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SCP-3480 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3480
Expected annual
$384.9M
One-time setup
$8.4B
Annual recurring
$366.4M
Personnel
300
One-time capital setup is estimated in the low single-digit billions (primarily driven by deep underground construction, procurement/installation of 18 MSRAs and two XACTS units, and a large contingency reserve). Recurring annual costs are hundreds of millions driven by staff payroll, SRA/XACTS maintenance, continuous energy, R&D, and cover/amnestic operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.4B
Equipment $4.8B
[#2, #3, #4, #16, #21, #22, #31] Procurement and installation of 18 MSRAs, primary+backup XACTS units (incl. calibration), on-site power generation hardware, vehicle/helicopter fleet capital, monitoring sensor hardware, secure communications servers/links, and initial specialized countermeasure kits.
Contingency Reserve $2.8B
[#27] Capital reserve allocation for catastrophic / CK-class event response, rapid large-scale deployment and emergency programs (Lazarus-type funding).
Facilities $797.2M
[#1, #8, #14, #15, #33] Construction of Area-13 (deep excavation, reinforced rings, blast doors, access shafts, elevators), hardened containment cells and Palmer Protocol bays, hardened vault/storage and perimeter infrastructure, and initial environmental mitigation/permits/community remediation.
Personnel Casualty Reserve $27.5M
[#29] Initial reserve for death/disability compensation, pensions and accelerated recruitment pipeline startup.
Cover Operation Initial $5.5M
[#23] Initial diplomatic/cover payments, legal setup and PR groundwork with Greek government and local stakeholders.
Initial Emergency Consumables $2.8M
[#18] Initial stockpile of long-range tranquilizers, specialized munitions, advanced sedation tech, hazmat suits and other consumable tactical gear.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $366.4M/yr
Research And Monitoring $146.5M/yr
[#13, #19, #20, #21, #35] Ongoing SRA & XACTS maintenance/calibration and spare parts stockpile, medical and forensic lab operations, long-term R&D programs (Hume modulation, SRA/XACTS optimization), monitoring network operations and secure archival/redaction.
Staff Wages $73.0M/yr
[#10, #11] Permanent MTF Omega-12 garrison payroll and specialized support staff (researchers, engineers, medics, logistics, admins).
Energy Operating Costs $52.5M/yr
[#5] Continuous energy and fuel costs to run MSRAs, XACTS, life support and facility power draw (multi-MW continuous with redundancy).
Cover Story And Legal $21.5M/yr
[#23, #24, #25, #26] Ongoing cover payments and PR/tourism management, baseline amnestic/memetic remediation, legal/intelligence/covert ops overhead.
Repairs And Upgrades Provisioning $20.0M/yr
[#28] Annual budget provisioning to cover repairs and upgrades after containment incidents (per-event repair costs are large; this is an annual reserve).
Logistics And Transport $10.5M/yr
[#16, #17, #32] Aviation and ground vehicle operating costs (fuel, maintenance, pilots), medevac readiness, and logistics/procurement overhead for resupply and contracting.
Training And Psych Care $8.5M/yr
[#12] Ongoing intensive training, simulation runs, rotation costs and psychological care for MTF and staff.
Supplies And Consumables $7.7M/yr
[#7, #18, #31, #30] Filters, water/air consumables, replenishment of emergency/tactical stock, countermeasure consumables and hazardous/anomalous waste handling.
Per White Event Surge Expected $6.7M/yr
[#34] Expected annual average of operational surge spending from White events (overtime, energy spike charges, ammunition/tranquilizer expenditure, emergency medevac).
Comatose Care $5.5M/yr
[#9] Aggregate long-term ICU-level care, monitoring, sedation and bespoke medical consumables for comatose/high-class SCP-3480-2 instances (per-instance costs aggregated to expected population).
Personnel Casualty Provisioning $5.5M/yr
[#29] Annual provisioning for casualties, pensions and ongoing recruitment/training replacements.
Environmental Mitigation $5.2M/yr
[#33] Annual environmental remediation, permits, community goodwill programs and ongoing mitigation required by mountain work and local impact.
Facilities Maintenance $3.4M/yr
[#6, #14] Ongoing life-support system maintenance, RF shielding repairs and secure-storage vault upkeep.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $366.4M/yr
65.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine White events and no major containment failures; includes all recurring line items and expected average surge provisioning.
routine White events contained no MSRA/XACTS catastrophic failure no CK-class restructuring
🚨 Minor Incident $386.4M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Localized containment incident or multi-day White event requiring surge response, targeted repairs, amnestic deployment and elevated medevac / replacement consumables.
multi-hour White event with moderate casualties localized equipment damage (SRA/XACTS calibration needed) limited civilian exposure requiring targeted amnestics
🚨 Major Breach $616.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline
Major containment failure or CK-class event causing extensive facility damage, MSRA/XACTS replacement, mass amnestic operations and activation of substantial contingency resources.
CK-class reality restructuring or prolonged White event multiple MSRA/XACTS failures or destruction large-scale civilian exposure or catastrophic facility damage
👥 Personnel 300 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 200 [#10] MTF Omega-12 garrison force permanently stationed at Area-13 to perform containment and perimeter operations.
Research Scientist 25 [#11, #20] Scientists for R&D (Hume modulation, Palmer Protocol research) and forensic analysis.
Engineer / Maintenance 30 [#4, #13, #21] Engineers to maintain power generation, SRAs/XACTS, monitoring and life-support systems.
Medical Officer 15 [#8, #9, #19] Medical staff for Palmer Protocol comatose bays, ICU-level care and forensic pathology.
Administrative Staff 10 [#23, #26] Admin, legal, and cover-operation coordination staff interacting with local authorities and cover stories.
Pilots / Aircrew 6 [#16, #17] Aviation crew for helicopters/medevac and insertion/extraction during White events.
Logistics / Technicians 14 [#11, #32] Supply-chain, procurement, and technical support for on-site operations and resupply.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes and the article provide detailed containment architecture and driver categories, enabling a mid-confidence estimate. Large ranges on exotic hardware (MSRAs/XACTS), contingency needs, and per-event replacement costs produce substantial uncertainty in one-time and per-event figures.
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