SCP-3683 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3683
Expected annual
$378.8M
One-time setup
$531.4M
Annual recurring
$360.3M
Personnel
415
Large one-time capital for hardened HQ, vehicles, aerial assets, lab buildout, and a large emergency reserve (~$531M). Recurring annual operations (personnel, field ops, R&D, waste management, and contingency) dominate costs at roughly $359M/yr, driven by staffing, regional compensation, and classified contingency budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $531.4M
Contingency Rapid Response Reserve $300.0M
[#29] SK-class prevention fund / emergency mobilization reserve and pre-negotiated contract funds.
R And D Program Startup $60.0M
[#15] Startup capital for a multi-year R&D program to develop fertility suppression / species-specific contraceptives.
Legal Buyouts One Time $55.0M
[#21] One-time buyouts/agreements to secure initial legal/political cover and large near-term settlements to avoid exposure.
Airport Disruption Compensation $27.5M
[#22] Near-term compensation & rerouting costs for airport/airline disruption related to strict airspace control.
Municipal Waste Overhaul Capital $20.0M
[#18] Capital procurement of sealed food waste bins, truck retrofits, and city-level waste infrastructure changes (if Foundation funds this).
Aerial Assets $14.0M
[#7] Purchase/lease of helicopters and tactical UAVs (2–4 helos + 10–30 drones) and sensor pods for altitude engagement.
Facilities $11.5M
[#1] Harden/upgrade existing building into secure command & containment HQ (secure rooms, EMP/EM shielding, lead-lined storage).
Equipment $9.0M
[#5] Initial procurement of patrol trucks, armored vehicles, ATVs, nets, net-guns, capture poles, shotguns, body armor, and tools.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $9.0M
[#13] BSL-3 capable genetics/pathology lab build-out (negative pressure suites, filtered exhaust, secure storage).
Cover Story Setup $6.0M
[#20] One-time setup for cover-story PR campaign: initial production, placements, staged messaging assets.
Anti Perching Infrastructure $5.5M
[#17] Anti-perching exclusion installation for prioritized critical infrastructure (spikes, netting, HVAC covers, screens).
Detection Network Deployment $4.5M
[#9] City-wide avian detection network deployment (radar arrays, thermal cameras, acoustic nodes, communications backhaul).
Incineration Infrastructure $4.0M
[#11] Mobile incinerators, refrigerated corpse vans, and initial contracts/ash handling infrastructure.
Perimeter Checkpoints $2.2M
[#2] Materials and installation for perimeter checkpoints (barriers, gates, portable lighting, signage, fencing).
Data Infrastructure Deploy $2.0M
[#27] Secure servers and geospatial database deployment for long-term tracking (initial capital).
Refrigerated Transport Equipment $650K
[#28] Refrigerated transport vehicles and temporary holding/isolation cages (one-time equipment buy).
Front Company Setup $500K
[#32] One-time front company (MTF Gamma-119) registration, branding, office setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $360.3M/yr
Compensation And Essential Supply $100.0M/yr
[#19] Ongoing resident/business compensation, guaranteed essential supplies, and logistical support during quarantine (conservative lower-bound model).
Classified Asset Utilization $55.0M/yr
[#30] Recurring classified allocation for anomalous-asset use, maintenance, and replacement; highly variable mission-dependent budget.
Miscellaneous And Contingency $46.8M/yr
[#34] Program contingency (15% of baseline recurring budget) to cover unforeseen escalation, attrition, and increased R&D/testing.
Staff Wages $35.2M/yr
[#3, #4, #8, #28, #32] Fully-burdened wages for perimeter/security staff (~200 FTE), MTF field teams (~120 FTE), pilots/drone operators portion, refrigerated-transport staffing portion, and front-company payroll.
Cover Story And Legal $35.0M/yr
[#20, #21, #31] Ongoing PR/health messaging, legal upkeep, payments to officials/litigation reserves and recurring insurance/indemnity budgeting.
Municipal Waste Operations $20.0M/yr
[#18] Increased pickup frequency, enforcement, and operations to remove public food sources driving pigeon populations.
Logistics And Transport $18.5M/yr
[#6, #22] Vehicle/weapon ops & consumables (fuel, repairs, ammo) plus recurring airport/airline disruption operational costs while air restrictions are in place.
