SCP-3154 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3154
Expected annual
$755K
One-time setup
$85K
Annual recurring
$740K
Personnel
3
One-time setup and modest lab equipment (~$85k) for safe storage and limited testing; recurring annual costs driven by research staff, medical standby, lab/testing, insurance and contingency funds (~$740k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $85K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $46K
[#9, #14, #16] Autoclave purchase midpoint ($14,000), specialized lab equipment midpoint ($30,000), initial emergency/transfusion kit ($1,500).
Facilities $36K
[#1, #7, #8] Locker + signage and installation ($1,000), testing-room retrofit midpoint ($25,000), biosafety/certification one-time midpoint ($10,000).
Equipment $4K
[#2, #18] Chain-of-custody initial software/RFID/setup ($1,500) and CCTV/hardware one-time install ($2,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $740K/yr
Cover Story And Legal $265K/yr
[#19, #20, #25] Liability/workers' comp reserve midpoint (~$15,000), legal/cover contingency ($50,000 allocated), worst-case public-health contingency reserve (~$200,000).
Staff Wages $225K/yr
[#13] Small dedicated research team (PI + tech/postdoc) salary + benefits (midpoint estimate).
Research And Monitoring $222K/yr
[#10, #11, #12, #14, #15, #23] Medical standby for tests midpoint (~$37,500), test-subject costs midpoint (~$40,000), laboratory testing panels midpoint (~$55,000), recurring imaging/access fees (~$30,000), sanitation/cleaning after tests (~$30,000), containment/response readiness (~$30,000).
Administrative Overhead $10K/yr
[#22] Admin time for record retention, access requests, redaction, and audits (~0.1–0.25 FTE midpoint).
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#6, #8, #9, #18] Biomedical waste disposal contract midpoint ($3,500), biosafety recertification midpoint ($2,250), autoclave maintenance ($500), CCTV storage/monitoring ($200).
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #16, #24] Disposable wrapping (~$500), PPE (~$1,300), sharps containers (~$500), emergency kit replenishment (~$2,000/yr), replacement consumables/locker upkeep (~$600).
Contract Sterilization $3K/yr
[#9] If contract sterilization is used instead of autoclave: per-cycle midpoint ($62.5) * 50 events ≈ $3,125/yr (alternative to owning an autoclave).
Training And Certification $2K/yr
[#17] Annual bloodborne-pathogen, sharps-handling and emergency-response training for staff (midpoint for ~10 staff).
Logistics And Transport $1K/yr
[#21] Secure courier and biohazard-compliant shipments (assumed 4 shipments/yr midpoint).
Chain Of Custody License $200/yr
[#2] Ongoing software license/maintenance for inventory/RFID system.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $740K/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing cadence and no major incidents.
routine_testing scheduled_maintenance standard_training_and_disposal
🚨 Minor Incident $790K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized contamination or protocol breach requiring extra testing, deep-cleaning, and limited legal/regulatory reporting.
localized_contamination regulatory_inspection additional_lab_tests_and_decon
🚨 Major Breach $1.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Theft, misuse, or public exposure leading to large-scale public-health response, litigation, and activation of contingency reserves.
theft_or_unauthorized_use public_health_emergency major_legal_and_PR_response
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Principal Investigator / Research Lead 1 Senior researcher leading study and regulatory liaison (salary portion of staff_wages).
Research Scientist / Postdoc 1 Hands-on experimental design and data analysis (salary portion of staff_wages).
Laboratory Technician 1 Sample handling, sterilization, PPE management, and routine procedures (salary portion of staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many items are given as ranges and depend heavily on testing tempo and whether equipment is purchased vs contracted; Safe-class containment lowers breach probability but ethical/regulatory uncertainty affects contingency sizing.
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