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SCP-3629 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3629
Expected annual
$8.8M
One-time setup
$14.4M
Annual recurring
$8.7M
Personnel
30
Estimated one-time startup capital of ~$14.45M driven by secure facilities, software development, legal/contingency reserves and initial research; ongoing annual costs are about $8.7M driven primarily by staff wages, participant/diplomatic compensation, legal/cover operations, and recurring software/cybersecurity costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.4M
Facilities $4.7M
[#2] Secure facility construction/retrofit including soundproofed meeting rooms, Faraday shielding, decontamination airlocks and secure storage; mid-range estimate.
Counter Publicity Software Development $3.0M
[#10] Initial development of surreptitious surveillance / counter-publicity software (crawler, takedown automation, false-flag content systems); mid-range estimate.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.6M
[#7, #8, #9] Medical lab / quarantine setup and diagnostics (#7); initial research projects and anthropology/biology/linguistics pilot studies (#8); initial translation tooling & corpora (#9).
Equipment $1.6M
[#3, #11, #18, #19] CCTV/RF/EM sensors and biometric locks (#3); cybersecurity hardware/secure comms setup (#11); secure forensics/storage setup (#18); non-lethal restraint equipment (#19).
Legal Fund Reserve $1.5M
[#21] One-time legal fund / indemnity reserve for large international legal exposure and settlements.
Incident Response Initial Fund $1.0M
[#17] Initial one-time seed for incident response / emergency fund to be available for major incidents.
Secure Transport Vehicles $400K
[#5] Acquisition of armored/secure vans and vehicle pool for local secure transport and logistics.
Monitoring Analytics Development $400K
[#20] Initial development of AI/behavioral analytics and compute for transcript analysis and risk-flagging.
Cover Infrastructure Setup $150K
[#13] Setup of shell companies, false research fronts and foundational cover infrastructure.
Training Program Setup $100K
[#16] Initial development of cultural-sensitivity and safety training programs, simulation materials.
Airlift Jet Purchase $0
[#6] Optional small-jet purchase (not chosen in baseline); purchase range noted in analyst estimates but chartering used instead in baseline operations.
Data Destruction Per Operation $0
[#26] Per-major-operation data-destruction / plausibility-engineering costs are highly variable; budgeted as contingency (recurring) rather than a predictable one-time cost.
Program Ballpark Estimate $0
[#28] Analyst summary: one-time startup capital estimated in notes as ~$5M–$15M; this budget aggregates to mid/high of that range.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.7M/yr
Staff Wages $4.4M/yr
[#1] Dedicated program staff ~30 FTEs including salaries + benefits (salaries ~$3.4M + ~30% benefits ≈ $4.4M/yr).
Research And Monitoring $800K/yr
[#8, #9, #10] Ongoing anthropology/biology/linguistics research and experiments (#8); linguist contracts and ongoing translation work (#9); continuous R&D related to containment software/security (#10).
Cover Story And Legal $800K/yr
[#12, #21] Legal and PR retainers, covert content-removal/legal takedown operations and coordination with platforms and governments; ongoing insurance/indemnities partially budgeted here (#12, #21).
Participant Compensation $700K/yr
[#14] Payments, relocation assistance and witness management for participants and sequestered witnesses; partial mid-range funding included.
Logistics And Transport $400K/yr
[#5, #6] Operations/leases/fuel/drivers for vehicle pool and occasional charters; baseline assumes ad-hoc airlift charters folded into logistics rather than dedicated jet purchase (#5, #6).
Incident Response Reserve $300K/yr
[#17] Annual reserve/continuing contribution to an incident response fund for mobilization, quarantines and crisis handling.
Capital Replacement Reserve $300K/yr
[#27] Annual capital replacement / modernization reserve for vehicles, servers, lab kits and software rewrites.
Facilities Maintenance $250K/yr
[#3, #4] Ongoing security system upgrades/maintenance (#3) and utilities/HVAC/cleaning/site O&M and insurance (#4).
