SCP-3132 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3132
Expected annual
$11.7M
One-time setup
$8.0M
Annual recurring
$11.6M
Personnel
150
Estimated one-time capital costs are approximately $8.01M driven by site hardening, unmanned logistics, HVAC/power upgrades and specialized equipment; recurring annual costs are approximately $11.62M driven primarily by a large wage/benefit uplift for on-site personnel plus research, medical, security, logistics and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.0M
Facilities $2.8M
[#3, #7, #8, #9, #28] Quarantine perimeter/site hardening (#3), containment cell modifications (#7), HVAC upgrade capital (#8), power/generator/UPS upgrades (#9), occasional reseal work (#28).
Equipment $2.1M
[#4, #5, #11, #19, #23, #29] RF shielding / Faraday installations and related hardware (#4), unmanned delivery fleet and docking infrastructure (#5), device lockers & logging hardware (#11), air-gapped IT/hardened network hardware (#19), specialized PPE/tooling (#23), audit/archive hardware (#29).
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#21] One-time contingency / casualty reserve fund set aside for emergencies and internal claims.
Surveillance Installation $500K
[#12] Enhanced camera coverage, biometric access control and tamper-detection installation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $450K
[#14, #16] Wearable physiological monitoring platform and analytics (#14) plus specialized research/containment equipment purchases for initial experimental program (#16).
Stockpile Initial $400K
[#20] Initial stockpiling of food, spares, medical consumables and logistics buffer to support quarantine self-sufficiency.
Legal And Cover Setup $250K
[#22] Legal arrangements, cover-story setup, local authority coordination and initial PR/legal costs.
Mortuary Capacity Setup $200K
[#25] Equipment and agreements for temporary mortuary/mass-casualty handling.
Medical Clinic Equipment $150K
[#13] On-site clinic equipment upgrades and diagnostic devices.
Secure Emergency Communications $100K
[#27] Sealed emergency external channel (satellite terminal vault) and internal secure comms setup.
Cross Training Program Setup $50K
[#26] Initial program setup for redundancy personnel/cross-training.
Waste Management Setup $30K
[#17] Initial procedural/setup costs for regulated waste handling and contractor arrangements.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.6M/yr
Staff Wages $7.3M/yr
[#1, #2] Wage uplift (approx +50% base salary) and associated increased employer benefits/payroll taxes for all on-site personnel (150 staff used as baseline).
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#14, #16, #29] Ongoing research & containment science budget (#16), wearable monitoring data/analytics operations (#14), and archival/logging operations (#29).
Contingency Buffer $1.0M/yr
[#30] Miscellaneous annual contingency reserve (10–20% guidance used; set here as a 1.0M buffer for unanticipated anomalous needs).
Logistics And Transport $400K/yr
[#6] Unmanned delivery operations: maintenance, consumables (batteries/fuel), operators, insurance and software subscriptions.
Medical Operations $400K/yr
[#13] Recurring staffing, continuous medical screening, testing and emergency medications for on-site clinic operations.
Security Monitoring $250K/yr
[#12] Recurring monitoring staff, IT support and incident response for surveillance/access-control systems.
Mental Health Programs $200K/yr
[#15] Counseling, rotational leave allowances (within quarantine rules), and occupational safety/mental-health programs for reclassified E-class staff.
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#8, #9] Ongoing HVAC filter replacement and maintenance and generator/UPS fuel/testing and general facility maintenance.
Oversight And Audit $150K/yr
[#24] Independent oversight, audits, inspections and reporting to ensure quarantine compliance.
Supplies And Consumables $125K/yr
[#20, #23] Annual replenishment of stockpiled supplies (#20) and PPE consumables (#23).
It Operations $120K/yr
[#19] Ongoing IT security, maintenance of air-gapped systems and logging/patching operations.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#22] Ongoing legal maintenance, PR/cover payments and local authority coordination.
Waste Management $75K/yr
[#17] Annual hazardous/biohazard waste disposal contracts and regulated disposal operations.
Device Handling And Audit $50K/yr
[#11] Ongoing handling, logging, chain-of-custody audits and operator time for personal electronic device collection/storage.
Mortuary Maintenance $50K/yr
[#25] Maintenance and readiness of mortuary/mass-casualty capabilities and associated service contracts.
Site Testing And Decontamination $40K/yr
[#28] Periodic full-site decontamination, Faraday/HVAC seal testing and integrity verification.
Rf Shielding Maintenance $30K/yr
[#4] Recurring maintenance and testing of RF shielding / Faraday systems.
Training And Drills $30K/yr
[#18] Annual refresher training and drills for SOPs, drone logistics and emergency response.
Cross Training Refreshers $25K/yr
[#26] Ongoing refresher training to maintain generalist capabilities among staff.
Secure Comms Maintenance $10K/yr
[#27] Maintenance and testing of sealed emergency external channels and secure internal comms.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.6M/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; recurring support, research and containment operations proceed as planned.
no containment incidents routine operations scheduled maintenance and research
🚨 Minor Incident $11.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or small containment incident requiring overtime, minor repairs and additional medical response.
localized equipment failure small-scale medical response temporary increased staffing/overtime
🚨 Major Breach $14.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Significant breach or spread among staff requiring large-scale medical response, extended remediation, mortuary handling and legal/PR actions.
partial containment breach multiple severe cases extended remediation and legal exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $21.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Widespread contagion or catastrophic event at site requiring mass-casualty operations, large payouts/reserves, long-term remediation and possible permanent operational scaling.
near-total site infection mass-casualty/mortuary operations major legal/compensation events
👥 Personnel 150 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 45 [#1,#2] Security staff included in site wage/benefit uplift; staffing proportions assumed for 150-person site.
Research Scientist 35 [#1,#2,#16] Research staff supporting containment and experiments; included in wage uplift and research budget.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#1,#2] Site leadership included in wage uplift.
Medical Officer 8 [#1,#2,#13] Medical staff for continuous monitoring and on-site clinic operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 12 [#1,#2,#8,#9] Engineers and maintenance personnel to support HVAC, power and generators.
Administrative Staff 10 [#1,#2] Administrative and logistics coordination staff included in wage uplift.
Security Ops / Monitoring Operators 12 [#1,#2,#6,#12] Operators for surveillance, access control and unmanned delivery monitoring.
IT / Network Admin 6 [#1,#2,#19] IT staff to maintain air-gapped systems and logging.
Medical support / Nurses 10 [#1,#2,#13] Support staff for medical monitoring and treatment.
Oversight / compliance 5 [#24] On-site oversight and audit staff (recurring oversight costs).
Mental health counselors 5 [#15] Counseling and occupational safety staff included in mental health program costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates combine analyst-provided ranges with a chosen medium-site headcount (150). Major uncertainty stems from the actual on-site headcount (which dominates recurring payroll), severity/frequency of containment incidents, and site-specific construction costs; one-time ranges and many operational lines are fairly well scoped but still approximate.
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