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SCP-3551 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3551
Expected annual
$6.5M
One-time setup
$5.2M
Annual recurring
$6.3M
Personnel
8
Initial capital for containment and specialized equipment is modest-to-moderate (~$5.2M one-time) with recurring operations dominated by MTF readiness and staffing; baseline annual operations cost ~ $6.28M, driven primarily by MTF/logistics and site staff/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.2M
Scaling Stockpiling One Time $2.8M
[#25] One-time contingency capital for rapid scaling (doubling/major expansion of containment capacity) if a widespread product release occurs (midpoint of $500k–$5M).
Public Relations Major Incident Fund $1.1M
[#18] Reserve for a major recall/PR campaign or large incident mitigation (midpoint of $100k–$2M).
Facilities $800K
[#1, #2, #3, #15, #16, #20] One-time site and structural work: Storage Locker-51 refurbishment, standard humanoid chamber buildout, airlock room build, HVAC/vent sealing, redundant power hardware, and facility permitting/upgrades for disposal (midpoint estimates aggregated).
Equipment $330K
[#4, #5, #6, #10, #11, #13, #14, #17, #23] One-time equipment purchases: Faraday/EM shielding, monitoring & alarm systems, tracking devices (sample procurement), capture & restraint hardware, pumps/compressors, hazardous cabinets, initial PPE, secure evidence cabinets, and hardened IT systems (midpoint per-item estimates aggregated).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#12] One-time laboratory buildout and instrumentation for polymer/behavioral testing, telemetry and modeling (midpoint estimate).
Training Curriculum Development $15K
[#8] One-time development of training curricula and psychological operations materials to sustain the sharp-object ruse (midpoint of $5k–$25k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.3M/yr
Logistics And Transport $4.1M/yr
[#9] MTF Alpha-23 standing readiness and logistics (team salaries, vehicles, on-call air support) estimated at midpoint ~$4M/yr plus allowance for deployment costs; aggregated as recurring logistics readiness cost.
Staff Wages $560K/yr
[#7] Ongoing wages for site containment staffing (6 guards @ $60k each + 1 containment specialist/supervisor + 1 technician; per-chamber staffing baseline, aggregated as the site's staffed containment team in baseline).
Civilian Incident Reserve $500K/yr
[#19] Annual reserve for civilian reimbursements, lodging, witness management, and cleanup associated with public incidents (budget reserve midpoint).
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#12, #5] Ongoing specialist research staffing, consumables and telemetry/behavioral monitoring for anomalous-inflation studies and containment-break modeling (midpoint annual program estimate).
Cover Story And Legal $280K/yr
[#18, #22] Ongoing front-company maintenance, PR posture and legal/regulatory cooperation costs (midpoint estimates aggregated for front assets and liaison/legal fees).
Insurance Overhead Allocation $200K/yr
[#21] Annual fractional allocation of site overhead and contingency for unexpected scaling or breaches (aggregated midpoint).
Facilities Maintenance $97K/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #15, #16, #17, #23] Annual maintenance and utilities: inventory audits, chamber and airlock maintenance, Faraday/EM upkeep, monitoring storage and replacement, HVAC filters/monitoring, backup power fuel/maintenance, archiving support, and IT/hardened-system maintenance (aggregated midpoints).
Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr
[#6, #10, #11, #13, #14, #24] Consumables and replacement parts: tracker comms/batteries, capture consumables and replacement nets, gas/helium refills and adhesives, hazardous-device battery disposal/monitoring, PPE replacements, and miscellaneous small tools/consumables (aggregated midpoints).
Disposal Actions $50K/yr
[#20] Recurring budget for per-disposal actions (incineration, vitrification, hazardous-waste handling) assuming occasional disposals; conditional on frequency.
Training And Behavioral Support $30K/yr
[#8] Ongoing retraining, behavioral monitoring, and psychological-support costs to maintain the ruse and staff consistency (midpoint of $10k–$50k/yr).
Scaling Recurring $0/yr
[#25] Recurring scaling costs if expansion occurs (range $500k–$3M/yr); set to $0 in baseline as this is conditional—handled in adverse scenario modeling.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.3M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with limited instances handled (single-chamber baseline), no large-scale public releases or major incidents.
few_instances_recovered no_major_public_exposure routine_MTF_activity
🚨 Minor Incident $6.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
One or more localized civilian sightings or small containment incidents requiring MTF deployments, limited PR action, and compensation.
civilian_sightings small_localized_property_damage MTF_deployments
🚨 Major Outbreak $12.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$6.5M vs baseline
Widespread commercial release or product run discovered in the wild requiring rapid scaling of containment, major PR/recall, large disposal operations and surge MTF/engineering effort.
commercial_product_release mass_inflation_incidents large_scale_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#7] Six guards to provide continuous 24/7 chamber coverage (per-chamber staffing as described).
Containment Specialist / Researcher (supervisor) 1 [#7] One containment specialist/researcher supervisor assigned to the containment chamber.
Technician / Maintenance 1 [#7] One on-site technician for equipment and chamber maintenance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Mid-level confidence: analyst notes provide granular cost ranges and specific line items but many costs depend on uncertain epidemiology of releases (number of inflated instances, frequency of civilian exposure, and whether scaling is required). Ranges were midpoint-aggregated; scenario probabilities are expert estimates.
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