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SCP-3145 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3145
Expected annual
$26.7M
One-time setup
$485.0M
Annual recurring
$18.6M
Personnel
40
Estimated one-time capital/setup costs are approximately $485.0M, driven primarily by deep-sea site selection, offshore construction/excavation and contingency/reserve funding. Recurring annual costs are roughly $18.6M, driven by staffing, long-term research, facilities maintenance and logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $485.0M
Facilities $270.5M
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #8, #15, #18] Site selection/surveys, offshore mobilization/heavy-lift, deep rock excavation and chamber construction, reinforced shaft/elevator, blast doors, internal vault reinforcement, subsea power cable option, and initial dock/helipad & small-vessel infrastructure.
Contingency Reserve $100.0M
[#23] Reserve fund for catastrophic breach, rebuild and emergency response (Foundation-level contingency).
Construction Risk Markup $87.9M
[#30] Premium/schedule risk buffer (30% of core capital costs) to cover offshore cost overruns, weather delays and technical unknowns.
Equipment $22.5M
[#6, #7, #9, #10, #11, #12, #13, #14, #22, #24, #27] One-time hardware and systems: flood-control pumps/valves setup, corrosion/cathodic protection setup, heavy immobilization/crushing system, sealed hardpoint locks & scuttling charges, remote weapon stations (initial), thermate/thermite delivery setup, sensors/monitoring suite (initial), control room/comms/hardened equipment (initial), cybersecurity hardened servers (initial), emergency demolition/charge package (initial), and specialized tooling/crane gear.
Cover Story Setup $3.0M
[#21] Initial legal/cover-story/shell-company setup and up-front OPSEC/PR expenses.
Initial Training $600K
[#17] Initial specialized training and purchase of response-team equipment and PPE.
Hazardous Waste Setup $500K
[#19] Setup for hazardous-waste handling, filtration and secure disposal infrastructure.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $18.6M/yr
Research And Monitoring $5.2M/yr
[#13, #20, #26, #28] Ongoing sensor calibration/maintenance, long-term anomalous research budget (materials analysis, imaging, forensic work), environmental monitoring and containment-material R&D/testing.
Staff Wages $5.0M/yr
[#16] Ongoing payroll, benefits and hazard pay for on-site security, response teams, engineers, technicians and rotating researchers (~30–60 FTEs).
Facilities Maintenance $2.6M/yr
[#6, #7, #14, #15, #25] Annual maintenance for flood-control pumps/valves, corrosion protection/cathodic systems, control room/comms upkeep, power systems (fuel/maintenance), and moving seals/door/pump/hydraulic overhauls.
Logistics And Transport $2.5M/yr
[#18] Recurring transport, crew rotation, supply ship/heli support and platform operating costs.
Cover Story And Legal $1.5M/yr
[#21] Ongoing legal counsel, maintenance of front companies/shell operations, permits, and OPSEC/PR funding.
Supplies And Consumables $735K/yr
[#11, #12, #19] Ammunition resupply and consumable ordinance, thermate/thermite replenishment, plus recurring hazardous-waste handling/disposal costs.
Training And Certification $375K/yr
[#17] Recurring training, recertification, drills and skill maintenance for response teams (diving, explosives handling, confined-space rescue).
Cybersecurity And It Maintenance $350K/yr
[#22] Ongoing cybersecurity, secure archival, air-gapped backup maintenance and forensic logging.
Personnel Wellness $200K/yr
[#29] Psychological screening, counseling and vetting program costs for personnel exposed to Keter-class stressors and secrecy.
Emergency Demolition Maintenance $150K/yr
[#24] Ongoing security, storage and maintenance for demolition/neutralization charges and related systems.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $18.6M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with scheduled maintenance, staffing, research and routine consumables replenishment; no major containment incidents.
routine_operations no_breach scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $23.6M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized containment breach or equipment failure requiring emergency response, repairs, overtime, medical treatment and limited replacement of sensors/weapons/doors.
localized_breach hardware_failure personnel_injuries
🚨 Major Breach $268.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic containment failure resulting in site loss or scuttling, full emergency response, casualty handling and major rebuild/replacement of one or more capital systems.
full_containment_failure site_destruction mass_casualties
👥 Personnel 40 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#16] Three-shift security staffing and on-site response teams; armed personnel referenced in containment procedures.
Research Scientist 4 [#16, #20] Rotating research staff (2–4 researchers) performing anomalous study and sample analysis.
Engineer / Maintenance 8 [#16, #25] Systems engineers and maintenance crew for pumps, hydraulics, corrosion control, and facility upkeep.
Technician / Operations 6 [#14, #13] Control-room operators, sensor technicians and on-shift technical staff.
Medical Officer 1 [#16] On-call medical support for injuries and emergencies.
Administrative Staff 2 [#21] Administrative and support personnel for site operations and cover-story maintenance.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#16] Senior on-site command and liaison to Foundation HQ.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and realistic ranges, allowing a reasoned estimate, but deep-sea construction, contingency sizing, and breach likelihood remain highly uncertain — hence medium confidence.
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