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SCP-3397 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3397
Expected annual
$3.4M
One-time setup
$2.4M
Annual recurring
$3.2M
Personnel
7
Estimated initial capital and setup costs are modest-to-moderate (~$2.38M one-time) while annual operating costs are dominated by staff salaries, local compensation/legal/PR, and contingency reserves (~$3.18M/year). Main cost drivers are personnel, local buy-in/compensation, legal/PR/cover operations, and contingency funds for escalation.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.4M
Facilities $585K
[#6, #29] One-time shore-based secure observation station build-out and potential permanent physical containment infrastructure (mobile/command post build and possible permanent monitoring/exclusion infrastructure).
Contingency Reserve One Time $500K
[#25] One-time reserved capital for rapid escalation (if a decision is taken to build larger non-metallic platforms, acquire property, or other major capex).
Boat Purchase One Time $350K
[#4] Purchase/retrofit of one or more non-metallic (or vetted/retrofit) patrol vessels as a capital option.
Non Metallic Deployment Rnd $175K
[#9] R&D and fabrication costs to build reliable non-metallic (fiber/ceramic/glass) remote-deployment and tether systems.
Remote Sensing Purchase $150K
[#7] Purchase of high-end long-range optical/thermal/IR cameras and stabilized mounts for shore-to-sea observation.
Sonar Purchase $125K
[#10] Purchase of long-range acoustic/sonar mapping equipment suitable for standoff operations (if chosen over rental).
Development Non Contact Protocols $112K
[#23] One-time development of non-contact observation and analysis protocols and custom tooling for remote optical/spectroscopic sampling.
Specialized Retrieval Toolset $112K
[#26] One-time development and prototyping of bespoke non-metallic forensic retrieval devices (ceramic/wood/composite tongs, glass samplers, fiber-optic manipulators).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $100K
[#11] Initial lab buildout and sample-handling upgrades (BSL-2/3-capable handling and contamination controls for ash/tissue analysis).
Retrofit Non Metallic Anchors $75K
[#5] Retrofitting commercial boats or purchasing specialty non-metallic anchors, mooring gear and deck tools (small fleet / per-vessel retrofit aggregate).
Training Sop Development $45K
[#16] One-time development of SOPs, initial training programs and coordinated drills with local authorities.
Data Storage Initial $35K
[#20] Initial costs for secure archival infrastructure, high-capacity video storage, encryption and redundancy systems.
Ppe Initial Purchase $12K
[#12] Initial procurement of specialized non-metallic sampling kits, PPE, HEPA filters, and respirators for evidence collection.
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.2M/yr
Staff Wages $800K/yr
[#17] Annual salaries for a small core containment & research team (site manager, marine biologist, historians, field techs, security supervisors) and associated benefits.
Legal Reserve Annual $500K/yr
[#21] Annual legal defense retainer / contingency insurance fund for lawsuits, fines, international incidents and settlements.
Compensation Local Businesses $400K/yr
[#2] Annual compensation or funding to local businesses/tourism loss mitigation for beach/port closures or deterrence during event window.
Amnestic Cover Ops $200K/yr
[#14] Annual costs for amnestic/cover operations, legal settlements, witness relocation, NDAs, and active PR to maintain the archaeological cover story.
Contingency Reserve Recurring $200K/yr
[#25] Annual contingency reserve to cover escalation in activity, emergency mitigation, or transitioning to more permanent measures.
Research And Monitoring $175K/yr
[#11] Ongoing lab analyses, sample processing, forensic work, and year-round monitoring effort (chemistry, SEM, mass spec, histology).
Maritime Permits $150K/yr
[#1] Annual maritime exclusion-zone permits, governmental coordination, liaison/translation staff, and small annual payments to regional authorities.
Forensic Mortuary $150K/yr
[#13] Budget for autopsies, mortuary storage, disposition, evidence chain, and potential repatriation in case of fatalities or recovered decedents.
Security Staffing $100K/yr
[#3] Temporary security staffing (shoreline watch, cordon, crowd control) for the event window and associated overtime/rotations.
