SCP-3482 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-3482
Expected annual
$32.9M
One-time setup
$27.8M
Annual recurring
$31.7M
Personnel
105
Upfront containment, lab buildout, and reserves require roughly $27.8M one-time; ongoing quarantine, provisioning, security, R&D and legal/cover operations drive recurring costs of about $31.7M/year, dominated by resident provisioning and security/enforcement.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $27.8M
Rehabilitation Reserve $9.9M
[#22] One-time reserve for post-countermeasure neuropsychological rehabilitation for ~1,984 residents (~$5,000/person).
Program Contingency Reserve $6.0M
[#26] Contingency reserve for unexpected complications, protracted R&D, replacement infrastructure and extended operations.
Emergency Rapid Response Reserve $5.0M
[#24] Replenishable national contingency reserve for rapid deployment, mass takedown and emergency communications measures if spread occurs.
Equipment $2.8M
[#2, #15, #19] Remote/robotic handling gear and opaque transport crates (#2), town surveillance hardware/drone fleet (#15), and secure/armored transport assets (#19).
Facilities $1.5M
[#3, #13] Site-15 containment vault retrofit and construction/fit-out of fake outbreak clinic/cover infrastructure.
Digital Takedown Initial $1.5M
[#11] One-time global digital takedown push: cyber-forensics hires, legal action, paid contacts and emergency platform takedowns.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $800K
[#5] Specialized memetics/neuro lab instrumentation, fMRI/EEG allocations, shielded viewing booths and test rigs.
Poster Disposal $150K
[#21] Forensic destruction/incineration under controlled conditions and hazardous-waste handling documentation.
Ppe And Sop Setup $120K
[#17] Initial purchase of specialized PPE, safe-viewing filters/goggles and development of SOPs and training materials.
Initial Field Removal Operation $30K
[#1] Rapid poster removal and site sweep: specialist field teams, rentals, fuel, scaffolds and overtime for immediate takedown.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $31.7M/yr
Supplies And Consumables $14.5M/yr
[#9] Resident provisioning for ~1,984 people: food, water, utilities, routine medical, sanitation and logistics.
Cover Story And Legal $6.0M/yr
[#10, #14, #23] Direct economic compensation and stimulus payments to residents/businesses (#10), ongoing operation of fake outbreak cover including actors/PR (#14), and ongoing legal/liaison retainers and clandestine payments (#23).
Quarantine Enforcement $4.0M/yr
[#8] Continuous armed/security presence, three-shift staffing, patrol vehicles and perimeter/checkpoint enforcement for fellowship quarantine.
Research And Monitoring $3.0M/yr
[#7, #12] Ongoing R&D consumables, animal models, trials and contract labs (#7) plus continuous internet/signal monitoring and legal retainer fees for takedown actions (#12).
Opportunity Cost $2.0M/yr
[#25] Recurring overhead representing lost Site-15 capacity and senior research allocation tied up by SCP-3482 containment.
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#6] Salaries, benefits and hazard pay for dedicated memetics/neuro research team (6–8 researchers + 4 techs/admin).
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#20] Fuel, maintenance, insurance and staffing operating costs for transport assets (vans/helicopter access).
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#4] Vault utilities, filtered camera power, HVAC isolation, alarm systems and general maintenance for Site-15 containment area.
Surveillance Operations $150K/yr
[#16] Drone pilots, camera maintenance, data storage and analysis, spare parts and batteries for town surveillance network.
Training And Ppe Replacement $50K/yr
[#18] Annual refresher training, consumable PPE replacement and ongoing drills to prevent occupational exposures.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $31.7M/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal year with containment holding, routine monitoring, ongoing R&D and quarantine operations but no major incidents.
no_spread routine_operations no_major_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $32.7M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized reappearance or reposting event requiring extra takedown, field teams, targeted media buys and limited rehab cases.
localized_repost small_breach_in_town additional_takedown_operations
🚨 Major Breach $51.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Significant spread beyond Fellowship (digital or physical), triggering national emergency measures, large rehab scaling and political/legal exposure.
widespread_digital_spread national_media_exposure multiple_outbreak_clusters
👥 Personnel 105 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 7 [#6] Dedicated cognitive/neuro/memetics researchers (6–8; median used).
Laboratory Technician / Research Assistant 4 [#6] Lab techs and admin supporting memetics research and protocol execution.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 60 [#8] Rotating security force to staff perimeter, checkpoints and rapid response (assumed midpoint of 50–70).
Medical Officer / Cover Actors 10 [#14, #13] Personnel required to operate fake outbreak clinic, staged testing and ongoing cover operations.
Logistics / Drivers / Transport Crew 8 [#19, #20] Staff to operate armored vans, pilots/drivers and maintain transport readiness.
Drone Pilot / Surveillance Operator 4 [#15, #16] Operators for drone fleet and CCTV monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#3, #4] Site-15 engineers and maintenance staff for vault, HVAC and monitoring systems.
Administrative Staff / Legal Liaison 6 [#10, #11, #23] Admin, PR and legal liaisons handling compensation payments, digital takedown coordination and legal retainers.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates for most components, so numerical sums are well-founded; uncertainty remains around memetic behavior, long-term rehabilitation needs and geopolitical escalation risk, so confidence is not high.
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