SCP-3722 — SCP-3722 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3722 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-3722

Expected annual

$18.3M

One-time setup

$190.2M

Annual recurring

$16.6M

Personnel

One-time capital and contingency reserves dominate the budget (notably a large Operation Caesar's Spider reserve and optional smallsat capex), while recurring costs are driven by staffing, research/monitoring, and readiness contributions. Baseline annual operations run in the mid-tens of millions; crisis years can require orders-of-magnitude additional one-time expenditures.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $190.2M

Operation Caesar Spider Reserve $100.0M

[#13] Contingency rapid-response reserve (Operation Caesar's Spider) - conservative planning reserve for large-scale amnestic-failure response.

International Escalation Reserve $50.0M

[#30] One-time reserve for international escalation / political fallout contingency.

Media Suppression Campaign $10.5M

[#16] One-time full suppression / counterinfo campaign budget in a crisis.

Smallsat Program Capex $10.0M

[#8] Optional dedicated smallsat program capital (launch/build) as an alternative to commercial tasking.

Crisis Cleanup Contracting $10.0M

[#29] One-time large-scale cleanup / reconstruction contracting budget (drawn as needed from reserves).

Mnestic Contingency Stockpile $2.8M

[#5] One-time contingency national-level stockpile (mass doses) for emergency.

Vehicles And Containers Purchase $1.8M

[#14] One-time purchase of vehicles, armored containers, mobile command modules.

Crisis Legal Response $1.8M

[#15] One-time larger emergency legal/diplomatic response funds for a crisis.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.3M

[#4] Mnestic R&D lab buildout and associated accreditation/compliance cover (fit-out, fume hoods, cold storage, QA lab equipment).

Insurance Escrow $1.0M

[#23] One-time insurance/escrow funds for serious incidents or indemnities.

Equipment $775K

[#7, #9, #10, #12] Ground stations and operator gear (drone ground stations), hardened comms hardware/SATCOM terminals, secure data-capture servers/air-gapped archive hardware, initial model/pipeline setup hardware.

Front Organization Setup $200K

[#25] One-time setup costs for PR front-organizations / NGOs.

Facilities $100K

[#1] Renovation/setup of secure field office / cover operations base in Isfahan (secure room, furniture, comms).

Medical Protocols Setup $50K

[#6] One-time training and protocol documentation setup for mnestic administration and medical legal docs.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.6M/yr

International Escalation Prolonged Operations $5.0M/yr

[#30] Annual cost if an international-level political fallout persists (extended ops, diplomacy, legal).

Caesar Spider Readiness Fund Contribution $2.0M/yr

[#13] Annual contribution to maintain readiness and liquidity of the rapid-response reserve.

Research And Monitoring $2.0M/yr

[#8, #12, #24, #27, #28] Satellite imagery tasking subscription, recurring cloud/compute costs, long-term municipal monitoring subscriptions, modeling/wargaming exercises, and containment research grants.

Staff Wages $1.8M/yr

[#2, #6, #11] Embedded-agent personnel salaries/cover pay (5 agents), medical staff salaries, and research team salaries (6-10 FTE).

Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr

[#15, #16, #25] Routine legal/diplomatic retainers, media monitoring & small influence ops, and front-organization operational budgets.

Cyber Counter Proliferation Ops $1.1M/yr

[#17] Recurring cyber, SIGINT, and counter-proliferation operations to prevent external actors acquiring mnestic tech.

Logistics And Transport $600K/yr

[#14] Maintaining contractual access to airlift/charter services, logistics readiness and planning.

Local Humanitarian Fund $550K/yr

[#19] Annual humanitarian/compensation reserve for inadvertent injuries, damages, or hush payments.

Smallsat Ops $500K/yr

[#8] Operational costs for a dedicated smallsat if purchased (ops/ground/TT&C).

Supplies And Consumables $320K/yr

[#5, #10, #22, #26] Mnestic production (routine supply), secure storage costs, archive access/purchases, and annual mnestic dosing program consumables.

Training And Certification $300K/yr

[#20] Annual training program for drone operators, medics, and field staff (courses, simulations).

Drone Procurement $275K/yr

[#7] Annual procurement/replacement of expendable UAVs and spare batteries/sensor packages.

Cultural Heritage Engagement $275K/yr

[#18] Legitimate heritage-preservation grants and consulting to influence planning via lawful channels.

Insurance And Legal Premiums $275K/yr

[#23] Recurring insurance premiums, legal retainers, and liability coverage costs.

Local Influence Payments $175K/yr

[#3] Discrete payments, expedited permits, and small-scale bribery/favors to local officials to influence municipal planning.

Replacement And Repair $175K/yr

[#21] Replacement/repair budget for equipment damaged during annual events.

Comms Bandwidth And Satcom Airtime $85K/yr

[#9] Recurring bandwidth, satellite airtime and encrypted data transit costs.

Facilities Maintenance $55K/yr

[#1] Recurring rent, utilities, and local operations costs for Isfahan field office / cover base.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.6M/yr

94.0% probability / year

Normal, uneventful year with steady-state containment, monitoring, research, and readiness contributions but no major incidents.

annual surveillance and research cycle routine mnestic dosing and embedded operations

🚨 Minor Incident $21.4M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$4.8M vs baseline

Localized containment failure or exposure requiring an elevated response (targeted cleanup, legal/diplomatic payouts, extended media/misinformation activity).

partial memetic leakage localized public exposure or suspicious media coverage

🚨 Major Breach $166.4M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$149.8M vs baseline

Full amnestic failure / public awareness event requiring Operation Caesar's Spider: mass mnestic distribution, large-scale cleanup, international legal/diplomatic operations and major reconstruction/forgery efforts.

amnestic failure affecting broad public international escalation or foreign government intervention

👥 Personnel 17 total

Role	Count	Notes
Embedded Agent / MTF Agent	5	[#2] Embedded agents placed in municipal planning departments (3-8 estimated; 5 used here).
Research Scientist / Analyst	8	[#11] Historians, linguists, anthropologists, analysts (6-10 FTE; 8 used here).
Medical Officer	4	[#6] Doctors, nurses, psychiatrists for mnestic administration and monitoring (3-6 estimated; 4 used here).

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges for most costs, allowing mid-range point estimates; however significant uncertainty remains around political context, frequency of equipment loss, and the scale at which contingency reserves would be drawn, so confidence is medium.

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