Research And Monitoring $13.0M/yr
[#10, #14, #27] Lab operations and monitoring: surveillance analysts/operators, reagents/sequencing, necropsies, animal housing, and data-analysis ops.
Contraceptive Deployment $12.5M/yr
[#16] Production and distribution of species-targeted baits/delivery systems once R&D produces a deployable solution.
Damage Mitigation And Repairs $6.0M/yr
[#24] Repair/replacement of infrastructure damaged by large SCP-3683 individuals (roofs, HVAC, signage, road cleanup).
Public Safety And Medical $4.0M/yr
[#25] Emergency response, trauma care, temporary shelters, and indemnity payments stemming from bird attacks.
Aerial Operations And Maintenance $3.0M/yr
[#8] Non-payroll recurring aerial ops costs: fuel, maintenance, hangarage, parts, and insurance (pilots payroll portion captured in staff_wages).
Incineration And Disposal Ops $3.0M/yr
[#11] Fuel, incinerator operations, ash disposal contracts, and transport disposal fees.
Citizen Incentives $3.0M/yr
[#33] Tip lines, bounty payouts, and reward programs to encourage detection/reporting.
Facilities Maintenance $1.5M/yr
[#17] Ongoing maintenance, anti-perching upkeep on critical infrastructure, and general facility maintenance for HQ/hangars.
Training Exercises $1.2M/yr
[#26] Regular drills, cross-agency exercises, and simulation program costs.
Detection Network Ops $1.0M/yr
[#9] Data processing, sensor maintenance, and comms backhaul O&M for the avian detection network.
Supplies And Consumables $750K/yr
[#12] Biohazard and decontamination consumables (PPE, disinfectants, autoclave consumables, hazmat laundry).
Refrigerated Transport Ops $750K/yr
[#28] Staffing, fuel, and maintenance for refrigerated transport and temporary holding sites.
Regional Avian Policy Monitoring $0/yr
[#23] Attempting a true 100 km exclusion is effectively infeasible; intensive region-wide eradication costs are orders of magnitude higher and not practical—plan assumes detection/interdiction instead.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $360.3M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady operations, no major incidents; recurring programs run as budgeted.
steady detection and interdiction no major breaches ongoing R&D and municipal cooperation
🚨 Minor Incident $368.8M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$8.5M vs baseline
Localized surge in recombination or several large-bird attacks requiring extra deployments and repairs.
localized breeding spike clustered structural damage increased culling sorties
🚨 Major Breach $1.1B/yr
2.0% probability / year +$748.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or introduction of sentient avian entities requiring full emergency mobilization and large-scale expenditures.
SK-class escalation risk widespread recombination event loss of air superiority
🚨 Political Exposure $608.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$248.5M vs baseline
Significant public/political exposure forcing wide compensation, legal settlements, and extended restrictions.
whistleblower or media exposure legal losses and forced mass compensation extended quarantine enforcement
👥 Personnel 415 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 200 [#3] Perimeter checkpoints, roadblocks, and 24/7 patrol coverage (approx. 200 FTE across shifts).
MTF / Field Tactical Team 120 [#4] Specialized avian response teams (capture/cull, animal handlers, vets, hazardous-techs).
Research Scientist / Lab Staff 25 [#13, #14] Virologists, geneticists, lab techs supporting BSL-3 operations and R&D.
Surveillance Analyst / Operators 30 [#9, #10, #27] Sensor/video analysts, automated-alert validation staff, and geospatial analysts.
Pilot / Drone Operator 15 [#7, #8] Helicopter pilots and UAV operators for sustained aerial sorties.
Engineer / Maintenance 10 [#5, #11, #17] Vehicle, aerial, incinerator, and infrastructure maintenance staff.
Medical Officer 5 [#25] Emergency medical response and trauma care coordination for bird-attack casualties.
Administrative Staff 10 [#20, #21, #32] Operations support, PR/legal liaisons, and front-company administration.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed and enumerate line items, but many estimates are wide ranges and include large contingent/variable classified budgets; therefore numeric precision is moderate.
← SCP-3682 ↑ All SCPs SCP-3684 →