SCP-3282 — SCP-3282 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3282 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-3282

Expected annual

$5.3M

One-time setup

$7.5M

Annual recurring

$4.9M

Personnel

First-year one-time setup costs are dominated by infrastructure and a large contingency reserve (~$7.51M one-time); recurring annual operations run approximately $4.93M/yr, driven primarily by staff wages, research, deployments, and a reconstruction contingency.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.5M

Catastrophic Contingency Reserve $5.0M

[#30] Initial reserve fund for catastrophic escalation (large-scale relocation, mass amnestics, emergency engineering).

Equipment $1.4M

[#3, #12, #14, #15, #24] Power/communications hardware, field sensor grid (nodes+installation), robotic probe fleet purchase, emergency/neutralization gear, and vehicle fleet purchase.

Facilities $620K

[#2, #8, #28] Construction/retrofit of remote surveillance cabin and quarantine wing plus initial high-altitude contractor campaign for installations.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K

[#9, #13, #29] EEG rigs and training, initial remote mapping/cave imaging campaigns, and secure archival/classified storage setup.

Personnel Training Development $20K

[#19] Initial development of training courses and SOPs for dream-journal protocol, high-altitude survival, sedation and quarantine.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.9M/yr

Reconstruction Contingency Fund $1.0M/yr

[#22] Reserve pool to compensate/repair local infrastructure damage and support cover-story reconstruction efforts.

Research And Monitoring $845K/yr

[#11, #13, #27, #29] Long-term data storage/processing, follow-up subsurface surveys, core scientific research budget, and archive operations.

Staff Wages $812K/yr

[#5, #10] Salaries for three on-site personnel (high-altitude premiums/rotation) and sleep-lab/neuropsych research team salaries.

Logistics And Transport $620K/yr

[#4, #6, #16] Monthly resupply airlifts, specialist full-moon containment deployments, and medevac/helicopter availability standby contracts.

Cover Story And Legal $450K/yr

[#1, #20, #26] Permits/local NGO cover, disinformation/content generation, and insurance/legal/cover-management overhead.

Quarantine Operations $219K/yr

[#8] Operating costs for quarantine wing (staff, food, utilities) for recovered SCP-3282-1 instances.

Emergency Response Standby $150K/yr

[#15] Standby operational costs for rapid response/neutralization teams and specialized suppression equipment.

Replacement And Repair $150K/yr

[#23] General replacement and repair budget for lost/damaged equipment (drones, sensors, vehicles).

D Class Procurement $120K/yr

[#7] Procurement, housing, sedation and medical support for monthly D-Class cycles.

Robot Replacement And Spares $100K/yr

[#14] Spares and replacement losses for robotic exploration fleet expected to be damaged/lost in burrow.

Amnestic Administration Pool $100K/yr

[#21] Pharmaceuticals and mobile administration team budget to amnesticize occasional civilian witnesses.

Specialist Contractors $100K/yr

[#28] Annual contracting budget for high-altitude engineers/mountaineers to maintain installations.

Local Personnel Contracts $80K/yr

[#25] High-altitude guide/Sherpa/interpreter contracts for safe mountain operations and plausible cover.

Psychological Care $60K/yr

[#18] Counseling, rotation support, and mental-health monitoring for personnel exposed to dream influence.

Facilities Maintenance $45K/yr

[#12, #24] Ongoing maintenance for field sensor grid and vehicle upkeep/fuel estimates.

Supplies And Consumables $45K/yr

[#9, #17] EEG consumables/maintenance and medical/pharmacy supplies for staff and D-Class.

Personnel Training $30K/yr

[#19] Recurring refresher courses and rotational training for field staff and containment teams.

Power And Communications Bandwidth $5K/yr

[#3] Ongoing fuel for generator and satellite bandwidth/comm service fees.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.9M/yr

75.0% probability / year

Normal year with scheduled full-moon procedures, routine research, and no major incidents.

scheduled_full_moon_deployments routine_maintenance no public manifestations

🚨 Minor Incident $5.2M/yr

18.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline

Localized equipment loss or limited public sighting requiring extra replacements, amnestics, and a few unscheduled deployments.

drone_or_sensor_loss small_public_sighting extra_containment_deployment

🚨 Major Breach $6.9M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline

SCP-3282 manifests outside the cave or causes significant local infrastructure damage requiring larger reconstruction and mobilization.

manifestation_outside_cave significant_local_damage large_amnestic_response

🚨 Catastrophic Escalation $14.9M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline

Widespread public exposure or a sustained multi-site manifestation requiring mass amnestics, evacuations, large engineering response and drawing contingency reserves.

widespread_public_exposure multiple_manifestations need_for_mass_amnestics_and_relocation

👥 Personnel 8 total

Role	Count	Notes
Field Researcher / On-site Technician	3	[#5] Three personnel stationed at the surveillance cabin (nightly monitoring, dream journals, rotations).
EEG Technician	2	[#9, #10] Two EEG/clinical technicians responsible for twice-weekly brainwave monitoring and equipment operation.
Neuropsychologist	2	[#10, #11] Two neuropsychologists conducting evaluations, interviews, and dream content analysis.
Data Analyst	1	[#10, #11] One data analyst for indexing, ML analysis and maintaining long-term storage/cataloging.

📋 Confidence Notes

Many line items are explicitly estimated in analyst notes (moderate confidence), but major uncertainties remain around robotics loss rates, scale of reconstruction events, and the long-term research program size, so totals carry material variance.

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