SCP-3138 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3138
Expected annual
$7.0M
One-time setup
$5.0M
Annual recurring
$6.6M
Personnel
25
Estimated one-time capital costs are approximately $5,000,000 driven primarily by BSL upgrades, morgue construction, and laboratory equipment; recurring annual operations run about $6,591,000/year driven by staffing, ongoing research/monitoring (I/O-MANDELA), legal/cover operations, and contingency/reserve allocations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.0M
Facilities $3.6M
[#1, #2, #3, #4] Construction and fit-out for secure vault, controlled morgue/containment suite, BSL-3 upgrades (certification/HEPA/airlocks), and refrigerated walk-in storage; includes corrosion/acid-resistant finishes and specialized drainage.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $800K
[#13] Forensic and chemical analysis equipment (autopsy tables, PCR/sequencing, mass spec, histology processors, microscopes, cold storage, fume hoods) and research lab startup items.
Equipment $600K
[#5, #9, #11, #16, #22, #23] Initial purchase/development of specialized PPE kits and resupply staging equipment, I/O-MANDELA development, encrypted evidence DB setup, field recovery toolkits, initial IT/security appliances, and archival-grade scanning/editing hardware.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.6M/yr
Staff Wages $2.3M/yr
[#7, #12, #17, #10] Salaries/loaded costs for MTF Rho-1 strike team (~12 members), forensic pathologists and supporting lab technicians, conservators/forensic linguists, and a small number of full-time bot/monitoring analysts.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#9, #10, #25, #11] Ongoing I/O-MANDELA hosting/ops and model retraining, dedicated research program funding (multi-disciplinary studies), and secure database maintenance/backup contracts.
Cover Story And Legal $850K/yr
[#8, #19, #24] Embedded asset stipends/cover maintenance, legal fees/settlements/public-affairs budget, and academic liaison/public outreach grants to preserve intelligence channels.
Administrative Overhead $600K/yr
[#28] Program management, accounting, utilities for specialized facilities, janitorial for hazardous zones, and general overhead (10-25% applied to program).
Surge Capacity Reserve $500K/yr
[#27] Annual allocation toward surge contingency (amortized reserve to fund worst-case multi-copy incidents and mass buyouts).
Per Incident Response Budget $300K/yr
[#26] Aggregated per-incident rapid-response incremental costs (travel, overtime, incremental forensic processing beyond salaried hours), averaged across expected incidents.
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #13] Ongoing HVAC/negative-pressure maintenance, hazardous-area cleaning, refrigeration and BSL systems upkeep, and periodic lab equipment servicing.
Insurance And Contingency $150K/yr
[#21] Annual premium-equivalent allocation for insurance/indemnity and contingency fund for accidental exposure or third-party claims.
Training And Sops $125K/yr
[#20] Regular training, SOP development, and tabletop exercises for MTF, conservators, forensics, and embedded personnel.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $100K/yr
[#14] Per-corpse hazardous disposal and cremation/incineration (assumes an average incident profile and ~20 corpses/year at ~$5,000 each).
Replacement And Buyouts $100K/yr
[#18] Covert purchase/replacement budget for affected works and library buyouts (averaged across expected incident cadence).
Logistics And Transport $75K/yr
[#15] Armored/secure transport logistics, courier overtime, occasional air transport for remote recoveries and chain-of-custody handling.
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#6, #5] Disposable PPE, decontamination chemicals, neutralizing agents, acid-resistant body-bags, consumable PPE resupply and laundry replacement.
It Operations $50K/yr
[#22] Ongoing IT/security operations: secure comms, endpoint protection, VPN/cloud security for I/O-MANDELA and analyst workstations.
Secure Database Maintenance $30K/yr
[#11] Annual maintenance, backups, and audit logging costs for the encrypted evidence/cataloguing system.
Field Equipment Resupply $6K/yr
[#16] Small annual resupply for field recovery kits and consumables for portable conservation tools.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.6M/yr
60.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady incident rate and standard operations; no major multi-site surges or catastrophic exposures.
routine bot flags single-copy recoveries standard lab throughput
🚨 Minor Incident $7.0M/yr
35.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Year with above-average incident frequency (clusters of small discoveries) causing additional travel, overtime, and disposal costs.
increased bot detections multiple local recoveries higher MTF overtime
🚨 Major Surge $11.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Widespread simultaneous impact on a popular title(s) requiring mass buyouts, multiple concurrent recoveries, expanded lab capacity, and elevated PR/legal operations.
simultaneous multi-library infections large public attention mass corpus emergence
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#7] On-call strike team (12 personnel) for recoveries and field operations.
Research Scientist / Forensic Pathologist 2 [#12] Forensic pathologists to autopsy and analyze recovered corpses.
Lab Technician / Forensic Tech 4 [#12] Supporting technicians for histology, microbiology, and chemical assays.
Conservator / Forensic Linguist 3 [#17] Conservation and linguistic specialists for controlled editing/extraction and text analysis.
Data Analyst / I/O-MANDELA Operator 2 [#9, #10] Analysts to triage bot flags, retrain models, and manage monitoring dashboards.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#1, #2, #3] Facilities engineer for BSL and morgue systems maintenance.
Administrative Staff 1 [#28] Program manager / administrative support for accounting, scheduling, and liaison.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mid-range selections from analyst-provided ranges; core staffing, BSL upgrades, and monitoring needs are well described but incident frequency and worst-case scale introduce significant uncertainty.
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