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SCP-313 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-313
Expected annual
$10.3M
One-time setup
$48.5M
Annual recurring
$9.7M
Personnel
20
One-time capital costs are very large (primarily a hardened test chamber and a catastrophe contingency reserve); recurring annual costs are dominated by cover-up/legal/insurance pools and ongoing personnel + recovery contingencies.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $48.5M
Catastrophe Contingency Reserve $30.0M
[#15] One-time/semi-permanent catastrophe contingency fund set-aside to cover major urban-scale reconstruction or catastrophic failures.
Facilities $15.5M
[#2, #5] Containment room build-out and primary high-risk test chamber / ballistic range construction costs; includes redundant environmental controls, fire suppression, reinforced buried chamber and remote capture systems (aggregated estimate).
Equipment $2.0M
[#1, #3, #4, #6, #10, #11, #12] Secure storage/lockbox fabrication & installation, initial tamper/mount sensors hardware, one-time power-isolation hardware, remote mounting rig, first-response equipment purchases, initial remote sensor fleet purchase, and transport vehicle/crate one-time purchase.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#19] Initial materials/mitigation research project and lab setup (modeling, test coupons, consultancy) initial tranche.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.7M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $4.7M/yr
[#14, #16, #22] Recurring legal/cover-up budgets, internal insurance-style pool disbursements, and media/PR management costs.
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#8, #9, #10] Ongoing salaries: security personnel (12 FTE at ~$60k), specialist containment staff/researchers (~4 researchers + 1 containment tech), and emergency-response staffing (~3 FTE).
Logistics And Transport $1.0M/yr
[#12, #13] Per-transfer operating costs for secure transport plus an annual contingency for field recovery operations and incident response logistics.
Catastrophe Fund Replenishment $1.0M/yr
[#15] Annual replenishment target for the catastrophe contingency reserve (to maintain fund after drawdowns).
Research And Monitoring $650K/yr
[#19, #25] Ongoing materials/mitigation R&D and external cost-of-failure modelling / consultancy retainers.
Incident Cleanup Reserve $200K/yr
[#23] Baseline annual reserve for incident cleanup and environmental remediation averaged over expected small-to-moderate events.
Supplies And Consumables $170K/yr
[#7, #20] Consumable shielding/sacrificial liner replacement averaged across expected activations and routine PPE/consumables replacement.
Administrative Overhead $150K/yr
[#17] Clearance processing, HR, logs, and access-control audit overhead.
Facilities Maintenance $114K/yr
[#3, #4, #11, #21, #24] Annual maintenance/calibration for sensors and power-isolation systems, remote-sensor fleet upkeep, utilities/OPEX for containment room and small test apparatus, and periodic inspection/recertification.
Training And Sops $75K/yr
[#18] Regular training, SOP development, and annual drills.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.7M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents or large-scale tests; containment maintained and routine operations only.
no_tests no_field_incidents routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $10.7M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
A localized activation or unauthorized mounting results in a recoverable field incident requiring cleanup, recovery and cover-up.
unauthorized_mount single_activation localized_property_damage
🚨 Major Breach $29.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
A mounted/activated event in an urban area causing widespread destruction requiring major remediation and large cover-up payouts.
mounted_and_powered_in_civilian_area multiple_activations structural_collapse
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#8] 12 FTE continuous coverage (three shifts + spare) at approx. $60k total compensation each.
Research Scientist 4 [#9, #19] Full-time researchers/engineers (models, testing oversight, R&D) counted within specialist staff.
Containment Technician 1 [#9] Containment technician for procedure maintenance and handling support.
Emergency Response Team 3 [#10] Rapid-response specialists on-call for high-temperature/plasma incidents (staffing portion of emergency team).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many line-item ranges and clear qualitative drivers, but per-event costs and test-frequency are highly uncertain; contingency/reserve sizing and facility scope are order-of-magnitude estimates.
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