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SCP-3488 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3488
Expected annual
$12.3M
One-time setup
$20.1M
Annual recurring
$12.0M
Personnel
101
Up-front capital of roughly $20.1M is required for hardened infrastructure, vehicles/aircraft and lab/vivarium setup; recurring annual operations are ~ $12.0M driven primarily by personnel (guards and specialist teams), research programs, contracted services and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $20.1M
Facilities $10.6M
[#5, #6, #23] Provisional Site-43 full construction (option A) ~$10,000,000; inner monitoring post(s) and scaffolding ~$225,000; initial fencing & gates for 10 km perimeter ~$350,000.
Equipment $7.2M
[#2, #3, #4, #8, #15, #19] Initial guard equipment (weapons, armor, optics) ~$195,000; patrol vehicles purchase ~$400,000; perimeter sensors/cameras/servers ~$280,000; optional rapid-response aircraft purchase (1 chopper) ~$6,000,000; freezers/backups ~$60,000; initial communications kit ~$225,000 (included in equipment tab).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.7M
[#12, #13] In-house BSL-2 molecular/biochemistry lab setup ~$1,500,000; vivarium fitout for reptile specimens ~$225,000.
Nidhogg Development And Rollout $300K
[#20] Development and initial deployment of Nidhogg Protocol IT systems and rollout ~$200–400k (midpoint used).
One Time Legal Fees $125K
[#18] Occasional one-off legal fees / easements / land acquisition ~$50–200k (midpoint used).
Web Crawler Development $112K
[#9] One-time development cost for automated internet/web-crawlers and initial NLP tuning ~$75–150k (midpoint used).
Identity Fabrication And Relocation $100K
[#11] Identity fabrication and relocation costs for embedded personnel ~$50–150k (midpoint used).
Front Company Setup $50K
[#10] Front company incorporation and startup costs for landscaping takeover ~$20–80k (midpoint used).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.0M/yr
Staff Wages $6.3M/yr
[#1, #7, #9, #11, #13, #14] Aggregated wages/benefits for perimeter guards (~65 staff), on-site monitoring team (8), web-crawler analysts (portion), embedded cover payroll (portion), veterinary staff (portion), and research program personnel (wage portion).
Contingency Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#25] Reserve allocation for escalation/catastrophic scenarios (recommended 10–20% of ops).
Research And Monitoring $900K/yr
[#14, #24, #9, #20] Non-wage recurring research costs and monitoring: specialized research program non-wage costs ~$400k/yr; environmental/ecology monitoring ~$250k/yr; web-crawler hosting and ops (non-wage) ~$75k/yr; Nidhogg operational costs/patches/audits ~$175k/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $850K/yr
[#12, #13, #15, #22, #16] Lab consumables, external sequencing/proteomics services ~$500k/yr; vivarium consumables and husbandry ~$225k/yr; LN2/storage ~$20k/yr; baseline ammunition/medical supplies ~$55k/yr; baseline biohazard disposal ~$50k/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $825K/yr
[#10, #17, #18, #29] Front company operations and contracted landscaping ~$500k/yr; PR/legal retainer for incident response ~$150k/yr; permits and routine legal compliance ~$100k/yr; public-facing preservation façade costs ~$75k/yr.
Logistics And Transport $650K/yr
[#3, #8, #28] Patrol vehicle fuel/maintenance/insurance ~$250k/yr; contracted rapid-response airlift availability ~$300k/yr (if not purchasing aircraft); transportation & specimen/staff rotations ~$100k/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $512K/yr
[#5, #6, #4, #23] Lease/retrofit or site upkeep and maintenance: provisional site lease/retrofit (if leased) ~$400k/yr midpoint; inner monitoring post maintenance ~$30k/yr; sensor/server maintenance ~$45k/yr; fencing/gates repairs ~$37.5k/yr.
Capital Refresh Setaside $500K/yr
[#26] Annual set-aside for long-term capital refresh / depreciation for vehicles, cameras, lab equipment, freezers (~5–10 year cycles).
Administrative Hr Medical Insurance $250K/yr
[#27] Administrative, HR, occupational medical surveillance and internal insurance/accounting ~$150–350k/yr (midpoint used).
Training Drills $100K/yr
[#21] Regular training, drills and live-fire exercises for guard force and site personnel ~$50–150k/yr.
Comms Bandwidth And Service $55K/yr
[#19] Bandwidth, satcom, VSAT and service contracts for redundant encrypted communications ~$30–80k/yr.
Perimeter Equipment Refresh $50K/yr
[#2] Spare/refresh cycle for guard equipment (NVGs, optics, plates, radios) ~$50k/yr.
Monitoring Additional Instances Reserve $0/yr
[#30] Per-additional-instance operating uplift (20–50% of base) — baseline assumes single-primary instance; reserve set to $0 for single-instance baseline.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.0M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents or public exposure.
no_incident routine_monitoring leased_site_and_contracted_services
🚨 Minor Incident $12.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Localized damage to an external instance, requiring targeted cleanup, PR, overtime and limited repairs.
localized_damage small_containment_breach targeted_PR_campaign
🚨 Major Breach $32.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Large-scale breach or SCP-3488-L event causing extensive damage, mass incident response, major PR/legal campaign and prolonged recovery.
SCP-3488-L_attack mass_damage_to_instances widespread_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 101 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 65 [#1] Perimeter guard staffing: 20posts × 3 shifts + supervisors ≈ 65 personnel (salaries included in staff_wages).
Field Scientist / Armed Operator 8 [#7] On-site monitoring team (lives within SCP-3488-V) — combined field scientist and armed operator roles; 6–10 staff, midpoint 8 (salaries included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist 6 [#12, #14] Research staff supporting molecular/biochemistry and specialized programs (included in staff_wages and research program budgets).
Research Technician / Lab Technician 4 [#12, #13] Lab techs supporting BSL-2 work and vivaria maintenance (wages included in staff_wages).
Veterinary Staff 3 [#13] Veterinary/husbandry personnel for reptile specimens (wages included in staff_wages).
IT / Analysts 3 [#9, #20] Web-crawler analysts and Nidhogg/IT operators (analyst wages portion included in staff_wages; hosting and ops in recurring costs).
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#3, #4, #19] Technicians for vehicles, sensors, comms and site maintenance (wages included in staff_wages/capital refresh set-aside).
Administrative Staff 3 [#27] HR, administrative and cover-company coordination staff (costs captured in administrative/hr recurring line items).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#5] Single site director/lead for Provisional Site-43 (salary included in staff_wages).
Medical Officer 1 [#27] Occupational medical surveillance / clinic responsibilities (costs in administrative/medical recurring line).
Drivers / Logistics Personnel 3 [#3, #28] Drivers and logistics staff for transport and specimen movement (wages included in staff_wages / transport recurring).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges allowing a mid-confidence estimate; however many binary choices (build vs lease, purchase vs contract, number of aircraft, scale of in-house research) require assumptions that broaden the uncertainty.
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