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SCP-3442 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3442
Expected annual
$101.2M
One-time setup
$5.1B
Annual recurring
$93.7M
Personnel
80
Baseline recurring costs are approximately $93.65M per year driven primarily by large-scale reorganization contingency, MTF staffing, cyber operations, and logistics; one-time capital/reserve items (notably a $5B emergency stabilization reserve and a $50M contingency reserve) dominate one-time expenditures totaling about $5.082B.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.1B
Emergency Stabilization Reserve $5.0B
[#13] Emergency economic stabilization reserve (conservative pick) ~$5,000,000,000 (insurance-style capital).
Contingency Reserve $50.0M
[#25] Contingency & incident reserve recommended as working capital ~$50,000,000.
Facilities $26.8M
[#9, #10, #24] Site-82 expansion and medical/processing fit-outs and UPS/generator infrastructure (Site-82 expansion ~$25M, med fit-out ~$1.5M, UPS/generator ~$300k).
Equipment $2.5M
[#5, #17] Detection/analytics one-time setup (servers, GPUs, scrapers) ~$1.5M and initial field fleet & tools ~$1M.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#18] Initial research program setup and controlled-trial infrastructure ~$2M.
Initial Mtf Training $250K
[#2] One-time intensive MTF training, certification, travel and SOP development ~$250k.
Macro Failure Contingency Note $0
[#26] Macro-scale failure cost warning: potential damages are orders of magnitude larger (>> $1T); not included as operational budget line.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $93.7M/yr
Reorganization Operations $50.0M/yr
[#12] Budget reserve for organizational reorganizations / severance / temporary management; planning for ~$50M/yr contingency for medium-to-large incidents.
Staff Wages $9.6M/yr
[#1] MTF Delta-19 staffing: 80personnel loaded cost ~$120k/yr each → ~$9.6M/yr.
Logistics And Transport $9.3M/yr
[#11, #17, #21, #22] Shrine dismantling & transport ops ~$6M/yr, vehicle maintenance/ops ~$300k/yr, international liaison/local contractors ~$1M/yr, decontamination/site remediation ~$2M/yr.
Cyber Operations Program $6.0M/yr
[#4] Offensive/defensive cyber ops, implants, persistent infrastructure and ops staff budgeted at ~$6M/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $5.9M/yr
[#7, #19, #20, #23] Rapid takedown retainer/ops ~$2M/yr, covert narrative/disinformation ~$1M/yr, legal retainers & incident reserve ~$2.5M/yr, insurance premiums ~$400k/yr → ~$5.9M/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $4.5M/yr
[#8, #14, #15] Amnestic procurement/admin for Class-B treatments ~$3M/yr, Class-C rotation and admin ~$550k/yr, psychological aftercare ~$1M/yr → total ~$4.55M/yr.
Research And Monitoring $3.8M/yr
[#5, #6, #18] Detection & analytics ops ~$800k/yr, subscriptions/data feeds ~$1M/yr, ongoing research program ~$2M/yr (overlap accounted) → ~$3.8M/yr.
Security And Physical Protection $3.0M/yr
[#16] Armed guards, access control, CCTV, training and related protection costs ~$3M/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#9, #10] Ongoing maintenance, climate control, and upkeep for Site-82 and medical/decon facilities estimated ~$1M/yr.
Ongoing Training And Exercises $300K/yr
[#3] Annual refresher training, red-team drills and exercises ~$300k/yr.
It Redundancy And Energy $200K/yr
[#24] Energy bills for 24/7 monitoring and data center operations ~$200k/yr.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $93.7M/yr
74.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations and no major incidents; recurring containment program runs without exceptional expenditures.
routine_monitoring scheduled_shrine_handling standard_reorganizations
🚨 Minor Incident $94.2M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring extra takedown/legal action, a handful of additional amnestic administrations, and travel/ops surge.
isolated_public_exposure small_application_of_amnestics targeted_takedowns
🚨 Major Reorganization $143.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
A medium-to-large infected organization requires full-scale reorganization with severance, external consultants, and replacement staffing.
large_corporate_infection multi-jurisdictional_reorg mass_amnestics_and_severance
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $1.1B/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.0B vs baseline
Significant containment failure that requires emergency stabilization interventions and large-scale market/bailout operations.
widespread_uncontained_infections systemic_economic_distress mass_reorganizations
👥 Personnel 80 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#1] Frontline operatives for monitoring, interventions, and transports; large share of MTF staffing.
Analyst / Intelligence Officer 10 [#1] Monitoring, detection model review, and operational analysis.
Research Scientist 8 [#1, #18] Economists/sociologists running studies and simulations; part of ongoing research program.
Medical Officer 6 [#1, #8, #14] Med team for amnestic administration, monitoring, and adverse-event care.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#5, #24] IT and facilities engineers to maintain servers, generators, and site physical infrastructure.
Legal / Counsel 4 [#1, #7, #20] In-house legal advisors coordinating takedowns, indemnities, and international counsel.
Administrative Staff 4 [#1] Logistics, HR, and administrative support for the program.
Archaeologist / Anthropologist (field specialists) 2 [#11] Specialists for shrine dismantling, artifact handling, and forensic processing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line estimates for many items (staffing, cyber ops, shrine handling), supporting moderate confidence in recurring cost estimates; large uncertainty remains around selection and sizing of one-time capital reserves (emergency stabilization fund) and the true frequency/severity of major incidents, lowering overall confidence.
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