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SCP-3445 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3445
Expected annual
$2.0M
One-time setup
$3.1M
Annual recurring
$2.0M
Personnel
15
First-year capital costs (including recommended contingency reserves and optional property purchase) are roughly $3.145M one-time; ongoing annual operations average about $1.972M per year driven primarily by staff wages, research operations, and legal/forensic costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M
Property Purchase Option $1.0M
[#18] Optional one-time property purchase/acquisition of Peak Cemetery parcel (listed as optional acquisition).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $590K
[#4, #13, #14] Research lab buildout ($300k), evidence/sample storage one-time costs ($40k), lab equipment & specialized sensors ($250k).
Containment Reserve $500K
[#22] Containment contingency & emergency response fund (recommended reserve).
Insurance Replacement Reserve $500K
[#25] Insurance/replacement capital reserve (recommended).
Equipment $205K
[#5, #6, #7, #15] Monitoring suite ($75k), backup power/UPS ($40k), vehicles & groundskeeping equipment ($60k), secure communications & IT hardware ($30k).
Investigation Baseline Sweep $200K
[#11] Baseline investigative sweep / forensic investigation of presumed deceased containment personnel.
Facilities $150K
[#3] Storage shed construction/hardening around SCP-3445.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#1, #2, #9] On-site guard staff disguised as groundskeepers (7 FTE ≈ $410k/yr), auxiliary research staff (≈ $700k/yr), on-call medic contractor ($70k/yr). Includes wages, taxes/benefits, training.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#17, #24] Legal/cover-story & PR budget ($100k/yr) plus baseline record alteration/social-engineering contingency ($50k/yr).
Forensic Identification $150K/yr
[#10] Forensic & identification operations (DNA testing, genealogical research, private investigators, lab analyses).
Research And Monitoring $125K/yr
[#5, #12, #13, #23] Monitoring & sensor maintenance/cloud storage ($15k/yr), containment inspections/audits ($40k/yr), sample storage climate control & maintenance ($10k/yr), data analysis/long-term research ($60k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $120K/yr
[#8, #14, #21] Amnestic inventory & administration ($20k/yr), lab consumables & calibration ($75k/yr), PPE & basic consumables ($25k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $107K/yr
[#6, #16, #18] Backup generator fuel & maintenance ($7k/yr), utilities for shed & Site 321/A ($50k/yr), lease/maintenance of property ($50k/yr).
Investigation Per Fatality $50K/yr
[#11] Contingent per-fatality costs for discreet handling/funerals/replacement onboarding (budgeted as $50k/incident; model uses $50k/yr as a contingency estimate).
Personnel Training Replacement $50K/yr
[#19] Recruiting, vetting, undercover training, cover identity creation and turnover-related costs.
It Support And Backups $20K/yr
[#15] Secure communications & IT support, cloud backups and maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#7] Vehicles & groundskeeping fuel & maintenance used for cover and rapid response ($10k/yr).
Psychological Support $10K/yr
[#20] Psychological support, EAP and debriefing to reduce disclosure risk and turnover.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.0M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine containment, monitoring, and research continue.
no_major_incident routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $2.2M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized public exposure or small leak requiring targeted amnestic deployment, extra forensic work, and repairs.
localized_leak limited_public_exposure minor_staff_injury
🚨 Major Breach $3.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Containment breach with multiple presumed personnel deaths, large-scale amnestic deployment, extended investigations and major PR/legal response.
containment_breach_with_deaths large_scale_amnestic_deployment national_media_exposure
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Groundskeeper (disguised) 7 [#1] 24/7 coverage: 2persons/shift × 3 shifts = 6 guards + 1 supervisor (7 FTE).
Research Scientist 3 [#2] Auxiliary research staff (three researchers).
Lab Technician 2 [#2] Two lab technicians for wet/dry lab work and sampling.
Site Lead / Administrative Staff 2 [#2] One site lead and one admin/IT (counts included in research staff budget).
Medical Officer (On-call Medic) 1 [#9] One part-time medic contractor budgeted as staff-equivalent.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates for personnel, equipment and contingencies, giving moderate confidence in recurring estimates; larger uncertainty remains for incident frequencies, per-incident escalation costs, and whether the property purchase option will be exercised.
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