Travel Lodging $65K/yr
[#18] Travel, lodging and per diem for deployed staff and contractors during augmentation for the event window.
Boat Charter $60K/yr
[#4] Recurring charter costs for non-metallic or vetted vessels during manifestation windows (if not purchased).
Diplomacy Intel $60K/yr
[#28] Ongoing liaison with foreign consulates, classified briefings and covert diplomacy if foreign nationals are involved.
Pr Media Monitoring $50K/yr
[#22] Annual public relations retainers, media monitoring and rapid-response content/DMCA takedowns to preserve cover.
Environmental Remediation $50K/yr
[#27] Annual budget for beach/seafloor cleanup and public-health remediation in the event of ash/residue contamination.
Archaeologist Consultants $40K/yr
[#15] Retainers and fees for local archaeologists/contractors to staff the cover story and produce plausible restoration works.
Annual Historian Stipend $30K/yr
[#30] Annual stipend/retainer for classical scholars/historians to interpret Latin utterances and archival research.
Medevac Standby $25K/yr
[#19] Helicopter/ambulance/EMS standby or cost-sharing arrangements for coastal medical evacuation readiness.
Satellite Imagery $20K/yr
[#8] Annual satellite tasking and imagery analysis retainer for targeted passes and archival access.
Aircraft Charter $15K/yr
[#8] Occasional aircraft charter/airborne reconnaissance costs for event days.
Ppe Consumables $15K/yr
[#12] Annual restock of non-metallic sampling kits, PPE, filters and consumables.
Buoy Deployment $15K/yr
[#24] Deployable non-metallic buoys, netting and floating exclusion markers for each event.
Remote Sensing Rental $12K/yr
[#7] Rental of long-range EO/IR imaging systems for each event year when purchase is not used or supplemental rentals required.
Sonar Rental $12K/yr
[#10] Rental of standoff sonar/acoustic mapping systems for event windows if purchase is not used or for supplemental coverage.
Drills And Training $12K/yr
[#16] Annual refresher drills, SOP updates and joint rehearsals with local authorities.
Non Metallic Deployment Consumables $11K/yr
[#9] Per-event consumables and replacement parts for fiber-optic booms, ceramic/glass tether components and winches.
Data Storage Recurring $8K/yr
[#20] Ongoing costs for secure video archival storage, backups, transcription/translation and analysis infrastructure.
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#6] Annual site rental/maintenance, comms and recurring upkeep for the shore-based command/observation post.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.2M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; containment and monitoring activities occur as planned with standard annual expenses.
annual_event_monitoring no_civilians_touched no_media_exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $3.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
A small-scale incident (e.g., 1–2 civilian contacts, localized casualties, limited media leakage) requiring extra forensics, local settlements and PR.
limited_fatality_or_injury local_media_coverage
🚨 Major Breach $4.7M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant exposure or multiple civilian fatalities, requiring large settlements, expanded emergency response, and temporary escalation of containment.
multiple_fatalities local_political_scrutiny extended_operations
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $8.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Severe, high-profile containment failure leading to multi-million-dollar escalation: permanent exclusion zones, major capital construction, international incidents.
widespread_casualties international_attention policy_change_to_permanent_exclusion
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#17] Overall site/operations manager; included in staff_wages estimate.
Research Scientist 2 [#17] Scientists performing lab analyses and long-term study; included in staff_wages estimate.
Marine Biologist 1 [#17] Specialist for sea-based observations and biological sample interpretation; included in staff_wages estimate.
Field Technician 2 [#17] Technicians for equipment operation, remote sensing and field logistics; included in staff_wages estimate.
Security Supervisor / Security Officer 1 [#17, #3] Supervises contracted security teams and coordinates rotations; included in staff_wages estimate (does not include temporary/contracted guards paid under security_staffing).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude based on analyst ranges; many line items have wide variance depending on operational choices (remote-only vs close-contact). Recurring staff and legal/cover costs are well-understood; R&D and escalation reserves are more uncertain, hence medium confidence.
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