SCP-3648 — SCP-3648 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3648 Unknown ? low confidence

SCP-3648

Expected annual

$482.3M

One-time setup

$2.3B

Annual recurring

$472.0M

Personnel

100

Upfront one-time establishment and specialised hardware (satellite constellation, DEEPWELL, maritime/sea platforms) drive multibillion-dollar initial costs (~$2.3B), with sustained global operations, sensor/response fleets, and covert budgets producing annual recurring costs on the order of hundreds of millions (~$472M/yr).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.3B

Equipment $930.0M

[#5, #7, #9] Satellite constellation deployment, maritime fleet acquisition/retrofit, air interdiction asset procurement (smallsats, boats, helicopters/aircraft).

Contingency Research Fund $500.0M

[#22] Multi-year contingency CK/Reality Stabilization research tranche (major speculative mitigation R&D funding).

Emergency Reserve $300.0M

[#26] Rapid-build, liquid emergency budget reserved for unforeseen, large-scale response expenditures.

Deepwell Construction $150.0M

[#3] DEEPWELL/exo-reality archive build/retrofit (ultra-secure archival facility, shielding, climate control).

Floating Platforms $150.0M

[#19] Sea-based command/research platform buildout (stabilization, power, living quarters).

Coverup Initial Reserve $100.0M

[#17] Initial escrow/reserve for covert influence, payments, legal/black-ops starting fund.

Humanitarian Assets $80.0M

[#18] Amphibious evacuation platforms, floating medical shelters, water/food stockpiles and initial outfitting.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $70.0M

[#1, #14, #15, #20, #21] Early-detection R&D initial lab/setup, genomic DB/tools setup, mnestic R&D facility, instrumentation development, archive compute/HW-SW purchases.

Disposal Facility $15.0M

[#28] Secure incineration/reality-safe termination and evidence/biological disposal facility build.

Facilities $10.0M

[#2] Secure/shielded laboratory and containment construction, shielding, comms, reality-hardened test chambers.

Termination Training Setup $4.0M

[#11] Special operations recruitment/training setup, gear and specialized PPE procurement for termination teams.

Open Ended Risk Caveat $0

[#30] Contextual note: CK-class containment failure costs are effectively unbounded and handled as scenario-level risk; not quantified here.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $472.0M/yr

Maritime Ops $80.0M/yr

[#7, #8] Crewing, fuel, maintenance, port fees, mooring and logistics for interdiction vessels and craft.

Logistics And Transport $60.0M/yr

[#25] Global transport, fuel, and energy costs for moving personnel and gear, plus data center electricity and fuel for vessels/aircraft.

Cover Story And Legal $60.0M/yr

[#17, #23] Ongoing covert influence, legal defense funds, PR/media rapid-response campaigns and disinformation operations.

Satellite Ops $50.0M/yr

[#5, #6] Constellation ops: launches/ground ops, bandwidth, imagery analysis teams, and replacement cycles.

Air Ops $40.0M/yr

[#9, #10] Aircraft/helicopter operations: pilots, maintenance, fuel, hangar costs and ISR drone ops.

Targeted Surveillance $30.0M/yr

[#13] Field agents, local assets, informant networks, safehouses and targeted coastal human intelligence operations.

Termination Team Ops $25.0M/yr

[#11, #12] Salaries, ongoing training exercises, classified munitions, travel and deployment readiness for special operations cadres.

International Cooperation $25.0M/yr

[#27] Covert payments, basing rights, and diplomatic cover agreements with partner states.

Floating Platform Ops $20.0M/yr

[#19] Operations and logistics for sea-based command/research platforms.

Staff Wages $15.0M/yr

[#1] Early-detection R&D personnel salaries (research physicists, memeticists, data scientists, field researchers).

Humanitarian Maintenance $12.0M/yr

[#18] Readiness maintenance for amphibious evacuation assets, floating shelters, and humanitarian staffing.

Research And Monitoring $11.0M/yr

[#1, #14] Recurring R&D operational costs including field trials, sequencing/analysis updates and routine research monitoring.

Deepwell Ops $10.0M/yr

[#3, #4] DEEPWELL operational costs: power, backup, archive curation and analysis staff, and network upkeep.

Mnestic Production $6.0M/yr

[#15] Recurring manufacture and distribution of mnestics/amnestics and pharmaceutical production costs.

Instrumentation Ops $6.0M/yr

[#20] Calibration, production and field unit maintenance for antimemetic/Hume sensors.

Facilities Maintenance $5.0M/yr

[#2, #3, #19] Ongoing maintenance, facility upkeep and infrastructure support for labs, DEEPWELL, and sea platforms.

Psychosocial And Vetting $4.0M/yr

[#24] Staff mental-health programs, re-mnestic aftercare, and ongoing security vetting costs.

Training Exercises $4.0M/yr

[#29] Full-scale exercises, simulations and multinational war-gaming of detection-to-termination pipelines.

Mnestic Deployment $3.5M/yr

[#16] Field medical teams, mnestic doses, logistics and witness management after incidents.

Disposal Ops $3.0M/yr

[#28] Ongoing ops for secure termination/disposal protocols, facility ops and specialized consumables.

Compute Ops $2.5M/yr

[#21] Cloud/operations, model development, and compute costs for archive digitization and analysis.

Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $472.0M/yr

87.9% probability / year

Normal year with full program funded, routine operations and no major SCP-3648 incident.

no_detected_event routine_operations scheduled_upkeep

🚨 Minor Incident $477.0M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Localized, quickly contained SCP-3648 event requiring targeted interdiction, mnestic deployment, and modest PR/cover operations.

small coastal event limited interdiction sorties targeted mnestic use

🚨 Major Breach $672.0M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline

Significant event with extended interdiction operations, broad mnestic campaigns, heavy naval/air tasking and substantial covert expenditures.

widespread coastal immersion multi-day interdiction tasking large-scale mnestic deployments

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.3B/yr

0.1% probability / year +$5.8B vs baseline

CK-class escalation / reality restructuring requiring activation of contingency research funds, full emergency reserve drawdowns and planetary-scale mitigation efforts.

CK-class progression global exposure reality-restoration operations

👥 Personnel 100 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist	30	[#1] Physicists and senior research staff included in early-detection R&D salaries.
Data Scientist / ML Engineer	20	[#1] Big-data and fragment analysis staffing for DEEPWELL/compute pipelines.
Field Researcher / Technician	20	[#1] Field deployments, sensor maintenance, and trial teams.
Memeticist / Antimemetics Specialist	10	[#1] Specialized antimemetic research staff for signature detection and countermeasures.
Lab Technician / Sample Specialist	20	[#1] Lab support, sequencing, and routine experiment operations.

📋 Confidence Notes

Ranges in analyst input are wide and SCP-3648 is cosmogenic/antimemetic; many costs are speculative and scenario-dependent, so estimates carry low confidence.

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