SCP-3688 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-3688
Expected annual
$16.1M
One-time setup
$113.7M
Annual recurring
$15.5M
Personnel
60
Initial capital costs are large (roughly $114M one-time) driven by remote site acquisition, chamber construction and hardening; ongoing annual costs are approximately $15.5M/yr driven by specialist/security wages, training attrition, contingency/reserve and cover/amnestic programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $113.7M
Facilities $99.0M
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #20] Remote site acquisition, primary and secondary reinforced chambers, perimeter hardening, and on-site energy generation plant (mid-range estimates).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $7.8M
[#15, #16] Initial multi-year R&D program budget and archives retrieval / initial historical research operation costs.
Equipment $2.6M
[#5, #6, #13, #19, #25] Motion-capture/biometric systems, secure information infrastructure initial setup, aircraft/transport modification, secure training documentation development, and data-capture hardware/initial compute.
Legal Reserve $2.0M
[#23] One-time portion of insurance-equivalent contingency / legal reserve set up.
Training Program Initial Cohort $1.3M
[#10] One-time sunk cost to run an initial full cohort (includes attrition losses example: ~67 trainees to produce ~10 successes at example per-trainee cost).
International Permitting $1.0M
[#27] One-time diplomatic / permitting / site negotiation costs in foreign jurisdictions or for covert basing agreements.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.5M/yr
Staff Wages $4.3M/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Salaries for specialist trainers/choreographers/kinetography staff, medical staff, and on-site security/MTF allocation (typical mid-range totals).
Research And Monitoring $1.5M/yr
[#15, #16, #22] Ongoing R&D and containment research, behavioral monitoring programs, and archival/field-research upkeep.
Training Program $1.3M/yr
[#10, #24] Recurring costs to train/produce successful performers (facility use, coaches, lodging, consumables) excluding sunk attrition losses which are listed separately.
Facilities Maintenance $1.2M/yr
[#14, #20] Annual contingency and repair fund for sacrificial chamber replacement and general site maintenance; partial energy system upkeep included.
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#13] Baseline secure transport and logistics (armored/chartered transport, occasional airlift for deployments).
Training Attrition Overhead $1.1M/yr
[#24] Recurring sunk cost due to high (~85%) training attrition (example estimate for cohorts needed to maintain ~10 successful performers).
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#18, #27] Public-cover operations, false-company infrastructure, PR/legal teams and ongoing diplomatic/legal costs.
Hazard Pay $600K/yr
[#12] Hazard pay, retention bonuses and legal indemnities for performers (typical mid-range for ~10 performers).
Recruitment And Vetting $500K/yr
[#11] Ongoing recruitment, background checks, psychological screening and clearance processing for new cohorts.
Amnesticization And Coverup $500K/yr
[#17] Ongoing amnesticization program costs for civilian incidents and follow-up monitoring (program baseline).
Insurance Reserve Fund $500K/yr
[#23] Annual contribution to insurance-equivalent contingency/legal reserve.
Oversight And Audits $400K/yr
[#30] Governance overhead—ethics board, audits, compliance officers and periodic risk reviews.
Training Refreshers $300K/yr
[#28] Ongoing refresher training and certification renewals for performers, medics, security and trainers.
Deployment Readiness $250K/yr
[#29] Regular drills, exercises and coordination costs to maintain deployment readiness of Thaumiel operatives.
Energy Fuel And Maintenance $150K/yr
[#20] Fuel, UPS/generator maintenance and fuel logistics for independent power systems.
Data Capture Ml Maintenance $125K/yr
[#25] Ongoing compute, ML engineer and secure model maintenance for recorded performances and analysis.
Secure Information Maintenance $120K/yr
[#6] Annual maintenance and secure IT operations for SIEM-classified network, air-gapped storage and classified access controls.
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#21, #26] Food, hydration, consumables and small consumable replacements (separate decontamination/replacement item also listed).
International Permitting Maintenance $100K/yr
[#27] Ongoing diplomatic / permitting maintenance and local government liaison costs.
Decontamination And Replacement $80K/yr
[#26] Decontamination, laundry and replacement of mats/clothing/sensors after high-energy performances.
Training Documentation $50K/yr
[#19] Maintenance and controlled distribution of restricted training manuals and analog backups.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.5M/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with scheduled training, maintenance, R&D and cover operations only.
no major incidents routine cohorts and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $17.3M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.8M vs baseline
Localized damage to sacrificial chamber or equipment during a performance requiring emergency repairs and limited amnestic/corporate response.
sacrificial-wall breach sensor/camera damage limited civilian exposure requiring amnestics
🚨 Major Breach $40.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Large-scale containment failure or public exposure requiring full site repairs, major legal/diplomatic costs, mass amnesticization and replacement of infrastructure.
catastrophic equipment failure large public exposure diplomatic/legal escalation
👥 Personnel 60 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#9] 24/7 site security and MTF allocation; count chosen within analyst 20–60 range and represents the largest wage pool in staff_wages.
Research Scientist / Kinetography Researcher 6 [#7, #15] Specialists and R&D staff supporting kinetoglyph study and containment research.
Trainer / Physiotherapist / Choreographer 4 [#7, #10] Trainers and physiotherapy staff responsible for training programs and performer upkeep.
Medical Officer 4 [#8] Physicians/EMTs/nutritionists providing monitoring and long-term health care for performers.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#4, #20, #14] Site engineers and maintenance staff for structural hardening, power systems and repairs.
Administrative Staff 2 [#11, #18, #30] Administrative, HR and legal liaison staff handling recruitment, cover-story logistics and internal compliance support.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#30] Overall site leadership and interdepartmental coordination for Thaumiel operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mid-range syntheses of wide analyst ranges; SCP details support many line items but per-item costs and incident probabilities remain uncertain, so confidence is moderate.
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