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SCP-3434 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3434
Expected annual
$29.0M
One-time setup
$13.3M
Annual recurring
$28.6M
Personnel
183
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $13.3M for retrofits, equipment, and research/lab setup; ongoing annual costs are approximately $28.6M driven primarily by payroll for security and medical staff, logistics/MTF activations, research, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $13.3M
Equipment $6.2M
[#4, #10, #11, #12, #14, #24, #25] Purchase of capital equipment: 5armored ambulances (~$1.5M), NVG units (~$270k), IR CCTV installs (~$350k), padded furniture/restraint purchases (~$700k), NICU equipment (~$1.875M), secure IT/Cyber hardware (~$300k), mobile surgical unit (~$1.25M).
Facilities $5.0M
[#5, #6] One-time conversion/retrofit of 100 low-light residential rooms across Sites-06, 23, 44, 137 and 253 (20 rooms/site × midpoint $50k/room).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#15, #18, #26] One-time research/lab setup costs: Class E amnestic production facility setup (~$600k), biobank setup (~$300k), initial R&D program seed (~$1.1M).
Training Program Development $100K
[#2] One-time development of identification protocol and training materials (~midpoint $100k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $28.6M/yr
Staff Wages $13.0M/yr
[#1, #7, #8, #9] Base payroll for program staff: security guards (~90 @ $40k), embedded hospital agents (~20 @ ~$150k), nurses (~45 @ $70k), pediatric/OB specialists (~13 @ ~$135k), therapists (~15 @ $100k).
Logistics And Transport $3.0M/yr
[#3, #4, #20, #25] Recurring operational transport and response costs: MTF activations, per-transfer secure transport (ground/air charters), sample cold-chain logistics, and standby OR/partner-hospital agreements and per-intervention operating expenses.
Insurance And Benefits And Overhead $2.6M/yr
[#1, #27] Payroll add-ons: benefits, HR overhead, hazard pay and insurance (~20% of base payroll used as midpoint between 10–30%).
Facilities Maintenance $2.5M/yr
[#23, #29, #30] Utilities, HVAC/generator maintenance, site-level administration and low-light-adapted housekeeping, and miscellaneous contingency across five sites (utilities, generator upkeep, admin contracts, petty repairs).
Research And Monitoring $2.0M/yr
[#2, #18, #19, #20, #26] Ongoing epidemiology and longitudinal research, autopsy/advanced testing per-case, sample transport for research, recurring R&D/testing costs, and periodic training refreshers.
Contingency Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#22] Annual allocation to containment incident contingency reserve (minimum fund-build; can be drawn for large-scale exposure/breach responses).
Cover Story And Legal $1.3M/yr
[#16, #17, #21] Forged records/identity creation budgets (per-case and admin), retained legal counsel and contingency for local investigations/bribes, reintegration support budgets.
Supplies And Consumables $1.2M/yr
[#10, #11, #12, #13, #14] Consumables: infant supplies (diapers/formula/meds), NICU consumables, NVG batteries/maintenance, CCTV storage/maintenance, laundry/replacement for restraints.
Public Health Liaison $500K/yr
[#28] Funding for international public-health liaisons, travel, cover funding and language/cultural specialists to locate undetected cases.
It Maintenance And Cybersecurity $300K/yr
[#24] Ongoing IT staff, secure database maintenance, encryption, and cyber-security for surveillance and records.
Amnestic Administration $150K/yr
[#15] Recurring per-administration costs and stock refresh for Class E amnestics (usage-dependent; modeled as modest annual throughput).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $28.6M/yr
90.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major breaches or public exposure; routine activations and case handling only.
normal_detection_and_interception routine_research_and_admin
🚨 Minor Incident $29.3M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Localized breach or several challenging interceptions requiring extra MTF activations, short-term medical surge, and increased legal/cover work.
multiple_simultaneous_interceptions targeted_local_breach
🚨 Major Breach $38.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or cluster incident requiring mass medical response, large-scale amnestic deployment, emergency reintegration, and site rebuild/repair.
site_breach maternal_mass_casualties
🚨 Public Exposure $78.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Wide public exposure or international scandal requiring major PR, legal settlements, large-scale amnestic/amnestic distribution and program-scale contingencies.
media_exposure international_investigation
👥 Personnel 183 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 90 [#7] Estimated 18 guards per site × 5 sites = 90 guards (full-time staffing for 24/7 coverage).
Embedded Agent (maternity ward) 20 [#1] Program-wide embedded agents in hospitals to spot cases (assumed ~20 agents covering monitored hospitals).
Nurse 45 [#8] 9 FTE nurses per site × 5 sites = 45 (neonatal/pediatric nursing coverage).
Pediatrician / OB Specialist 13 [#8] ~2–3 specialists per site; modeled as 2.5 avg → rounded to 13 total across five sites.
Psychiatric / Therapist 15 [#9] ~3 therapists per site × 5 sites = 15 (trauma care for survivors and staff support).
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes are detailed and allow mid-range estimates for many items, but uncertain case volume, activation frequency, and geopolitical/legal variability leave substantial uncertainty in annual figures.
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