SCP-3164 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-3164
Expected annual
$353K
One-time setup
$4.9M
Annual recurring
$330K
Personnel
7
One-time acquisition and refurbishment of an island manor are the dominant upfront costs (~$4.87M); recurring annual costs are moderate (~$330k/yr) driven by security/caretaking wages, research/monitoring, contingency replenishment and transport/logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.9M
Facilities $4.0M
[#1, #2, #26] Property acquisition of a small Hebridean island and manor (#1), major manor refurbishment/structural stabilization (#2), and a possible full decommissioning/demolition cleanup cost if site retired (#26) aggregated as facility-level capital and remediation.
Equipment $310K
[#7, #10, #11, #12, #17, #23] One-time purchase and installation of transport boat/tender (#7), perimeter security hardware/locks and signage (#10), remote surveillance/CCTV install (#11), off-grid power system installation (solar/batteries/generator) (#12), PPE/body‑handling/incinerator equipment (#17), and secure records/hardware (#23).
Contingency Reserve Initial $250K
[#24] Initial contingency/catastrophic incident reserve fund to be held aside for large events, cleanup, legal action, or asset replacement.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $218K
[#15, #18] Initial meteorological/anomalous monitoring equipment and instrumentation (#15) and initial forensic / lab kit and setup to support any research or sample analysis (#18).
Environmental Permitting Surveys $28K
[#22] Environmental permitting, surveys and conservation mitigation studies required prior to/at acquisition and to reduce legal exposure.
Legal And Cover Formation $15K
[#3] Shell company formation and initial legal/cover setup (incorporation, attorney fees, bank accounts).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $330K/yr
Staff Wages $138K/yr
[#6, #13, #16] Nightly/no‑sundown patrols (contractor/operator visits) (#6), one full‑time caretaker wages (#13), and a reduced on‑call specialized containment/response team retainer (scaled down from full active posture) (#16).
Research And Monitoring $87K/yr
[#11, #15, #18, #23] Ongoing remote surveillance communications and cloud storage (#11), meteorological data calibration and analysis (#15), recurring forensic/research staff time and consumables (1 researcher posture) (#18), and secure data hosting/maintenance for classified records (#23).
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Fuel and routine maintenance for transport boats (#7/#8), and a modest annual on‑call contingency budget for charter helicopter/fast‑boat responses (#9).
Contingency Reserve Replenishment $25K/yr
[#24] Annual replenishment target to maintain the contingency/catastrophic incident reserve at a recommended level.
Supplies And Consumables $23K/yr
[#14, #17, #19, #20, #25] Manor utilities, housekeeping and consumables (water treatment, septic, heating, cleaning) (#14), disposal contracts and consumables for biohazard handling (#17 recurring), psychological/post‑incident care budget (#19), amnestics/medical retainer and pharmaceuticals (#20), and periodic training/exercise costs (#25).
Facilities Maintenance $17K/yr
[#5, #10, #12, #22] Property taxes/rates and local fees (#5), annual lock/key management and small repairs for perimeter controls (#10), off‑grid power maintenance and occasional generator fuel/service (#12), and ongoing environmental compliance/monitoring (#22).
Cover Story And Legal $15K/yr
[#4, #21] Annual corporate maintenance and accounting for the shell company (#4) and local relations/hush payments and legal contingencies to manage exposure (#21).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $330K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Maintenance posture for a neutralized SCP: low‑intensity monitoring, minimal patrols, and basic upkeep with no anomalous activations.
no activation routine checks only
🚨 Minor Incident $405K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Small unexpected activation or local discovery requiring a short‑duration response, limited retrieval/cleanup, medical/amnestic use, and modest hush payments.
brief anomalous activation local civilian discovery small recovery operation
🚨 Major Breach $1.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant reactivation leading to extended response: full recovery team deployment, asset replacement, extended medical/psych care, major legal/cover operations and heavy use of contingency funds.
prolonged active state multiple casualties / evidence requiring large cleanup extended legal exposure
🚨 Decommission And Divest $930K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Decision to permanently retire the site: demolition, environmental remediation, sanitization and legal divestment in a single year.
policy decision to divest cost/benefit favors demolition mitigation of future liability
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#6] Nightly/no‑sundown patrols: single nightly operator/contractor for maintenance posture.
Caretaker 1 [#13] One full‑time on‑island caretaker for groundskeeping, basic maintenance and utilities management.
On-call Specialized Team 4 [#16] Roster of 4 specialists available on call for retrieval, body handling and contingency response (retainer/standby rather than permanently on site).
Research Scientist 1 [#18] One researcher (part‑time / low‑intensity posture) for sample analysis, monitoring and data review.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges allowing mid‑range estimates, but many figures require posture-based scaling (neutralized vs active posture) and local market variability (island purchase, refurbishment, and contingency sizing), so overall confidence is medium.
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