SCP-3290 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3290
Expected annual
$12.4M
One-time setup
$7.7M
Annual recurring
$11.8M
Personnel
28
One-time setup costs for secure IT, labs and emergency reserves are roughly $7.7M, with recurring annual operations dominated by staff, surveillance and legal/PR/reserve budgets totalling ~ $11.8M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.7M
Emergency Containment Reserve Seed $3.0M
[#15] Seed for rapid emergency payments / contractor reserve.
Long Term Research Contingency Seed $2.0M
[#25] Seed funding for potential multi-year mechanistic/clinical research scale-up.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.9M
[#3, #6, #10] Predictive analytics/ML development (#3), forensics/deepfake lab setup (#6), polysomnography research lab buildout (#10).
Equipment $450K
[#5, #9, #18] Secure IT hardware (#5), one sleep‑interruption unit outfitting (#9), OPSEC/cover tooling/setup (#18).
Initial Vetting $200K
[#19] One-time initial background checks/vetting estimated as a program seed.
Facilities $125K
[#5] Secure facility installation portion of IT segregation and physical installation.
Training Curriculum Dev $50K
[#17] Initial curriculum and liaison training development.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.8M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $2.9M/yr
[#7, #8, #13, #14, #15] Legal retainer & litigation contingency (#7), PR standby and media buys (#8), takedown reserves (#13), influence/narrative seeding (#14), emergency reserve maintenance (#15).
Covert Surveillance $2.8M/yr
[#12] Physical covert surveillance costs for high‑risk subjects (scale assumed ~100 subjects as analyst note example).
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #6, #9, #10, #17] Disinformation/crisis team (#1), OSINT analysts (#2), ML/model ops maintenance (#3), forensics analysts (#6), sleep‑unit clinicians (#9), polysomnography researchers/techs (#10), liaison stipends (#17).
Research And Monitoring $900K/yr
[#21, #25] Independent scientific collaboration / grants (#21) and recurring long‑term research program funding (#25).
Logistics And Transport $700K/yr
[#16, #24] Secure transport / temporary relocation contingency (#16) and global rapid‑response travel budget (#24).
Medical Psychiatric Care $500K/yr
[#11] Inpatient/outpatient psychiatric care, sleep disorder treatment and counseling program budget.
Public Sentiment Monitoring $350K/yr
[#22] Monitoring software, polling and contingency ad buys for counter‑panic messaging.
Data Acquisition Api Access $300K/yr
[#4] Paid enterprise API access, third‑party datasets and historical data purchases.
Insurance And Bonding $250K/yr
[#23] Premiums for litigation, cyber insurance and bonding for high‑risk operations.
Vetting And Insider Monitoring $200K/yr
[#19] Ongoing employee monitoring and insider risk program.
Facilities Maintenance $125K/yr
[#5] Cloud/bandwidth/storage and secure IT maintenance recurring costs.
Staff Mental Health $120K/yr
[#20] Counseling program and per‑staff EAP costs.
Monitoring Software And Subscriptions $60K/yr
[#2] Dashboard software, scraping tools and subscription fees for OSINT team.
Opsec Cover Identity Ops $60K/yr
[#18] Operational costs for cover identities, burner systems and related OPSEC maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.8M/yr
65.0% probability / year
Normal year of steady monitoring, staffing, maintenance, legal retainers and programmatic research with no major incidents.
no major public leak routine case volume standard surveillance and PR activity
🚨 Minor Incident $12.2M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
A single high‑profile 3290‑Event requiring targeted extraction/relocation, moderate PR campaign, legal takedowns and extra surveillance resources.
viral post by a prominent individual localized media attention need for short‑term relocation and PR buys
🚨 Major Breach $14.3M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
High‑visibility leak affecting multiple jurisdictions causing costly litigation, extensive media countermeasures, multiple extractions and heavy surveillance escalation.
multi‑jurisdictional law enforcement involvement sustained national media attention large legal defense and expanded rapid response
🚨 Catastrophic Exposure $26.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Widespread public exposure or cascade of events requiring multi‑year emergency response, major clinical/memetic research scale‑up and extensive reputational remediation.
nationwide panic or high‑profile political fallout triggering of large clinical trials or multi‑million research programs severe multi‑jurisdiction litigation
👥 Personnel 28 total
Role Count Notes
Disinformation Specialist / Crisis Response 8 [#1] 6 specialists + 2 managers; accounted at ~$120k loaded salary each.
OSINT Analyst / Social‑Media Monitoring 6 [#2] Continuous monitoring analysts; accounted at ~$80k each.
Forensic Analyst (multimedia/deepfake) 3 [#6] 2–3 analysts for multimedia forensics; recurring wages aggregated.
Data Scientist / ML Ops 2 [#3] Model maintenance and ops included in recurring staffing.
Polysomnography Researcher / Technician 3 [#10] Researchers and techs for sleep lab research; recurring wages aggregated.
Medical Clinician (rapid response unit) 2 [#9] Clinicians for sleep‑interruption unit staffing; included in recurring operating costs.
Liaison Officer / Trainer 4 [#17] Liaison stipends and trainers maintaining relationships with local PDs and agencies.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed ranges and line items, enabling a structured estimate; however many items are scale‑dependent (number of surveillance subjects, incident frequency, size of litigation reserves and discretionary influence budgets), so totals are best‑estimate midpoints rather than precise accounting.
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