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SCP-3180 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3180
Expected annual
$4.8M
One-time setup
$4.9M
Annual recurring
$4.7M
Personnel
12
Initial one-time startup and contingency reserves drive capital costs (~$4.9M), while staff, amnestic administration, medical follow-up, surveillance, and overhead dominate recurring costs (~$4.68M/yr). Major outbreak scenarios can add multiple millions on top of baseline recurring expenditures.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.9M
Contingency Surge Fund $2.5M
[#18] Reserve for mass amnesticization, emergency relocation, and large-scale surge operations.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#8, #9] Setup of small animal/quarantine facility, husbandry infrastructure and initial seed research funding for mechanism/behavioral/R&D (~$140k + ~$1,000k).
Initial Amnestic Stockpile $300K
[#5] Initial procurement/stockpile of amnestic supplies to enable surge capacity and ensure immediate treatment availability.
Facilities $250K
[#1] Leasehold improvements, discreet renovation, secure comms room and small lab benches for local field containment/command facility.
Legal And Cover Initial $250K
[#11] Initial cover/compensation fund and legal/local government engagement seed to secure cooperation and mitigate early resistance.
Equipment $200K
[#4] 3–4 field vehicles, transport cages, traps, PPE, darting equipment and initial field gear/traps/crates.
Initial Mass Capture $150K
[#7] Initial contracted mass-capture campaign (capture, vet processing, transport) to remove ~500 rabbits from valley.
Temporary Quarantine Setup $65K
[#16] Setup of short-term quarantine housing / safehouse infrastructure (hotel buyout deposits, minor fit-out).
It And Records Setup $35K
[#13] Secure database/records, encrypted servers and case-management system initial setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.7M/yr
Staff Wages $815K/yr
[#3] Salaries and benefits for minimal recommended staff: 1Site Director, 1 Researcher, 2 Med/Amnestic Techs, 3 Animal Control/Field Ops, 4 Security, 1 Administrator (total ~12 FTE).
Amnestic Administration $800K/yr
[#5] Per-treatment amnestic costs (drug, clinician, monitoring) estimated at ~$1k mid-range for planning; capacity and usage budgeting for expected caseloads.
Overhead And Admin Buffer $780K/yr
[#22] Administrative overhead, HR, accounting and procurement markup estimated at 20% of recurring baseline costs.
Medical Followup $600K/yr
[#10] Mental health, counseling, social services and relocation assistance for amnesticized individuals (budgeted mid-range ~$300k–1M/yr).
Research And Monitoring $555K/yr
[#6, #8, #9] Surveillance data subscriptions and analysts (~$200–300k), ongoing husbandry/research (~$60–150k), and continued R&D support (~$200k/yr for extended studies).
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#11, #12] Ongoing legal engagement, local government coordination, compensation fund replenishment and public-relations / cover-story operations ($100k + $50–250k/yr summed).
Temporary Quarantine Operations $240K/yr
[#16] Operational costs for ~10 beds (hotel buyouts / safehouses) estimated ~$10–30k/mo (~$120–360k/yr), budgeted mid-range.
Long Term Population Mgmt $125K/yr
[#19] Ongoing sterilization programs, habitat modification and periodic intensive campaigns to control rabbit population (~$50–200k/yr).
Audit Internal Security $125K/yr
[#20] Internal counterintelligence, background checks, audits and internal security to prevent leaks (~$50–200k/yr).
Animal Suppression Ops $100K/yr
[#7] Ongoing capture, contracts with local animal control, vet processing, and suppression campaigns (~$50–150k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $66K/yr
[#2] Rent, utilities, insurance, routine maintenance for local field site (estimated $3k–8k/mo).
Community Outreach $62K/yr
[#17] Cover community health outreach, nutrition substitution campaigns and subtle behavior-modification under plausible cover (~$25–100k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#14] Field medical supplies, PPE, sedatives, replacement traps, diagnostics and consumables.
Database And It Maintenance $40K/yr
[#13] Ongoing IT, secure server maintenance, encrypted comms subscriptions and caseworker tools (~$20–60k/yr).
Training Programs $33K/yr
[#15] Regular training, tabletop exercises and field drills for staff and allied responders (~$15–50k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#4] Vehicle maintenance, fuel, and routine equipment upkeep for field vans/trucks (~$25k/yr).
Biohazard Disposal $25K/yr
[#21] Euthanasia disposal, carcass handling and regulated biohazard waste processing (~$10–40k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.7M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Uneventful operational year with steady containment, routine surveillance, scheduled research and no major outbreaks.
no outbreak routine operations scheduled research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $5.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized spike in SCP-3180 presence requiring targeted mass-capture, extra amnestic administrations and short-term surge resources.
localized population surge cluster of affected households small media attention requiring extra PR/legal
🚨 Major Outbreak $9.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$4.7M vs baseline
Widespread outbreak/saturation requiring mass amnesticization, large-scale capture, emergency relocation and significant legal/compensation payouts.
rapid population saturation simultaneous multiple-household outbreaks public exposure / litigation
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#3] Oversees operations and covert engagement.
Research Scientist 1 [#3] Lead scientific investigator for mechanism and R&D.
Medical Officer / Med/Amnestic Tech 2 [#3] Clinical administration of amnestics and medical triage.
Animal Control / Field Ops 3 [#3] Capture teams, humane handling and transport of specimens.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#3] Site security, transport security and covert perimeter control.
Administrative Staff 1 [#3] Admin, procurement, and local liaison duties.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mid-range, expert-opinion order-of-magnitude figures with many line-item ranges provided. Good coverage of likely cost drivers exists, but population dynamics, public reaction, and R&D duration introduce material uncertainty.
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