SCP-3207 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3207
Expected annual
$3.4M
One-time setup
$8.7M
Annual recurring
$3.2M
Personnel
15
One-time capital costs are dominated by a hardened containment vault, research lab setup, remote manipulators and a contingency reserve (~$8.7M total one-time). Recurring annual costs are driven by security staffing, active research/monitoring, AWTR testing/transport and a range of operational support (~$3.23M/yr baseline).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.7M
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#19] Internal contingency/catastrophe reserve (one-time fund set aside for catastrophic failure, rebuilds, legal/cleanup/cover-up).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.2M
[#14, #15] Materials & anomaly research lab setup (#14) and neuroscience/ethics research startup for the control-brain (#15) including specialized imaging and lab instruments.
Facilities $1.1M
[#1, #23] Containment chamber construction and environmental/HVAC installation (reinforced vault, BSL isolation, EM shielding, negative-pressure/HEPA upgrades). Estimate aggregated from containment hardening (#1) and environmental mitigation install (#23).
Equipment $1.0M
[#2, #8, #9, #10, #18, #24, #26] One-time hardware: heavy steel restraints and anchors (#2), remote handling robotics (#8), instrumentation & monitoring suite (#9), UPS and diesel generator (#10), remote shutdown hardware (#18), specialized diagnostics (#24), and archival/secure servers (#26).
Cover Story Setup $200K
[#20] Initial disinformation / cover-story setup and forged archival material creation.
Clearance Processing Initial $60K
[#21] Initial high-clearance background checks for staff (30 clearances, ~$2,000 each).
Spare Parts Kit $55K
[#13] Initial spare-parts kit for wooden/metal hull components, cannons and period-quality replacement parts.
Conservation Initial $45K
[#27] Initial conservation/restoration of historical exterior components (climate-control setup, initial conservator work).
Rigging Fixtures $25K
[#12] One-off rigging/fixture design and fabrication for heavy-lift transport preparation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.2M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#3] 24/7 site security staffing (12–18 guards total). Estimated ~15 guards × ~$60,000 avg salary + ~30% benefits → ~ $1,170,000/yr.
Research And Monitoring $580K/yr
[#14, #15, #9, #24, #26] Ongoing materials research and analysis personnel/consumables (#14), neuroscience research personnel/operations (#15), monitoring data storage and calibration (#9), diagnostics operations (#24), archival storage maintenance (#26).
Logistics And Transport $530K/yr
[#11, #12, #10, #25] AWTR-41 range upkeep and per-test operations (#11), per-move transport costs amortized annually (#12), generator fuel/maintenance and test fuel (#10), public-safety/liaison costs for tests (#25).
Ert Costs $250K/yr
[#4] Specialized rapid-response / ERT recurring costs (training, on-call premiums, equipment amortization).
Supplies And Consumables $188K/yr
[#6, #7, #17] Pathology/biomedical supplies and life-support consumables (#6), biohazard disposal and per-test waste handling (#7), PPE and disposables (#17).
Maintenance Contracts $115K/yr
[#5] Twice-monthly maintenance visit contractor model (engineers + medical doctors) estimated at ~$115,000/yr.
Specialist Contractors $70K/yr
[#29] On-call historical artisans, fabricators and metalworkers for repairs and disinformation artifacts.
Health Surveillance $60K/yr
[#16] Occupational medicine and long-term health surveillance for staff exposed to nausea/sickness fields.
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#20] Ongoing cover-story maintenance, PR monitoring and legal counsel.
Audits And Assessments $45K/yr
[#30] Annualized cost for periodic full-system risk assessments and external audits (avg. cost amortized across years).
Robotics Maintenance $30K/yr
[#8] Annual maintenance, calibration and spare parts for remote handling robotics.
Training And Drills $30K/yr
[#22] Regular containment drills, medical scenario rehearsals and red-team exercises.
Spare Parts Replenishment $25K/yr
[#13] Annual replenishment of spare parts inventory and consumables for historical components.
Psychological Support $25K/yr
[#28] Counseling and confidentiality enforcement for exposed staff.
Clearance Reinvestigation $20K/yr
[#21] Ongoing reinvestigations and HR admin for high-clearance staff.
Hvac Operations $15K/yr
[#23] Ongoing HVAC operation costs and filter replacement for HEPA/negative-pressure systems.
Conservation Maintenance $15K/yr
[#27] Annual conservator visits and supplies for preservation of wooden/metal exterior components.
Shutdown Testing $10K/yr
[#18] Periodic testing, validation and maintenance of remote shutdown / fail-safe systems.
Restraints Maintenance $1K/yr
[#2] Annual inspections and minor maintenance of steel restraints, anchors, and tamper sensors.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.2M/yr
81.8% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine maintenance, scheduled tests at normal cadence, and no containment incidents.
no_incidents standard_test_cadence
🚨 Testing Intensive $4.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$900K vs baseline
Year with elevated testing activity at AWTR-41 (multiple major tests, frequent transport and data collection).
multiple_major_tests increased AWTR activity frequent transports
🚨 Minor Incident $3.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring ERT response, limited repairs, extra testing and limited legal/PR engagement.
localized_activation small-scale structural_damage ERT deployment
🚨 Major Breach $13.2M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant accidental activation or transport failure leading to widespread vaporization damage, large-scale cleanup, legal exposure and major rebuild/cover-up operations.
catastrophic_activation transport_failure_during_move large-scale structural_vaporization
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 15 [@#3] 24/7 site security staffing estimated at ~15 guards on payroll (12–18 guard coverage). Staff wages in 'staff_wages' reflect these salaries + benefits.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a medium-confidence estimate; however anomalous behavior, test cadence and breach probabilities remain uncertain so figures retain material variance.
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