SCP-3286 — SCP-3286 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3286 Euclid ~ medium confidence

SCP-3286

Expected annual

$3.1M

One-time setup

$4.6M

Annual recurring

$3.1M

Personnel

One-time capital/setup costs are dominated by barrier construction, patrol vessels and specialized underwater/equipment installs (~$4.6M). Recurring annual operations (vessel crews, research staff, vessel operations, lease options, monitoring, and contingencies) are the main drivers (~$2.9M/yr baseline; expected annual cost ~$3.03M after incident risk).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.6M

Equipment $1.9M

[#1, #6, #10, #12, #13, #21, #22, #27] Capital purchase of patrol vessels (purchase option), feed-release port/lock install, remote observation nodes, sonar array install, capital ROV/AUV purchases (observation + one work-class), comms hardware, subsea power/cable option initial install, and one-time autoclave/incinerator access.

Purchased Salvage Vessel $1.0M

[#20] One-time purchase option for standby salvage/hoist-capable vessel (alternative to contracted standby).

Facilities $870K

[#3, #4, #26] One-time harbor mooring/shore facility upgrades, underwater barrier construction (small-to-large ring) and initial public-signage/buoy installation. Estimate combines mid-range barrier and mooring work and signage.

Contingency Reserve $500K

[#25] Initial reserve fund for unexpected events (repairs, rapid R&D, emergency response).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $192K

[#8, #15, #24] Onshore aquaculture (small RAS) buildout, one-off containment/necropsy lab upgrades, and initial biosecurity/decontamination equipment.

Legal Permitting Cover One Time $150K

[#18] One-time legal/permitting/PR cover-story setup and initial environmental assessments/negotiations.

Sop Training Development $35K

[#23] One-time SOP development and initial containment-specific training curriculum creation.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.1M/yr

Staff Wages $1.4M/yr

[#2, #11, #17, #8] Annual wages: patrol boat crew (shift coverage & maintenance), video analysts/data techs, research scientists/geneticists/containment scientists, and RAS/aquaculture technician staffing.

Patrol Vessel Lease $432K/yr

[#1] Recurring lease option for patrol boats (~$6k–$20k/boat/month). Annual estimate assumes multiple boats leased at mid-range rates.

Patrol Operations Fuel And Maintenance $300K/yr

[#2] Fuel and maintenance for continuous channel patrols (multiple boats), includes routine mechanical maintenance and consumables.

Cover Story And Legal $120K/yr

[#18, #28] Annual legal/PR/permit upkeep, community compensation/mitigation payments and political/anthropogenic mitigation to manage local stakeholders and secrecy.

Standby Salvage Vessel Contract $120K/yr

[#20] Recurring contracted standby salvage/hoist capability (alternative to purchasing).

Facilities Maintenance $90K/yr

[#3, #5] Annual harbor berth/secure mooring fees and underwater barrier maintenance/inspections (fouling removal, corrosion protection, anchor repairs).

Aquaculture Operations $80K/yr

[#8] Recurring staffing, consumables, vet checks and operating costs for onshore RAS/quarantine facility.

Insurance And Liability $80K/yr

[#19] Annual marine operations, environmental liability and vessel insurance premiums for secret/atypical operations.

Research And Monitoring $70K/yr

[#14, #16] Environmental monitoring, routine water/plankton/microbial sampling and laboratory sample analysis/genetic sequencing budget (monthly sampling and per-sample sequencing).

Rov Operations And Maintenance $50K/yr

[#13] Operation, servicing and maintenance for observation/work-class ROVs/AUVs.

Reserve Replenishment $50K/yr

[#25] Periodic replenishment of contingency fund as incidents deplete reserves.

Logistics And Transport $40K/yr

[#9] Daily transport logistics for donor fish (small transfers, insulated containers, oxygenation, small-boat transfers) and routine supply transit.

Donor Fish Procurement $40K/yr

[#7] Daily live donor fish procurement (disease-screened stock, quarantine, transport) averaged across species/sourcing.

Data Storage And Comms $40K/yr

[#11, #21] Bandwidth, shore receivers, storage, cloud costs and recurring comms/IT maintenance for continuous video/telemetry and secure logs.

Supplies And Consumables $30K/yr

[#29] Miscellaneous consumables: ropes, anchors, replacement housings, PPE, batteries, nets, dock hardware.

Mortality Response $30K/yr

[#15, #27] Annual budget for carcass recovery, necropsies, biohazard disposal and occasional cold-storage/containment handling per instance.

Emergency Drills $30K/yr

[#20, #23] Annual drills, training refreshers and emergency response exercises for breach/recovery scenarios.

Sonar Maintenance $15K/yr

[#12] Maintenance and calibration for sonar/hydrophone arrays.

Feed Lock Maintenance $10K/yr

[#6] Annual upkeep for the underwater feed-release port/lock system (seals, actuators, washdown).

Power Maintenance $10K/yr

[#22] Recurring maintenance/replacement for buoy/battery options or subsea power upkeep.

Training Refreshers $10K/yr

[#23] Annual refresher training for crews/ROV pilots/scientists on containment SOPs.

Biosecurity $10K/yr

[#24] Ongoing decontamination stations, anti-fouling, hull cleaning policies and related consumables.

Waste Disposal $10K/yr

[#27] Recurring hazardous waste disposal and incineration contracts for biological/anomalous waste.

Signage Maintenance $2K/yr

[#26] Buoy/sign replacement and upkeep.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.1M/yr

70.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine monitoring and no major incidents; recurring operations continue as planned.

no breaches routine monitoring scheduled maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $3.1M/yr

25.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline

Single localized incident (instance death or small barrier damage) requiring emergency recovery, extra necropsy work, short repairs and PR/legal mitigation.

single SCP-3286 mortality minor barrier/mesh damage localized public/scientific attention

🚨 Major Breach $4.4M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$1.3M vs baseline

Significant barrier breach or mass reproductive/escape event requiring major repairs, contracted salvage purchase or heavy use of reserves and elevated legal/PR response.

structural barrier failure mass SCP-3286-B reproductive event political exposure requiring large PR/legal action

👥 Personnel 21 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent (Patrol Crew)	12	Boat crews and maintenance staff to provide 24/7 patrol rotation and on-board maintenance (covers crew wages in staff_wages).
Research Scientist	4	Marine biologists/geneticists/containment scientists for study, oversight of SCP-3286-B events and containment policy (salaries included in staff_wages).
Video Analyst / Data Technician	3	Continuous video/telemetry monitoring, AI oversight and data management (staff_wages covers these roles).
Research Technician / Aquaculture Staff	1	Operates RAS/quarantine, handles donor fish prep and biosecurity (recurring aquaculture_operations and staff_wages).
Site Director / Administrative Staff	1	Site management, liaison with legal/PR and local authorities (salary included in staff_wages).

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide extensive line-item ranges and operational detail; however many marine construction, vessel and incident costs vary greatly by local conditions, redundancy choices (purchase vs lease), and political/legal factors, so precision is moderate.

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