SCP-3562 Safe ? low confidence
SCP-3562
Expected annual
$4.9M
One-time setup
$9.6M
Annual recurring
$4.8M
Personnel
20
First-year one-time setup is dominated by securing the Edgewood property and archival/research buildout (~$9.6M one-time), while ongoing annual operations are driven by staff, education relocation, and research/monitoring (~$4.8M/yr). Major incident scenarios can add multi‑million emergency and legal costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $9.6M
Facilities $6.1M
[#1, #8, #9] Purchase of Edgewood property (~$6.0M) plus archive room build-out (~$80k) and archival HVAC upgrade (~$25k).
Equipment $1.1M
[#7, #8, #10, #17, #18, #21, #24, #27] Secure vehicle, archival lockers/biometric locks, robotic manipulators & integration, basic opaque transfer kits/PPE, sensor suites, hardened cameras R&D, forensic EEG/lab setup, perimeter camera system, IT servers/air-gapped workstations (component totals aggregated).
Contingency Reserve Seed $1.0M
[#25] Seed reserve for lawsuits, hush payments, or large settlements.
Scale Up Reserve $500K
[#29] One-time reserve to fund rapid archival expansion if instances proliferate.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $425K
[#11, #19] Custom safe-processing software development (~$200k) and initial pilot research program/lab pilot (~$225k).
Cover Story Legal Setup $250K
[#2] One-time legal/PR materials, fake asbestos reports and contracts to establish the cover story.
Sop And Training Setup $80K
[#14] One-time SOP and curriculum development for memetic/visual-avoidance handling.
Rapid Response Equipment $50K
[#20] One-time equipment purchases for rapid-response (UAV gear, extra comms, specialized tools).
Medical Initial Scans $40K
[#15] One-time initial MRI/fMRI screening budget for an initial cohort (20 subjects).
Ppe And Signage Setup $10K
[#23] One-time procurement of specialized PPE kits, signage, tamper seals and legal lockouts.
Secure Labeling Setup $6K
[#12] One-time RFID/barcode registration system and tagging hardware setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.7M/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #13] Salaries (loaded): Edgewood perimeter guards (6) + supervisor, Site-82 additional guards (4), secure transport team (2), research scientists (4) and technical staff (3); aggregated.
Education Replacement And Relocation $1.0M/yr
[#3] Funding to replace public education services, relocation support, or modular classrooms/bussing to avoid district inquiries (moderate containment assumption).
Research And Monitoring $738K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #14, #17, #18, #19, #21, #24, #27] Recurring support: archival HVAC electricity/maintenance, robotic maintenance, software support/updates, refresher training, data storage, imaging replacement/experimentation, sustained research program, forensic consumables, monitoring/recording operations, and IT patching/maintenance.
Altered Subjects Care $500K/yr
[#16] Secure housing/behavioral management and specialized programs for long-term altered subjects (5–10 cases; aggregated estimate).
Rapid Response Fund $200K/yr
[#20] Operational fund for rapid deployment teams, overtime, emergency medical services and ad-hoc search/rescue.
Medical Care And Monitoring $200K/yr
[#15] Ongoing MRI/fMRI/neurological testing, psychiatric monitoring, medication and rehab for returned/displaced subjects (budgeted worst-case level).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#2] Ongoing legal counsel, PR maintenance, FOIA responses, permits and municipal lobbying to sustain asbestos pretense.
Contingency Topup $100K/yr
[#25] Annual top-up for hush payments / liability reserve.
Administrative Overhead $80K/yr
[#26] Audit staff, record-keeping for access requests, clearance renewals, internal compliance reviews.
Logistics And Transport $68K/yr
[#6, #7] Vehicle fuel/maintenance for perimeter patrols and secure transport, and modest logistics overhead.
Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr
[#4] Mothballing costs: utilities for security, basic climate control, pest control, snow removal, insurance/taxes.
Scale Up Reserve Topup $50K/yr
[#29] Annual reserve top-up to support rapid archival expansion if needed.
Ethical Oversight $40K/yr
[#30] Recurring costs to convene ethical review boards and institutional oversight.
Supplies And Consumables $16K/yr
[#22, #23, #28, #12] Archival consumables, PPE replacement, labels, gloves and small recurrent handling supplies.
Cover Story And Legal Other $0/yr
[]
Property Lease Or Compensation $0/yr
[#1] Lease/compensation alternative to purchase noted in analyst guidance; purchase was budgeted as one-time, so recurring lease set to $0 in baseline.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.8M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year after one-time setup: property purchased, archives secured, routine research and monitoring continuing with no major incidents.
no_major_incidents routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $5.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or single-subject displacement requiring overtime, targeted medical follow-up, and additional investigative activity.
single_subject_displacement localized_containment_breach equipment_failure
🚨 Major Breach $7.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Large-scale exposure (multiple staff infected, server/digital spread) requiring mass medical care, large rapid-response, replacement equipment, and significant legal/PR expenditures.
mass_infection digital_spread simultaneous_equipment_failures
🚨 Political Exposure $6.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Public discovery or legal challenge that forces large settlements, buyouts, or extended compensation to the school district and families.
public_disclosure lawsuits media_exposure
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#5, #6] 6 guards at Edgewood + 4 additional Site-82 patrol guards (rotational staff counted).
Security Supervisor / Sergeant 1 [#5] Supervisor/shift lead for Edgewood perimeter security (included in security payroll).
Secure Transport Team 2 [#7] Two-person trained transport team for chain-of-custody transfers.
Research Scientist 4 [#13] Level-3+ researchers permitted access; salaries included in staff_wages.
Technical Staff 3 [#13] Technical / IT / lab support staff to run non-visual processing, robotics, and archives.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of wide analyst ranges and several optional approaches (purchase vs lease). The anomalous memetic behavior, uncertain propagation risk, and limited incident history produce significant uncertainty in both frequency and scale of future events.
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