongoing maintenance crew (1 FTE engineer + ML ops ~0.5 FTE rounded to 2 total engineers represented in wages).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#7] Standing MTF deployment and rapid response team of 12 (investigators, CIs, security) per note.
Research Scientist / Technician 8 [#12] Research staff: 4senior researchers + 4 technical staff as described.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are aggregated directly from analyst line items and midrange choices where ranges were given. Many costs (MTF investigations, subject care census, covert mitigation, worst-case impacts) are highly variable; documented line-item estimates were used but program scope and true incident frequency create moderate uncertainty.
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