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SCP-3573 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3573
Expected annual
$737K
One-time setup
$476K
Annual recurring
$732K
Personnel
7
One-time capital costs dominated by optional purchase of specialized medical equipment and contingency reserves (~$475k). Annual recurring costs are driven by personnel (security, specialists, medical readiness) and baseline operations (~$732k/yr), while per-incident medical/legal responses can spike into the tens- to hundreds-of-thousands.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $476K
Ecmo Unit Purchase $300K
[#9] Option to purchase extracorporeal blood support equipment (ECMO/ plasmapheresis units) — purchase option included as one-time capital (midpoint ~$300,000).
Contingency Reserve $100K
[#16] One-time contingency/reserve fund for liability, replacement, or large unforeseen costs (chosen midpoint $100,000).
Forensic Analytical Campaign $30K
[#11] Initial comprehensive forensic/chemical analysis campaign (GC-MS, HPLC, isotopes, adhesive/label provenance) estimated ~$30,000.
Materials Preservation Testing $15K
[#12] Long-term materials and preservation testing (glass/preservative stability) one-time program setup estimate ~$15,000.
Facilities $9K
[#1] Retrofit of containment lockers (padded inserts, secondary trays, tamper-evident seals and lock upgrades) — assumed retrofit of 3 lockers at ~$3,000 each.
Equipment $9K
[#2, #6] One-time installation of 24/7 video surveillance/alarm integration (~$4,000) plus remote handling tools (bottle lifters, suction grabbers, plexiglass transfer boxes) (~$5,000).
Training And Documentation $6K
[#5] Initial written SOPs, signage, and mandatory training program creation and initial instructor costs (~$6,000 one-time).
Database Setup $5K
[#17] Controlled-access database & documentation one-time setup (cataloguing, backups, chain-of-custody systems) estimated ~$5,000.
Breakage Cleanup Kit $1K
[#7] Breakage/containment emergency kit and initial cleanup supplies (absorbents, neutralizers, sealed biohazard bags, portable spill containment tray) estimate midpoint ~$1,150.
Evidence Storage Setup $600
[#21] Evidence storage and archival consumables initial purchase (tamper-evident bags, archival boxes) estimated ~$600.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $732K/yr
Staff Wages $630K/yr
[#3, #13, #8] Annual personnel costs: security staffing increment (~$120,000), specialist research personnel (3 senior specialists ~ $360,000), on-call/dedicated medical readiness staffing (~$100,000), and a part-time admin (~$50,000).
Replacement And Investigation Reserve $20K/yr
[#20] Annual reserve for replacement/repair/investigation if an instance is lost or broken (~$20,000/yr baseline contingency).
Blood Inventory And Contracts $12K/yr
[#10] Blood bank access and replacement blood inventory maintenance and supplier contract costs (~$12,500/yr).
Research And Monitoring $10K/yr
[#11] Ongoing budget for forensic/analytical follow-ups and outsourced testing campaigns (~$10,000/yr baseline for intermittent analyses).
Ecmo Rental Activation $10K/yr
[#9] Expected annualized budget for on-call ECMO/plasmapheresis rental or activation (~$10,000/yr baseline for occasional activations).
Contingency Replenishment $10K/yr
[#16] Annual replenishment to contingency/reserve fund (~$10,000/yr).
Psychological Support $6K/yr
[#19] Psychological support, counseling and debriefing budget (~$6,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $5K/yr
[#14, #23] Ongoing liaison and small-scale PR/cover expenses baseline (~$5,000/yr). Major per-incident coverups budgeted in scenarios.
Personnel Screening $5K/yr
[#18] Annual health screening and monitoring for staff (nosebleed/wound restrictions) (~$5,000/yr).
Provenance Field Investigation Reserve $5K/yr
[#22] Annualized reserve for occasional international provenance investigations (~$5,000/yr baseline; per-investigation costs can be much higher).
Materials Testing Ongoing $5K/yr
[#12] Ongoing multi-year materials/preservation testing budget (~$5,000/yr ongoing testing and sampling costs).
Logistics And Transport $3K/yr
[#15] Secure transport / hazmat/confidential transfer baseline reserve for occasional movements (~$3,000/yr).
Training Refresher $3K/yr
[#5] Recurring refresher training, instructor time and materials estimated ~$3,000/yr.
Periodic Audits $3K/yr
[#25] Periodic internal audit and compliance inspection budget (~$3,000/yr).
Database Maintenance $2K/yr
[#17] Ongoing controlled-access database and backup maintenance (~$1,500/yr).
Decontamination Disposal Reserve $1K/yr
[#24] Annualized budget for decontamination and hazardous waste disposal (~$1,000/yr baseline; per-event disposal costs range $500–$5,000).
Facilities Maintenance $800/yr
[#2] Surveillance/alarm maintenance and recording storage retention costs (~$800/yr midpoint).
Supplies And Consumables $600/yr
[#4] PPE and consumables for handling (gloves, face shields, gowns) estimated ~$600/yr baseline.
Breakage Kit Replenishment $300/yr
[#7] Annual replenishment of cleanup supplies and consumables (~$300/yr).
Evidence Consumables $300/yr
[#21] Ongoing purchase of tamper-evident bags, seals, archival supplies (~$300/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $732K/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine handling, scheduled maintenance, training, and no major incidents.
no incidents routine maintenance scheduled training
🚨 Minor Incident $754K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$22K vs baseline
Small-scale accidental breakage or small contamination event requiring cleanup, limited medical attention, small cover-up and investigation.
single-bottle breakage minor accidental exposure small local investigation
🚨 Medical Emergency $817K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$85K vs baseline
An individual experiences significant blood transmutation requiring ICU care, extracorporeal support, transfusions and legal/PR response.
full-body blood transmutation ICU care / ECMO activation major medical & legal response
🚨 Major Provenance Investigation $1.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$375K vs baseline
Large-scale international provenance investigation and/or decision to purchase specialized medical equipment (e.g., ECMO) and run a thorough research campaign.
major international field investigation large forensic/provenance campaign capital purchase of medical equipment
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 2 full-time guards added for Site-77 duties; combined annual wages estimated at ~$120,000 ([#3]).
Research Scientist (Chemist) 1 Lead chemist to run analyses and coordinate forensic work; salary included in specialist pool (~$120k) (#[13]).
Conservator / Historian 1 Specialist for label/paper/glass conservation and provenance research; salary included in specialist pool (~$120k) (#[13]).
Anomalous Objects Researcher 1 Lead anomalous properties researcher (contained research & protocols); salary included in specialist pool (~$120k) (#[13]).
Medical Officer 1 On-call/dedicated medical readiness staffing to coordinate emergency response (~$100k included) (#[8]).
Administrative Staff 1 Part-time administrative/database manager for chain-of-custody and records (~$50k included) (#[17]).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges for most cost categories, enabling mid-point estimates; however frequency of incidents, decisions to purchase capital medical equipment, and per-incident legal/PR expenditures are highly uncertain, producing moderate confidence overall.
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