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SCP-3309 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3309
Expected annual
$48.7M
One-time setup
$372.4M
Annual recurring
$38.3M
Personnel
60
Large up-front capital for hardened offline archives, research labs, and contingency reserves dominate one-time costs (~$372M), while recurring costs are driven by specialized staff, ongoing research/monitoring, and per-incident investigation/response (~$38.2M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $372.4M
Catastrophic Contingency Fund $275.0M
[#24] High-severity catastrophic contingency reserve to cover conceptual/structural losses and large-scale rebuilds (midpoint of analyst range).
Insurance Reserve $55.0M
[#16] Establishment of an insurance/asset-loss reserve sized to replace lost research or pay claims (midpoint of analyst range).
Facilities $19.0M
[#1, #6, #22] Hardened RAISA archive vaults (site diversification, secure fit-out) and establishment of secure amnestic medical suites and cross-jurisdiction safehouse setup; combined midpoint estimates for construction, fit-out, and initial site establishment.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $18.0M
[#12, #14] Dedicated research program capital to establish multi-disciplinary labs plus sample-preservation/rapid extraction capability (initial instrumentation and lab buildout).
Equipment $4.5M
[#2, #4, #9, #19] Offline WORM/microform conversion and initial consumable stock, initial emergency vehicle/equipment procurement, one-time forensic IT development/deployment hardware, and hardened communications hardware (one-time purchase).
Power Infrastructure $875K
[#20] Generators, UPS banks and initial emergency power infrastructure purchases (one-time equipment).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $38.3M/yr
Research And Monitoring $21.8M/yr
[#9, #13, #14, #17] Ongoing research program operating costs (scientists/technicians/consumables), forensic IT operations/logging operations, sample-preservation operations, and expected annual incident investigation & forensic reconstruction workload (annualized using analyst median per-incident costs and conservative incident-rate assumption).
Supplies And Consumables $5.8M/yr
[#2, #7, #8, #10, #18, #21, #25] Per-document archival consumables and evidence-sealing supplies, amnestic administration & personnel processing costs (annual aggregate midpoint), psychological care/reintegration services, manual offline verification labor/procedural overhead, training/tabletop exercises, HazMat/decon recurring readiness, and administrative overhead.
Staff Wages $5.2M/yr
[#3, #5] Salaries and fully-burdened compensation for 24/7 Paraphrase Rapid-Response analysts (midpoint staffing) and recurring personnel costs for Emergency Containment & Extraction teams.
Cover Story And Legal $2.8M/yr
[#15] Legal, PR, covert ops, front-company and media-suppression budgets for routine concealment and small-scale exposure responses (midpoint).
Facilities Maintenance $1.7M/yr
[#1, #6, #20, #22] Ongoing vault/site maintenance, secure-medical-suite maintenance and consumables, fuel/maintenance for emergency power, and safehouse upkeep (annual midpoints).
Logistics And Transport $900K/yr
[#11, #23] Physical courier and emergency transport contract retainers and external contractor/outsourced-analyst retainer fees (annual midpoints).
Communications Operations $125K/yr
[#19] Recurring maintenance, airtime, and service costs for hardened satellite phones, mesh radios and one-way data diodes.
Reserve Replenishment $0/yr
[#16, #24] Ongoing replenishment of insurance/contingency reserves is event-driven and not budgeted as a guaranteed annual expense here (set to $0 pending draw/replenishment policy).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $38.3M/yr
29.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine activity and expected incident cadence accounted for in recurring budgets (no large-scale escalations or reserve draws).
routine SCP-3309 cases normal research and operational tempo
🚨 Minor Incident $43.2M/yr
60.0% probability / year +$4.9M vs baseline
Localized multi-site disappearance event requiring elevated investigations, short-term surge in emergency response, additional courier/charter use, and modest legal/PR activity.
clustered disappearances increased investigative workload
🚨 Major Incident $88.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$49.9M vs baseline
Multi-site, high-value anomaly erasure with significant legal exposure and requirement to draw on contingency resources and surge research/containment operations.
multi-site critical anomaly loss governmental/legal exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Conceptual Loss $288.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$249.9M vs baseline
Rare, systemic loss of conceptual structures or policies requiring large-scale reconstruction, international response, and tapping catastrophic contingency funds.
global conceptual/legal collapse widespread societal/regulatory erasure
👥 Personnel 60 total
Role Count Notes
Paraphrase Analyst 25 [#3] Midpoint of analyst staffing (25 analysts at ~$100k fully burdened each) to cover 24/7 paraphrase rapid-response.
Paraphrase Supervisor 5 [#3] Supervisory and QA staff for paraphrase team (5 supervisors, included in analyst staffing cost estimate).
Emergency Response Operator / MTF Agent 30 [#4, #5] Personnel operating emergency containment & extraction teams (headcount calibrated to recurring personnel cost midpoint for 3–4 mobile teams).
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs are derived from analyst midpoints of broad ranges and include judgmental annualizations (e.g., assumed incident-rate for per-incident costs). SCP anomalous behavior and large ranges on reserves reduce precision; line items and assumptions are auditable in the notes.
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