SCP-3581 — SCP-3581 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3581 Neutralized ~ medium confidence

SCP-3581

Expected annual

$201K

One-time setup

$734K

Annual recurring

$176K

Personnel

One-time setup and contingency reserves dominate costs (approx. $734k one-time), while ongoing monitoring, staff, rent, and outreach drive recurring costs (~$176k/year). Main drivers are potential excavation/conservation and emergency/reserve funding.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $734K

Excavation Campaign $150K

[#5] Controlled archaeological excavation campaign (crew, shelters, conservation protocols) if executed.

Contingency Buffer One Time $147K

[#21] One-time contingency buffer (approx. 25% of one-time baseline costs) for unpredictable political/legal/supply shocks.

Emergency Response Reserve $100K

[#12] Rapid-deployment reserve for wider Foundation response (transport, specialists, temporary containment).

Long Term Research Program $100K

[#18] Modest grant/program allocation to fund extended Sarkic/migration research (multi-year project allocation).

Artifact Conservation And Analysis $75K

[#6] Cleaning, consolidation, radiocarbon/isotopic dating, specialist consultation, whole-set conservation per significant recovery.

Land Acquisition Or Easement $50K

[#9] Covert land purchase or easement fund to control access to the archaeological site or buy artifacts from finders.

Translation And Archival Research $35K

[#11] Payments for Old Slavic/Sarkic specialists, historians, and archive access for initial research projects.

Vehicle Purchase $25K

[#14] Purchase of a rugged pickup/SUV for site access, towing and equipment carriage.

Equipment $21K

[#2, #3] Surveillance hardware, concealment/mounting and power/communications (solar, batteries, generator, comms uplink) one-time equipment & installation costs.

Secure Transport And Initial Storage $10K

[#7] Specialized packing, temperature-controlled transport, escorts and immediate storage placement per recovery incident.

Legal Setup $10K

[#10] One-time shell company formation, local legal retainers / setup and discrete setup payments.

Initial Training Program $6K

[#17] Initial personnel training program (archaeological best practices, local customs, anomaly-awareness).

Security Equipment $5K

[#15] Non-escalatory defensive equipment, vests, radios, first-aid kits for a small team.

Facilities $0

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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $176K/yr

Staff Wages $80K/yr

[#1] Field monitoring team (2–3 agents rotating) plus periodic senior oversight visits; local salaries/equipment stipends.

Inflation Contingency Recurring $35K/yr

[#21] Recurring contingency provision (approx. 25% of baseline recurring budget) for inflation/incident cost spikes.

Cover Story And Legal $13K/yr

[#8, #10, #16] Local folklore management grants/events, legal retainers/ongoing cover costs, and PR/misinformation monitoring/content buys.

Research And Monitoring $12K/yr

[#4] Periodic geophysical/archaeological survey seasons amortized as an annual monitoring cost (GPR, magnetometer, specialist hires).

Logistics And Transport $11K/yr

[#3, #7, #14] Vehicle operating costs (fuel, insurance, maintenance), long-term secure storage footprint allocation, recurring fuel/data for field kit.

Contingent Repatriation Fund $10K/yr

[#19] Ongoing fund to purchase/repatriate artifacts from local finders or negotiate access to privately held objects.

Facilities Maintenance $9K/yr

[#2, #13] Recurring surveillance hardware maintenance/communications upkeep and regional safehouse/field office rent & utilities.

Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr

[#15] Recurring small-arms/security supplies, training ammo, consumables and minor field supplies.

Decommissioning Audit $2K/yr

[#20] Periodic audits to verify neutralization status, file closure reviews (amortized per-year cost).

Personnel Training $1K/yr

[#17] Annual refresher training and cultural/safety briefings for agents.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $176K/yr

89.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine monitoring, outreach, and no significant discoveries or incidents.

routine_monitoring no_significant_findings

🚨 Artifact Recovery $411K/yr

10.0% probability / year +$235K vs baseline

Discovery of promising remains/artifacts prompting a controlled excavation, conservation and transport.

geophysical_anomaly_confirmed local_report_of_find promising_surface_artifacts

🚨 Political Exposure $276K/yr

1.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline

Heightened local/political attention requiring rapid legal/PR response, emergency mobilization, and accelerated acquisition actions.

local_media_exposure investigative_researchers_arriving official_permits_or_complications

👥 Personnel 4 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	3	[#1] 2–3 field agents rotating shifts for site monitoring and artifact recovery deterrence.
Site Director / Executive Staff	1	[#1] Periodic senior oversight visits and coordination with contractors/archives.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling reasonable estimates, but uncertainty remains around discovery probability, excavation scope, and local political/legal variability, so confidence is moderate.

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