SCP-3516 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3516
Expected annual
$1.8M
One-time setup
$592K
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
3
One-time setup ≈ $591,875 for facility buildout, equipment, and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs ≈ $1,670,190 driven mainly by medical/reserve funds, research staff wages, legal/cover-up contingencies, and structural repair budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $592K
Anomalous Contingency Reserve $300K
[#26] One-time contingent reserve for anomalous behavior exceeding expectations (rapid-response engineering/relocation seed).
Facilities $100K
[#4] Dedicated outdoor testing area (design + construction, fencing, mounting points).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $76K
[#7, #22] Instrumentation and data-acquisition suite (high-speed cameras, sensors, logger, analysis workstation) and one-time secure data/storage hardware purchases.
Equipment $55K
[#1, #2, #3, #5, #6, #13] Secure containment box, spare-lock hardware/key-control hardware, CCTV/alarms installation, impact-absorbing barriers & crash mats, ballistic/laminated observation glass, metal rods inventory (one-time purchases).
Legal Setup $50K
[#20] One-time legal/cover-up setup costs (initial counsel, setup of trust/fund structures for incident response).
Personnel Training Setup $10K
[#16] Initial training and procedural setup for handlers, medics, observers, and security.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $360K/yr
[#15, #17] Research staff salaries (materials scientists, data analysts - 2 FTE) and dedicated security staffing (≈1 FTE).
Cover Story And Legal $360K/yr
[#20, #21, #27] Annual legal contingency, ethics/consent administration, and public-facing cover operations/fake projects or PR as needed.
Emergency Medical Reserve $300K/yr
[#10] Emergency surgery / long-term care contingency reserve for catastrophic or complex medical cases and compensation.
Administrative Overhead $278K/yr
[#25] Administrative overhead (applied as ~20% of aggregated recurring budget per analyst assumption; covers HR, procurement, utilities, accounting).
Research And Monitoring $145K/yr
[#7, #18, #22] Instrument calibration/maintenance, diagnostics & imaging per injured subject (X-ray/CT/MRI/labs), and recurring secure data/storage costs.
Structural Repairs $125K/yr
[#19] Structural repair and site damage budget for fences, lighting, pavement, cameras, and small buildings (baseline recurring allocation).
Logistics And Transport $38K/yr
[#9, #23] Ambulance/hospital-transport standby contracts and per-test transport/logistics (moving bike/equipment, vehicle fuel/operator time).
Facilities Maintenance $29K/yr
[#3, #5, #6, #24] CCTV/alarms monitoring & maintenance, crash-mat replacements, observation glass repairs, and replacement/upgrade amortization of glass/instrumentation.
Medical Staffing Contracts $18K/yr
[#8] Per-test on-site medic/paramedic/trauma nurse staffing (contracted or hourly presence for 50 tests/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $13K/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #14] Per-test medical consumables, biohazard waste disposal, metal rod replacements/sterilization, and bicycle maintenance/spare-parts.
Personnel Training Refresher $3K/yr
[#16] Annual refresher training for handlers, medics, observers, and security.
Key Control Replacements $500/yr
[#2] Lost-key replacements and key-control administration (recurring).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
64.0% probability / year
Normal operational year at planned test cadence (≈50 tests/year) with routine maintenance, staffing, and small replacements only.
standard_testing_cadence no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $1.7M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
One or more tests cause localized damage to glass/sensors and small legal/medical claims, requiring extra repairs and modest payouts.
sensor_or_glass_damage small_legal_claims increased_repair_cycle
🚨 Major Breach $2.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant anomalous event causes major structural damage and several severe medical cases requiring long-term care and large legal settlements.
catastrophic_structural_damage multiple_severe_injuries large_legal_payouts
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $4.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Site-level damage or public exposure requiring relocation, massive reconstruction, and major settlements/cover operations.
site_relocation public_exposure very_large_settlements
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 2 [#17] Materials scientists/data analysts responsible for experiments and data processing (2 FTE assumed in wages).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#15] Dedicated security staffing for custody, inventory inspections, and procedural compliance (≈1 FTE).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude and based on analyst assumptions (50 tests/yr, midpoints of provided ranges). Recurring reserve items (medical/legal/structural) have high tail uncertainty, so confidence is moderate.
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