SCP-345 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-345
Expected annual
$4.4M
One-time setup
$26.5M
Annual recurring
$4.3M
Personnel
26
One-time capital costs dominated by construction of a hardened containment cell and specialized high-temperature equipment (~26.5M). Recurring annual costs are staffing, power/maintenance, consumables and readiness (~4.31M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $26.5M
Facilities $10.5M
[#1, #2, #3, #9, #10, #13, #18, #22] One-time costs for vault outfitting, sealed test room construction, refractory lining/sacrificial floor, heavy-duty containment cell, foundation reinforcement, power distribution infrastructure upgrade, access-control hardware, and small storage cabinets/cataloguing. Estimates summed from line-item ranges (vault $30k; sealed room $275k; refractory lining $600k; containment cell $8,000k; foundation $1,100k; power infra $425k; access-control $60k; storage cabinets $15k).
Long Term Stewardship Reserve $10.0M
[#26] Dedicated long-term reserve / stewardship fund to cover indefinite future capital projects, containment escalation or decommissioning (chosen midpoint within $5M–$50M range).
Equipment $4.0M
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #11, #12, #16, #19, #25] One-time purchase/installation of non-water closed-loop cooling ($900k), high-temperature remote manipulators/robotics ($875k), thermal/geophysical monitoring suite ($125k), initial specialized PPE sets ($250k), non-water fire suppression systems ($300k), heavy-crane purchase ($625k), specialized transport containment cradle ($275k), laboratory consumable setup included here where instrument-specific (minor instruments excluded - see initial_research_and_lab_setup), MTF/mobile response equipment ($650k), and advanced wound-care stock ($20k).
Incident Contingency Fund $1.0M
[#20] Immediate contingency fund for on-site damage remediation, temporary housing and initial repairs per major incident (lower-midpoint of $500k–$5M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $900K
[#15, #16] One-time research lab fit-out and primary analytical instruments (lab fit-out $300k; mass spec/SEM/XRD/high-temp furnaces and essential instruments $600k) required to analyze outputs and conduct the scientific program.
Sop And Training Development $85K
[#24] One-time SOP development and initial comprehensive training program creation ($20k–$150k range; chosen midpoint $85k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.3M/yr
Staff Wages $2.8M/yr
[#14, #15, #18] Recurring fully-loaded wages for 24/7 monitoring/operators, research staff, security guards and on-site oversight: monitoring ops (4 FTE), research scientists (6 FTE), security (8 FTE), engineers/maintenance (3 FTE), site director (1), admin (1), medical/burn specialist (1), readiness liaisons (2). Salaries aggregated from per-role estimates consistent with analyst ranges.
Facilities Maintenance $572K/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #8, #12, #13, #28] Annual maintenance, HVAC filters and testing, scheduled refractory repair/replacement (annualized), cooling system maintenance, manipulator spare parts, sensor calibration/data storage upkeep, suppression system inspection/refills, cradle spares, power fuel/electricity/maintenance, and miscellaneous site overhead/utilities.
Emergency Response Readiness $300K/yr
[#19] Annual training, exercises, MTF readiness, heat-resistant vehicle upkeep and rapid-cordon equipment (recurring component of MTF readiness).
Supplies And Consumables $280K/yr
[#7, #16, #23, #25] Consumables and replacements including PPE maintenance/replacements, laboratory consumables and service contracts, testing consumables (spare refractory bricks, seals, gas cylinders), and medical/burn-care consumables.
Logistics And Transport $160K/yr
[#11, #12, #22, #27] Ongoing transport-related costs: averaged rental/operation for occasional heavy-lift moves, maintenance/annual spares for transport cradle, storage/curation for small output sculptures, and insurance/liability for sample transport and contractor work.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#21] Annual legal, PR, cover-story maintenance, liaison and FOIA-management budgeting (mid-range of $50k–$500k). Per-incident legal/PR response costs are modeled in scenarios.
Incident Planning $40K/yr
[#20] Ongoing modeling, contingency planning and evacuation/exposure planning costs (annualized planning expenses).
Research And Monitoring $30K/yr
[#17] Continuous scientific monitoring, high-resolution logging and secure data storage/archiving costs (baseline archival and processing).
Training And Refresher $30K/yr
[#24] Annual refresher training/SOP updates and simulated trials (chosen midpoint $10k–$50k).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.3M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Routine year with no major incidents; containment operates within normal parameters and scheduled maintenance/operations proceed.
routine_monitoring scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $5.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Localized activation/heating event or small molten effusion requiring emergency response, limited repairs, targeted replacement of refractory panels and legal/PR response.
partial_heating_event small_molten_effusion limited_structural_damage
🚨 Major Incident $12.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Full-scale sphere formation or high-gravity activation (similar to Incident 345-1) causing widespread structural damage, major remediation, potential rebuild of containment cell and large-scale legal/evacuation costs.
sphere_growth_to_multi-meter strong_local_gravity large_scale_evacuations_and_repair
👥 Personnel 26 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Operator / Remote Operations 4 [#14] 24/7 remote monitoring and remote operation staff (3–5 FTE recommended; 4 chosen).
Research Scientist 6 [#15] Geochemistry, materials, planetary formation and high-temp specialists (4–8 FTE; 6 chosen).
Security Officer / Site Guards 8 [#18] Site security personnel to cover 24/7 shifts (6–12 recommended; 8 chosen).
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#4, #5, #13] Engineers for cooling systems, robotics, power and facility maintenance.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Overall site oversight and level-2 authorization liaison.
Administrative Staff 1 Administrative, records, inventory and liaison duties.
Medical Officer / Burn Specialist 1 [#25] On-call medical specialist for burn care and post-incident treatment.
Emergency Response / Readiness Liaison 2 [#19] MTF liaisons and readiness coordinators for drills and rapid deployment coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing order-of-magnitude estimates, but major cost drivers (sphere mass/density, design conservatism for containment cell, and incident frequency) are uncertain, so overall confidence is medium.
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