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SCP-3464 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-3464
Expected annual
$3.0M
One-time setup
$4.0M
Annual recurring
$2.8M
Personnel
16
First-year capital and setup costs are dominated by secure cold-storage, lab/kitchen setup, and large one-time reimbursements/legal costs; ongoing annual costs are dominated by staffing (security + embedded operatives) and information-suppression (legal/PR) efforts.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.0M
Reimbursements Hush Payments $1.2M
[#9] One-time reimbursements/hush payments to affected establishments (budgeted for a broad quiet buyout).
Crisis Response Reserve $500K
[#25] Seed reserve for emergency mass responses, large-scale PR buyouts, or legal emergencies.
Long Term Research Seed $500K
[#28] One-time seed funding for a multi-year research program into mechanism and mitigation beyond initial lab setup.
Equipment $340K
[#2, #5, #15, #16, #6] Redundant refrigeration/compressor initial hardware, site security system purchase, incinerator/sterilizer purchase, evidence-archiving hardware, and refrigerated vehicle purchase.
Legal Settlements Initial $300K
[#10] Initial attorney fees and legal settlements/retained counsel for initial containment-related settlements.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $275K
[#13, #14] Forensic instrumentation and controlled testing/containment kitchen buildout and initial lab setup (BSL-1/2 access, GC-MS sequencing, acoustic analysis setup).
Facilities $250K
[#1] Construction/retrofit of a secure cold-storage vault with refrigeration, access control, backup power hookups and pest-proofing.
Insurance Contingency Reserve $250K
[#26] One-time reserved contingency (non-insurance funds) to mitigate municipal bribery/contingent discrete payments.
Public Health Cover Initial $160K
[#8] One-time recruitment/placement/logistics costs for embedding operatives within municipal/public positions (per-incident/initial placement pool).
Ip Likeness Mitigation $100K
[#17] One-time mitigation/settlement/licensing costs related to the use of a famous voice likeness.
Witness Relocation Seed $100K
[#30] One-time relocation/travel assistance budget for witness/personnel moves under new identities.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#4, #7] Ongoing salaries/benefits for 24/7 armed security coverage and MTF Delta-13 embedded operatives (salaries+hazard pay+benefits).
Cover Story And Legal $660K/yr
[#8, #10, #11, #12, #20, #27, #29] Ongoing public-health cover maintenance, legal defense & enforcement retainer, PR contracts, social-media takedown/monitoring, customer compensation contingency, media litigation retainer, and local stakeholder liaison.
Research And Monitoring $310K/yr
[#13, #14, #19, #28] Ongoing forensic consumables/personnel, controlled-kitchen operations, restaurant/waste audits program, and recurring long-term research program funding.
Facilities Maintenance $63K/yr
[#2, #3, #5, #15, #16, #24] Electricity/HVAC for cold-storage, redundant refrigeration maintenance, site security system maintenance, disposal contracts, evidence-archive backups, and pest control/sanitation.
Crisis Response Replenish $50K/yr
[#25] Annual replenishment target for the crisis/contingency fund as incidents deplete reserves.
Witness Relocation $30K/yr
[#30] Recurring budget for relocation or travel assistance for witnesses/key personnel when incidents require it.
Training And Tradecraft $25K/yr
[#22] Regular training, cover-story refreshers, and tradecraft training for MTF and cover personnel.
International Response $20K/yr
[#18] Budgeted annual expectation for occasional international deployments / shipping under quarantine (per-incident costs averaged over years).
Insurance Liability $20K/yr
[#26] Annual insurance premiums for site operations and liability coverage.
Medical Surveillance $15K/yr
[#21] Ongoing medical checks and psychological care for staff and embedded operatives.
Logistics And Transport $12K/yr
[#6] Operating costs for refrigerated vehicles: fuel, driver pay, vehicle maintenance, and secure transport packaging.
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#23] PPE, packaging, sample vials, tamper-evident seals, cleaning agents, and chain-of-custody consumables.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.8M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine containment, audits, and no major public incidents; only recurring operating costs are incurred.
no public discovery no large-scale replication events
🚨 Minor Incident $3.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.1M vs baseline
Localized public discovery or small cluster of incidents requiring on-site responses, reimbursements, PR/legal escalation, and limited international liaison.
local restaurant leak small cluster of public reports legal/PR demands
🚨 Major International Incident $6.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Large-scale breach or internationally distributed incident requiring mass reimbursements, major legal battles, multiple international deployments and reserve drawdowns.
mass public replication international media exposure multiple-site deployment
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#4] 24/7 armed guard coverage (rotating shifts) to secure cold-storage vault and site access.
MTF Operative (embedded/public-health) 8 [#7] Embedded operatives within Toronto Public Health (cover salaries/hazard pay included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use broad ranges from analyst notes; incident frequency, per-incident scale, and legal/PR costs are highly uncertain for anomalous/memetic phenomena, so overall confidence is low.
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