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SCP-3394 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3394
Expected annual
$4.4M
One-time setup
$6.4M
Annual recurring
$4.3M
Personnel
18
Estimated one-time capital and engineering costs are approximately $6.39M driven primarily by excavation/structural remediation, non-metallic construction, and reserved contingencies; recurring annual costs are approximately $4.25M driven by staff wages (security + research), insurance, Class-D program, and ongoing R&D/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.4M
Emergency Response Reserve $2.0M
[#17] One-time portion of emergency response reserve / immediate remediation fund (sizable reserve set aside per note).
Facilities $1.9M
[#1, #2, #3, #16, #19] Excavation, FRP/non-metallic structural materials, mahogany barricade construction, nearby-metal removal/structural remediation, and non-metallic door/installation.
Equipment $1.2M
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #11, #12, #15, #18, #20, #27] Non-metallic utility feedthroughs, HVAC install, fiber-optic lighting, monitoring suite, non-metallic toolkits, fireproofing coatings, scheduling RNG/software setup, initial specialized training setup, BSL equipment/autoclave, redundant external power installation, infosec setup, and water-management hardware.
Structural Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#30] Discretionary contingency for unknown high-force interactions and unforeseen structural reinforcement/replacement.
Sunk Emergency Operations $300K
[#25] Historical/sunk costs for initial discovery temporary onsite containment and emergency tunneling/remediation (recorded as sunk but included for planning context).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.9M/yr
[#12, #13] Incremental security payroll and permanent containment research/containment science team payroll (fully burdened estimates combined).
Insurance And Liability $600K/yr
[#24] Insurance premiums / self-insurance reserve / third-party indemnities to cover property damage and claims.
Cover Story And Legal $475K/yr
[#20, #21] Information security / compartmentalization recurring costs and legal/cover-story / public-relations budget.
Logistics And Transport $400K/yr
[#10, #17] Class-D personnel program recurring costs (rotation, housing, medical, attrition) and annual tabletop/drill/external responder exercise costs.
Research And Monitoring $332K/yr
[#7, #15, #23] Monitoring suite data/storage and maintenance, BSL disposal/contracts and lab consumables, and ongoing specialized materials R&D.
Medical And Psychiatric Services $200K/yr
[#14] Medical monitoring, psychiatry, post-exposure care and emergency medical readiness for Class-D and staff.
Administrative Overhead $165K/yr
[#29] Containment-specific administrative overhead: project management, accounting, procurement, compliance reporting.
Facilities Maintenance $138K/yr
[#5, #18, #27, #28] HVAC energy/maintenance, backup power fuel & maintenance, wastewater/condensation system maintenance, and routine facility inspections/maintenance.
Training And Psychological Monitoring $50K/yr
[#26] Recurring specialized training, psychological conditioning programs, supervised practice sessions, and monitoring.
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#6, #8, #9, #22] Fiber-optic lighting maintenance, non-metallic tool replacement, fireproofing inspection/recoat consumables, and routine consumables/filters/sealants.
Access Scheduling And Auditing Support $3K/yr
[#11] Recurring support and maintenance for RNG scheduling, access-control integration, and auditing software.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.3M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations, scheduled entries, maintenance, and no containment breaches.
no breaches routine maintenance standard research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $4.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring repairs, overtime, limited remediation, and short-term increased monitoring.
small structural/door failure minor breach or tool contamination localized wood/coating damage
🚨 Major Breach $7.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring demolition, reconstruction, large emergency response, and extended remediation.
structural collapse metal reintroduction within radius serious equipment failure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $14.3M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Severe public exposure or catastrophic release requiring large-scale remediation, litigation, replacement facility construction, and major indemnities.
public exposure catastrophic structural failure large-scale litigation or indemnity payments
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#12] Incremental security staffing required to guard perimeter, control access, and escort Class-D subjects; headcount estimated from payroll component of staff_wages.
Research Scientist / Containment Technician 6 [#13] Permanent containment science team (scientists, engineers, technicians) included in staff_wages; mid-point staffing chosen (4–8 => 6).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges allowing a reasoned midrange estimate, but wide ranges on structural remediation, reserves, and insurance create material uncertainty.
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