Cybersecurity Operations $250K/yr
[#11] SOC operations, intrusion detection and secure communications monitoring; lower-bound ongoing costs included in baseline.
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#7, #19, #24] Medical consumables/PPE and quarantine supplies (#7); restraint system consumables and maintenance (#19); day-to-day operational supplies (#24).
Counter Publicity Software Ops $150K/yr
[#10] Hosting, operations and moderate ongoing maintenance for surveillance and counter-publicity tooling (hosting/ops portion).
Covert Influence $100K/yr
[#22] Maintenance of liaison networks, discreet payments or favors to local officials, media contacts, and platform operators at modest baseline level.
Cover Infrastructure Maintenance $0/yr
[#13] Maintenance of shell companies / false fronts; work assumed to be subsumed under legal and admin budgets in baseline.
Diplomatic Compensation $0/yr
[#15] Ongoing treaty/ceremony costs and gifts with S'kakithi Principality; folded into program budget as needed (baseline assumes small per-event spend covered by other lines).
Training $0/yr
[#16] Ongoing training costs for personnel; baseline assumes training costs are covered within research_and_monitoring and staff training pools.
Forensics And Logging $0/yr
[#18] Long-term secure storage costs and retrieval are folded into equipment amortization and secure hosting budgets in baseline.
Monitoring Analytics Ops $0/yr
[#20] Ongoing analytics operations budget for AI/behavioral analysis; baseline assumes portions covered under research_and_monitoring and counter-publicity ops.
Insurance And Indemnities $0/yr
[#21] Standalone insurance costs noted in analyst range; baseline folds insurance into cover_story_and_legal line item.
Publication Control $0/yr
[#23] Archive and publication control activities folded into cover_story_and_legal and counter-publicity budgets in baseline.
Audit And Compliance $0/yr
[#25] Annual audits and compliance reviews assumed managed within administrative overhead in baseline numbers.
Data Destruction Contingency $0/yr
[#26] Annual contingency for plausibility engineering/data-destruction operations is situation-dependent; baseline holds funds within incident_response_reserve.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.7M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady operations, no major incidents.
routine outreach and research no major leaks or legal actions
🚨 Minor Incident $9.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$550K vs baseline
Localized disclosure or smaller breach requiring incident response, takedowns, legal actions and temporary scale-up of operations.
small public leak legal takedown campaign or PR crisis
🚨 Major Incident $11.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Significant, high-profile breach or diplomatic/legal crisis requiring major mobilization, large settlements and drawdown of contingency funds.
high-profile public exposure cross-jurisdictional legal action or large settlement
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#1, #19, #5] 24/7 security coverage, transport/field response, non-lethal restraint operations and on-call incident response.
Research Scientist 6 [#1, #8, #7] Anthropology/biology/linguistics research staff handling studies, experiments and medical screening coordination.
Cybersecurity / IT Specialist 3 [#1, #11, #10] SOC, secure comms, server hardening, and operations for counter-publicity and monitoring software.
Medical Officer 2 [#1, #7] On-site medical screening, quarantine management and emergency care for human participants.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#1, #3, #27] Facility systems, HVAC/biocontainment maintenance, and equipment modernization.
Administrative Staff 3 [#1, #13] Program administration, cover infrastructure maintenance and liaison tasks.
Legal / PR Specialist 2 [#1, #12, #21] Legal takedowns, cover story crafting, platform liaison and insurance/indemnities coordination.
Linguist / Cultural Specialist 2 [#1, #9, #8] Translation, glossaries, cultural training and embedded interpreter roles for treaty interactions.
Logistics / Drivers 2 [#1, #5] Secure transport operations, vehicle maintenance and local logistics.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed with line-item ranges, staffing estimates and contingency guidance, enabling a medium-confidence aggregate. Significant uncertainty remains around frequency/severity of incidents, legal outcomes, and choices between chartering vs. capital purchases (airlift/jet) which keep absolute confidence from being high.
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