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SCP-3447 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3447
Expected annual
$3.7M
One-time setup
$8.1M
Annual recurring
$3.7M
Personnel
10
Initial one-time expenditures are dominated by specialized research setup, secure locker/equipment retrofits and contingency reserves; ongoing yearly costs are dominated by staffing (site researchers and security), MTF operations and intelligence/monitoring. Total one-time outlays include large discretionary reserves for catastrophic damage or surge capacity.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.1M
Emergency Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#15] Emergency structural repair & liability contingency reserve (recommended minimum reserve applied from note #15).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#3, #14] Engineering R&D and certification development for the explosive-mute locking system (#3 development portion) plus one-time research program setup for acoustics/mechanism/neutralization R&D (#14 one-time setup).
Surge Capacity Reserve $1.0M
[#24] Scalable contingency/surge capacity reserve for rapid expansion if multiple reproductions are discovered (note #24).
Equipment $530K
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #6] Purchase and retrofit of 25–30 safe-class lockers and blast/shrapnel containment, production/fitting of coded mutes (per-unit production costs from #3 and manufacture/fitment from #4), access-control HSM/server setup (#5 setup portion), and one-time acoustic/pitch detection hardware (#6 one-time portion). Estimates are midpoints of provided ranges aggregated.
Facilities $400K
[#1, #8] Anechoic test chamber construction and potential locker-room buildout/modification if Remote Site-71 lacks appropriate safe-locker infrastructure (includes structural work and containment-rated chamber). Estimated midpoint of note #8 plus modest locker-room modification from note #1.
Initial Spares Inventory $15K
[#19] Initial stock of spare mutes, detonators, tamper sensors, batteries and consumables (one-time initial inventory).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.7M/yr
Mtf Eta 11 Ops $1.8M/yr
[#11] Ongoing MTF Eta-11 dedicated operations: surveillance, raids, undercover ops, international deployments and associated costs (note #11).
Research And Monitoring $740K/yr
[#13, #14, #22] Intelligence/cyber monitoring and forensic tracking of reproductions/Are We Cool Yet? (#13), ongoing multidisciplinary research program recurring budget for neutralization/acoustics (#14 recurring), and monitoring/inspection of external trumpet markets and festivals (#22).
Staff Wages $640K/yr
[#10] Marginal incremental staffing at Remote Site-71: two Level-3 researchers, rotating armed security coverage (4–6 FTE), and a site technician (aggregated midpoint salary estimate from note #10).
Cover Story And Legal $365K/yr
[#16, #17, #23] Annual budget for amnesticization and cover-story operations/reserve (#16 recurring), legal/compliance and diplomatic allowances (#17), and public/building inspection reserve for incident responses (#23).
Facilities Maintenance $44K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #25] Annual maintenance and monitoring: access-control system maintenance (#5 recurring), acoustic system monitoring/updates (#6 recurring), routine explosive-device inspections and periodic replacements (#7 recurring), and marginal site utilities/climate control/CCTV overhead (#25).
Staff Training And Drills $35K/yr
[#20] Regular training, drills and EOD certification for researchers, security and EOD teams (note #20).
Supplies And Consumables $34K/yr
[#9, #19] Consumables for experiments and structural test campaigns (#9 recurring per-campaign averaged) and ongoing replenishment of spares inventory (#19 recurring).
Disposal And Hazardous Waste Handling $32K/yr
[#18] Hazardous disposal for neutralized/expended trumpets and documentation (annualized midpoint of expected usage from note #18).
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#12] Secure transport and seizure costs averaged per year (assumes a modest number of deployments per year from note #12).
Database And Inventory Control $22K/yr
[#21] Database, chain-of-custody, audit logging and inventory staff/software costs (note #21).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.7M/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, monitoring, maintenance and no major incidents.
no incidents routine maintenance ongoing monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $3.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized unauthorized playing or accidental detonation causing limited property damage and a small response (amnesticization, repairs, MTF response).
single instance played outside containment small festival exposure limited property damage
🚨 Major Breach $5.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
A breach or coordinated attack results in substantial structural damage at a Foundation site and sizable response/repairs.
coordinated anarchist action multiple instances played near site site structural damage
🚨 Large Scale Reproduction Discovery $9.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$6.0M vs baseline
Discovery of many reproductions (dozens/hundreds) requiring rapid containment surge, expanded storage, mass transports and large repair/compensation funds.
mass reproduction events widespread civilian exposures requirement to surge containment capacity
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (Level-3 Researcher) 2 [#10] Two Level-3 researchers designated as code holders and primary custodial researchers (note #10).
Security Officer / Armed Guard 5 [#10] Rotating armed security coverage estimated at 4–6 FTE (midpoint used) to provide 24/7 coverage (note #10).
Site Technician / Engineer 1 [#10] On-site technician for equipment and facilities maintenance (note #10).
EOD Technician 1 [#7] Certified EOD technician resource for routine explosive-device inspections and maintenance (note #7).
Administrative / Inventory Staff 1 [#21] Staff responsible for database, chain-of-custody, inventory control and audits (note #21).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing midpoint estimates, but uncertainty remains around reproduction frequency, incident rates, and discretionary reserve sizing; hence medium confidence.
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